Compare StocksAVGO vs CF

Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) vs CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF)

AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
$421.28
VS
CF
CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
$122.69

Rewards

AVGO
  • Gross margin of 76.7% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 18.2% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $8.91 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
CF
  • CF Industries Holdings, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Share count has been reduced by 21% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.

Risks

AVGO
  • Share count has increased by 13% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
  • FCF yield of 1.3% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • PEG ratio of 2.59 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
CF
  • Trailing P/E of 13.7x is 50% above the historical average of 9.1x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • 22 insider sales totaling $70.5M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 19.0% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.

Key Valuation Metrics

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AVGO
CF
Valuation
$25.50B
Free Cash Flow
$1.80B
1.28%
FCF Yield
9.56%
81.96
Trailing P/E
13.68
23.25
Forward P/E
13.19
Quality & Moat
16.61%
ROIC
17.32%
28.95%
ROE
18.71%
76.73%
Gross Margin
38.45%
2.59
PEG Ratio
0.37
Balance Sheet Safety
0.83
Debt / Equity
0.47
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.39
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.51
0.62%
Dividend Yield
1.63%
AVGO: 3Ties: 2CF: 7
AVGOCF

Historical Fundamentals

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AVGO

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

CF

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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AVGO
$97.03
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$14.50B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.41T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
CF
$-1.50
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$3.20B
Δ Market Cap
$-4.79B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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AVGO
22.4% Overvalued
Price is 22.4% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $421.28
Fair Value: $344.16
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
CF
8.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 8.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $122.69
Fair Value: $134.23
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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AVGO

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $421?

+28.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +26.8%

The market implies +28.2% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +26.8%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

CF

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $123?

