Compare Stocks › META vs PGR
Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) vs The Progressive Corporation (PGR)
META
Meta Platforms, Inc.
$606.70
VS
PGR
The Progressive Corporation
$202.68
Rewards
META
- ★Meta Platforms, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 82.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Meta Platforms, Inc. scores 80/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
PGR
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 37.9% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $2.90 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
- ★Management has timed buybacks well — 3 out of 4 years showed value-accretive repurchases.
Risks
META
- ⚠PEG ratio of 2.41 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
- ⚠14 insider sales totaling $9.6M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
PGR
- ⚠Gross margin of 18.5% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
- ⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
- ⚠6 insider sales totaling $2.4M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →META
PGR
Valuation
$46.11B
Free Cash Flow
$17.20B
3.00%
FCF Yield
14.48%
25.84
Trailing P/E
10.54
16.91
Forward P/E
12.54
Quality & Moat
21.70%
ROIC
30.52%
27.83%
ROE
37.29%
82.00%
Gross Margin
18.55%
2.41
PEG Ratio
0.42
Balance Sheet Safety
0.39
Debt / Equity
0.23
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.03
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.20
0.35%
Dividend Yield
6.86%
META: 2Ties: 1PGR: 9
METAPGR
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →META
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
PGR
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →META
$8.94
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$151.52B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.36T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
PGR
$2.90
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$19.86B
Δ Market Cap
+$57.60B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →META
40.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 40.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $606.70
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $1017.63
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
PGR
32.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 32.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $202.68
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $300.63
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →META
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $607?
+11.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.7%
The market implies +11.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +14.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
PGR
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $203?
-1.5%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -7.6%
The market implies -1.5% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding -7.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →META
80/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
PGR
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →META
-3.04
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
PGR
-2.65
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →META
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 78.7%Retail & Other 21.2%
No. of Institutional Holders6,573
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
PGR
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 88.5%Retail & Other 11.2%
No. of Institutional Holders2,451
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →META
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
PGR
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →META
14
Sells (3M)
65
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $53.89M
KIMMITT ROBERT M
Director
$366,572
@ $632.02 · 2026-03-16
BOSWORTH ANDREW
Chief Technology Officer
$5.11M
@ $631.24 · 2026-02-18
KIMMITT ROBERT M
Director
$370,724
@ $639.18 · 2026-02-17
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$342,869
@ $663.19 · 2026-02-09
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$369,448
@ $714.60 · 2026-02-02
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$343,805
@ $665.00 · 2026-01-26
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$314,517
@ $608.35 · 2026-01-20
KIMMITT ROBERT M
Director
$358,602
@ $618.28 · 2026-01-15
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$337,601
@ $653.00 · 2026-01-12
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$336,262
@ $650.41 · 2026-01-05
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$341,860
@ $658.69 · 2025-12-30
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$340,258
@ $658.14 · 2025-12-29
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$342,218
@ $659.38 · 2025-12-23
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$341,794
@ $661.11 · 2025-12-22
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$333,836
@ $643.23 · 2025-12-16
KIMMITT ROBERT M
Director
$374,680
@ $646.00 · 2025-12-15
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$333,982
@ $646.00 · 2025-12-15
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$344,699
@ $664.16 · 2025-12-09
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$346,199
@ $669.63 · 2025-12-08
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$333,312
@ $642.22 · 2025-12-02
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$330,379
@ $639.03 · 2025-12-01
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$323,929
@ $624.14 · 2025-11-25
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$309,445
@ $598.54 · 2025-11-24
ANDERSON AARON
Officer
$429,502
@ $591.60 · 2025-11-18
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$307,040
@ $591.60 · 2025-11-18
BOSWORTH ANDREW
Chief Technology Officer
