CF Industries Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the production of ammonia in North America, Europe, and internationally. It operates through Ammonia, Granular Urea, UAN, AN, and Other segments.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS. Shaded region = analyst consensus for the current and next fiscal year (8 analysts).
| Parameter | BaseValue |
|---|---|
Initial Cash Flow | |
| Growth Rate (Yr 1-5) | % |
| Growth Rate (Yr 6-10) | % |
| Terminal Growth Rate | % |
| Discount Rate | % |
Base Case $134.72 Implied EV: $22.27B |
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $103?
The market implies +0.7% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding -2.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Significantly undervalued with market fear — classic Buffett "be greedy when others are fearful" conditions