+2.9%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -0.0%

The market implies +2.9% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding -0.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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AVGO
61/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
CF
41/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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AVGO
-2.09
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
CF
-2.83
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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AVGO
Insiders 2.0%Institutions 79.7%Retail & Other 18.3%
No. of Institutional Holders6,004
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
CF
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 108.3%
No. of Institutional Holders1,226
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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AVGO
0
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.55M
YOU HARRY L
Director
$325,129
@ $325.13 · 2025-12-18
YOU HARRY L
Director
$1.23M
@ $345.88 · 2025-09-10
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
CF
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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AVGO
8
Sells (3M)
32
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $256.03M
VELAGA S. RAM
Officer
$2.96M
@ $370.52 · 2026-04-10
VELAGA S. RAM
Officer
$10.64M
@ $352.08 · 2026-04-09
DELLY GAYLA J
Director
$358,310
@ $358.31 · 2026-04-09
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$712,354
@ $353.00 · 2026-04-08
SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
Chief Financial Officer
$19.45M
@ $323.38 · 2026-03-17
VELAGA S. RAM
Officer
$20.82M
@ $323.38 · 2026-03-17
KAWWAS CHARLIE B
Officer
$20.97M
@ $323.39 · 2026-03-17
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$27.06M
@ $323.39 · 2026-03-17
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$10.41M
@ $347.12 · 2026-01-06
TAN HOCK E
Chief Executive Officer
$24.31M
@ $347.30 · 2026-01-06
SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
Chief Financial Officer
$10.43M
@ $347.82 · 2025-12-31
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$9.13M
@ $352.07 · 2025-12-26
SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.03M
@ $332.91 · 2025-12-17
KAWWAS CHARLIE B
Officer
$1.05M
@ $332.95 · 2025-12-17
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$12.54M
@ $327.65 · 2025-12-17
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$8.36M
@ $340.91 · 2025-12-16
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$289,512
@ $361.89 · 2025-12-15
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$264,912
@ $331.14 · 2025-11-14
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$280,120
@ $350.15 · 2025-10-14
KAWWAS CHARLIE B
Officer
$2.26M
@ $352.74 · 2025-09-17
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$9.59M
@ $352.61 · 2025-09-17
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$288,000
@ $360.00 · 2025-09-15
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$245,968
@ $307.46 · 2025-08-14
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$219,440
@ $274.30 · 2025-07-14
TAN HOCK E
Chief Executive Officer
$10.73M
@ $268.29 · 2025-06-26
DELLY GAYLA J
Director
$795,390
@ $265.13 · 2025-06-26
SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
Chief Financial Officer
$9.50M
@ $261.27 · 2025-06-24
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$13.11M
@ $262.10 · 2025-06-24
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$12.66M
@ $253.28 · 2025-06-23
SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
Chief Financial Officer
$14.18M
@ $251.75 · 2025-06-18
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$200,280
@ $250.35 · 2025-06-16
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$184,152
@ $230.19 · 2025-05-14
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$148,000
@ $185.00 · 2025-04-14
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$5.84M
@ $194.65 · 2025-03-24
LOW CHECK KIAN
Director
$11.30M
@ $235.35 · 2025-01-06
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$4.82M
@ $238.79 · 2024-12-24
TAN HOCK E
Chief Executive Officer
$10.80M
@ $239.96 · 2024-12-24
BRYANT DIANE M
Director
$3.40M
@ $226.68 · 2024-12-23
SPEARS KIRSTEN MARGRETA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.89M
@ $229.62 · 2024-12-20
YOU HARRY L
Director
$1.57M
@ $240.00 · 2024-12-17
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$3.43M
@ $181.45 · 2024-10-11
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$3.46M
@ $182.88 · 2024-10-09
BRAZEAL MARK DAVID
Officer
$3.59M
@ $177.10 · 2024-10-07
DELLY GAYLA J
Director
$130,898
@ $174.53 · 2024-09-25
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$444,566
@ $1750.26 · 2024-06-20
PAGE JUSTINE F.
Director
$561,600
@ $1800.00 · 2024-06-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
CF
22
Sells (3M)
25
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $74.63M
MAYER ERIK M.
Officer
$187,035
@ $124.69 · 2026-03-17
FROST BERT A
Officer
$756,000
@ $126.00 · 2026-03-17
WILL W ANTHONY
Director
$10.33M
@ $126.56 · 2026-03-13
MENZEL SUSAN L
Officer
$2.45M
@ $136.06 · 2026-03-12
FROST BERT A
Officer
$854,316
@ $136.69 · 2026-03-12
FROST BERT A
Officer
$1.83M
@ $118.01 · 2026-03-09
MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK
General Counsel
$427,089
@ $116.50 · 2026-03-06
MAYER ERIK M.
Officer
$255,749
@ $116.25 · 2026-03-06
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN
Officer
$270,729
@ $111.00 · 2026-03-05
DEMPSEY LINDA M
Officer
$213,000
@ $106.50 · 2026-03-05
MENZEL SUSAN L
Officer
$799,200
@ $111.00 · 2026-03-05
WILL W ANTHONY
Director
$6.27M
@ $109.35 · 2026-03-05
MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK
General Counsel
$291,426
@ $105.36 · 2026-03-03
MENZEL SUSAN L
Officer
$415,250
@ $106.09 · 2026-03-03
WILL W ANTHONY
Director
$7.01M
@ $109.06 · 2026-03-03
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN
Officer
$889,696
@ $103.08 · 2026-03-02
MENZEL SUSAN L
Officer
$713,232
@ $104.00 · 2026-03-02
WILL W ANTHONY
Former
$24.37M
@ $102.63 · 2026-03-02
FROST BERT A
Officer
$540,761
@ $105.99 · 2026-03-02
DEMPSEY LINDA M
Officer
$100,000
@ $100.00 · 2026-02-27
MENZEL SUSAN L
Officer
$311,859
@ $97.00 · 2026-02-26
WILL W ANTHONY
Director
$11.22M
@ $100.25 · 2026-02-20
MENZEL SUSAN L
Officer
$1.00M
@ $100.23 · 2025-06-20
FROST BERT A
Officer
$2.57M
@ $98.79 · 2025-06-16
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN
Officer
$549,535
@ $99.95 · 2025-06-13
MENZEL SUSAN L
Officer
$276,300
@ $96.95 · 2025-01-16
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN
Officer
$844,457
@ $95.00 · 2025-01-13
MENZEL SUSAN L
Officer
$142,500
@ $95.00 · 2025-01-13
FROST BERT A
Officer
$285,000
@ $95.00 · 2025-01-13
MENZEL SUSAN L
Officer
$325,000
@ $92.86 · 2024-12-03
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN
Officer
$635,487
@ $90.78 · 2024-11-21
FROST BERT A
Officer
$264,000
@ $88.00 · 2024-11-20
MALIK ASHRAF KHAN
Officer
$648,269
@ $90.02 · 2024-10-04
MENZEL SUSAN L
Officer
$180,000
@ $90.00 · 2024-10-04
FROST BERT A
Officer
$270,000
@ $90.00 · 2024-10-04
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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AVGO
FearGreed
😏Greed(68/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
CF
FearGreed
😐Neutral(52/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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AVGO
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (68)
CF
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (52)
View AVGO Full AnalysisView CF Full Analysis
AVGO vs CF: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io