The Progressive Corporation operates as an insurance company in the United States. It writes insurance for personal autos and special lines products, including motorcycles, RVs, and watercraft; and personal residential property insurance for homeowners and renters.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS. Shaded region = analyst consensus for the current and next fiscal year (23 analysts).
| Parameter | BaseValue |
|---|---|
Initial Cash Flow | |
| Growth Rate (Yr 1-5) | % |
| Growth Rate (Yr 6-10) | % |
| Terminal Growth Rate | % |
| Discount Rate | % |
Base Case $287.92 Implied EV: $173.11B |
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Near fair value but market is greedy — optimism is already priced in