$6.94M
@ $593.31 · 2025-11-18
KIMMITT ROBERT M
Director
$365,610
@ $609.35 · 2025-11-17
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$1.90M
@ $608.60 · 2025-11-17
BOSWORTH ANDREW
Chief Technology Officer
$3.09M
@ $609.46 · 2025-11-14
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$326,227
@ $631.00 · 2025-11-10
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$325,596
@ $631.00 · 2025-11-10
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$325,932
@ $628.00 · 2025-11-04
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$339,152
@ $656.00 · 2025-11-03
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$390,807
@ $753.00 · 2025-10-28
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$387,528
@ $749.57 · 2025-10-27
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$382,176
@ $736.37 · 2025-10-21
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$372,912
@ $721.30 · 2025-10-20
KIMMITT ROBERT M
Director
$333,391
@ $716.97 · 2025-10-15
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$367,374
@ $707.85 · 2025-10-14
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$368,797
@ $713.34 · 2025-10-13
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$372,113
@ $716.98 · 2025-10-07
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$364,387
@ $704.81 · 2025-10-06
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$384,838
@ $741.50 · 2025-09-30
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$387,088
@ $748.72 · 2025-09-29
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$399,215
@ $769.20 · 2025-09-23
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$403,948
@ $781.33 · 2025-09-22
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$398,156
@ $767.16 · 2025-09-16
KIMMITT ROBERT M
Director
$352,224
@ $757.47 · 2025-09-15
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$391,612
@ $757.47 · 2025-09-15
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$393,142
@ $757.50 · 2025-09-09
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$390,671
@ $755.65 · 2025-09-08
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$375,471
@ $726.25 · 2025-09-02
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$376,924
@ $726.25 · 2025-09-02
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$389,494
@ $750.47 · 2025-08-26
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$390,392
@ $755.11 · 2025-08-25
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$2.44M
@ $780.95 · 2025-08-18
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$402,225
@ $775.00 · 2025-08-18
BOSWORTH ANDREW
Chief Technology Officer
$13.02M
@ $777.15 · 2025-08-18
KIMMITT ROBERT M
Director
$364,709
@ $784.32 · 2025-08-15
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$398,090
@ $770.00 · 2025-08-11
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$399,836
@ $776.38 · 2025-08-05
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$393,054
@ $760.26 · 2025-08-04
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$373,607
@ $719.86 · 2025-07-29
OLIVAN JAVIER
Chief Operating Officer
$369,655
@ $715.00 · 2025-07-28
NEWSTEAD JENNIFER
Officer
$371,656
@ $716.10 · 2025-07-22
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
PGR
6
Sells (3M)
37
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $50.82M
BAILO KAREN
Officer
$745,604
@ $212.00 · 2026-03-05
JOYCE CARL G.
Officer
$29,892
@ $212.00 · 2026-03-05
PUMAREJO MARIBEL
Officer
$150,138
@ $203.44 · 2026-02-24
BAUER JONATHAN S
Chief Investment Officer
$460,111
@ $203.05 · 2026-02-23
QUIGG ANDREW J
Officer
$336,973
@ $204.35 · 2026-01-21
BAUER JONATHAN S
Chief Investment Officer
$634,507
@ $204.35 · 2026-01-21
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$302,131
@ $224.80 · 2025-12-19
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$1.14M
@ $228.48 · 2025-11-28
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$307,050
@ $228.29 · 2025-11-21
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$295,900
@ $220.00 · 2025-11-11
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$325,624
@ $242.10 · 2025-09-19
MURPHY JOHN JOSEPH
Officer
$536,978
@ $242.10 · 2025-09-19
CALLAHAN PATRICK KEVIN
Officer
$1.56M
@ $242.22 · 2025-09-19
GRIFFITH SUSAN PATRICIA
Chief Executive Officer
$7.54M
@ $246.06 · 2025-09-02
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$337,299
@ $250.78 · 2025-08-22
MURPHY JOHN JOSEPH
Officer
$556,230
@ $250.78 · 2025-08-22
CALLAHAN PATRICK KEVIN
Officer
$1.56M
@ $249.96 · 2025-08-22
NIEDERST LORI A
Officer
$2.02M
@ $250.18 · 2025-08-14
QUIGG ANDREW J
Officer
$795,325
@ $249.24 · 2025-07-28
BAUER JONATHAN S
Chief Investment Officer
$595,933
@ $249.24 · 2025-07-28
BAILO KAREN
Officer
$2.22M
@ $249.24 · 2025-07-28
MURPHY JOHN JOSEPH
President
$552,814
@ $249.24 · 2025-07-28
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$4.15M
@ $249.24 · 2025-07-28
CALLAHAN PATRICK KEVIN
Officer
$1.51M
@ $242.16 · 2025-07-28
GRIFFITH SUSAN PATRICIA
Chief Executive Officer
$7.42M
@ $242.12 · 2025-07-28
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$313,633
@ $247.54 · 2025-07-18
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$2.64M
@ $263.79 · 2025-06-30
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$329,901
@ $260.38 · 2025-06-20
MURPHY JOHN JOSEPH
Officer
$1.04M
@ $260.38 · 2025-06-20
BURGDOERFER STUART B
Director
$958,643
@ $260.43 · 2025-06-20
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$2.75M
@ $275.37 · 2025-05-28
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$351,985
@ $277.81 · 2025-05-23
VAN DYKE KAHINA
Director
$691,398
@ $277.67 · 2025-05-22
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$2.69M
@ $268.59 · 2025-04-28
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$2.76M
@ $275.94 · 2025-03-28
JOHNSON DEVIN C
Director
$110,016
@ $275.04 · 2025-03-25
JOYCE CARL G.
Officer
$99,420
@ $276.17 · 2025-03-21
BAUER JONATHAN S
Chief Investment Officer
$479,391
@ $282.66 · 2025-03-17
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$435,862
@ $282.66 · 2025-03-17
BAUER JONATHAN S
Chief Investment Officer
$344,787
@ $281.00 · 2025-03-06
CALLAHAN PATRICK KEVIN
Officer
$1.31M
@ $279.70 · 2025-03-06
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$2.80M
@ $279.94 · 2025-02-28
NIEDERST LORI A
Officer
$952,416
@ $247.06 · 2025-01-30
KELLY JEFFREY D
Director
$2.50M
@ $250.00 · 2025-01-29
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$2.47M
@ $246.69 · 2025-01-28
QUIGG ANDREW J
Officer
$234,045
@ $243.29 · 2025-01-22
MARSHALL MARIANN WOJTKUN
Officer
$142,325
@ $243.29 · 2025-01-22
BAILO KAREN
Officer
$515,775
@ $243.29 · 2025-01-22
MURPHY JOHN JOSEPH
Officer
$553,485
@ $243.29 · 2025-01-22
GRIFFITH SUSAN PATRICIA
Chief Executive Officer
$2.68M
@ $243.29 · 2025-01-22
QUIGG ANDREW J
Officer
$164,870
@ $242.10 · 2025-01-03
MARSHALL MARIANN WOJTKUN
Officer
$46,241
@ $242.10 · 2025-01-03
BAILO KAREN
Officer
$348,140
@ $242.10 · 2025-01-03
MURPHY JOHN JOSEPH
President
$402,612
@ $242.10 · 2025-01-03
GRIFFITH SUSAN PATRICIA
Chief Executive Officer
$2.19M
@ $242.10 · 2025-01-03
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$2.39M
@ $238.66 · 2024-12-30
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$2.68M
@ $268.09 · 2024-11-29
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$748,678
@ $251.15 · 2024-10-21
VAN DYKE KAHINA
Director
$549,970
@ $252.28 · 2024-09-27
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$775,320
@ $260.00 · 2024-09-23
CALLAHAN PATRICK KEVIN
Officer
$1.96M
@ $255.21 · 2024-09-20
GRIFFITH SUSAN PATRICIA
Chief Executive Officer
$10.94M
@ $252.20 · 2024-09-03
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$1.44M
@ $235.19 · 2024-08-19
CALLAHAN PATRICK KEVIN
Officer
$1.83M
@ $237.20 · 2024-08-16
MURPHY JOHN JOSEPH
Officer
$2.26M
@ $237.50 · 2024-08-15
QUIGG ANDREW J
Officer
$850,690
@ $214.01 · 2024-07-22
BAUER JONATHAN S
Chief Investment Officer
$527,963
@ $214.01 · 2024-07-22
BAILO KAREN
Officer
$1.69M
@ $214.01 · 2024-07-22
BROZ STEVEN
Chief Technology Officer
$652,730
@ $214.01 · 2024-07-22
NIEDERST LORI A
Officer
$2.03M
@ $214.01 · 2024-07-22
CALLAHAN PATRICK KEVIN
Officer
$1.70M
@ $214.01 · 2024-07-22
SAUERLAND JOHN PETER
Chief Financial Officer
$4.86M
@ $214.01 · 2024-07-22
GRIFFITH SUSAN PATRICIA
Chief Executive Officer
$9.28M
@ $214.01 · 2024-07-22
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →META
😐Neutral(44/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
PGR
😨Fear(34/100)
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →META
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (44)
PGR
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (34)