Compare Stocks › ABBV vs CF

AbbVie Inc. (ABBV) vs CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-11-01, ABBV is overvalued at $295, with a DCF intrinsic value of $172 and a margin of safety of -71%. CF is fairly valued at $123, with an intrinsic value of $152 and a margin of safety of 19%. Of the two, CF has the wider margin of safety.

ABBV

AbbVie Inc.

$294.89

CF Industries Holdings, Inc.

$123.30

Rewards

ABBV

★AbbVie Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
★Gross margin of 73.7% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
★AbbVie Inc. scores 82/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with reinvestment efficiency as the strongest competitive dimension.

★CF Industries Holdings, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
★Share count has been reduced by 21% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.

Risks

ABBV

⚠Buybacks have been poorly timed — 3 out of 4 years involved repurchases at relatively expensive valuations.
⚠Insiders have sold $8.2M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 9.8% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.

⚠22 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.
⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 19.0% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ABBV

Valuation

N/A

Free Cash Flow

$1.80B

N/A

FCF Yield

9.65%

50.67

Trailing P/E

9.15

18.24

Forward P/E

10.85

Quality & Moat

29.08%

ROIC

24.06%

N/A

ROE

29.87%

73.72%

Gross Margin

42.49%

0.60

PEG Ratio

0.53

Balance Sheet Safety

N/A

Net Debt / Equity

0.13

N/A

Interest Coverage

N/A

2.03

Net Debt / EBITDA

0.29

2.35%

Dividend Yield

1.95%

ABBV: 3Ties: 1CF: 4

ABBVCF

Historical Fundamentals

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ABBV

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ABBV

N/A

Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable

Company had negative cumulative retained earnings

Σ Retained

$-19.85B

Δ Market Cap

+$118.02B

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

$-1.50

created per $1 retained over 3 years

Market Cap Declined

Σ Retained

$3.20B

Δ Market Cap

$-4.79B

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ABBV

71.5% Overvalued

Price is 71.5% above estimated fair value

Current Price: $294.89

Strongly undervalued

Fairly valued

Strongly overvalued

Fair Value: $172.00

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

11.7% Margin of Safety

Price is 11.7% below estimated fair value

Current Price: $123.30

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

Fair Value: $139.70

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ABBV

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $123?

+2.4%

Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth

Standard FCF implies -0.5%

The market implies +2.4% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding -0.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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ABBV

82/100

Wide Moat

70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Reinvestment Efficiency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

41/100

Narrow Moat

70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

Forensic Accounting

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ABBV

-2.86

Unlikely Manipulator

Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

-2.83

Unlikely Manipulator

Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Ownership Breakdown

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ABBV

Insiders 0.1%Institutions 77.4%Retail & Other 22.5%

No. of Institutional Holders5,303

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insiders 0.5%Institutions 108.9%

No. of Institutional Holders1,416

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ABBV

Buys (3M)

Buys (12M)

No open market insider purchases found.

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Buys (3M)

Buys (12M)

No open market insider purchases found.

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ABBV

Sells (3M)

Sells (12M)

Total value (12M): $18.92M

DONOGHOE NICHOLAS

Officer

$8.18M

@ $250.00 · 2026-08-14

PURDUE DAVID RYAN

Officer

$1.22M

@ $233.56 · 2026-03-04

SIATIS PERRY C.

General Counsel

$4.38M

@ $234.39 · 2026-03-02

SIATIS PERRY C.

General Counsel

$5.15M

@ $230.00 · 2026-02-25

SALEKI-GERHARDT AZITA

Chief Operating Officer

$8.41M

@ $198.42 · 2025-08-12

DONOGHOE NICHOLAS

Officer

$2.64M

@ $198.51 · 2025-08-05

STEWART JEFFREY RYAN

Officer

$12.36M

@ $210.08 · 2025-03-31

REENTS SCOTT T.

Chief Financial Officer

$3.75M

@ $212.34 · 2025-03-14

GONZALEZ RICHARD A

Director

$20.26M

@ $205.45 · 2025-03-03

RICHMOND TIMOTHY J

Officer

$4.47M

@ $210.45 · 2025-03-03

SIATIS PERRY C.

General Counsel

$5.82M

@ $208.69 · 2025-03-03

RICHMOND TIMOTHY J

Officer

$6.07M

@ $202.90 · 2025-02-26

BUCKBEE KEVIN K

Officer

$3.85M

@ $203.41 · 2025-02-26

SIATIS PERRY C.

General Counsel

$1.14M

@ $197.90 · 2025-02-20

BUCKBEE KEVIN K

Officer

$310,032

@ $172.24 · 2024-12-16

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Sells (3M)

Sells (12M)

Total value (12M): $70.51M

MAYER ERIK M.

Officer

$187,035

@ $124.69 · 2026-03-17

FROST BERT A

Officer

$756,000

@ $126.00 · 2026-03-17

WILL W ANTHONY

Director

$10.33M

@ $126.56 · 2026-03-13

MENZEL SUSAN L

Officer

$2.45M

@ $136.06 · 2026-03-12

FROST BERT A

Officer

$854,316

@ $136.69 · 2026-03-12

FROST BERT A

Officer

$1.83M

@ $118.01 · 2026-03-09

MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK

General Counsel

$427,089

@ $116.50 · 2026-03-06

MAYER ERIK M.

Officer

$255,749

@ $116.25 · 2026-03-06

MENZEL SUSAN L

Officer

$799,200

@ $111.00 · 2026-03-05

WILL W ANTHONY

Director

$6.27M

@ $109.35 · 2026-03-05

MALIK ASHRAF KHAN

Officer

$270,729

@ $111.00 · 2026-03-05

DEMPSEY LINDA M

Officer

$213,000

@ $106.50 · 2026-03-05

MENZEL SUSAN L

Officer

$415,250

@ $106.09 · 2026-03-03

WILL W ANTHONY

Director

$7.01M

@ $109.06 · 2026-03-03

MCGRANE MICHAEL PATRICK

General Counsel

$291,426

@ $105.36 · 2026-03-03

MENZEL SUSAN L

Officer

$713,232

@ $104.00 · 2026-03-02

WILL W ANTHONY

Former

$24.37M

@ $102.63 · 2026-03-02

FROST BERT A

Officer

$540,761

@ $105.99 · 2026-03-02

MALIK ASHRAF KHAN

Officer

$889,696

@ $103.08 · 2026-03-02

DEMPSEY LINDA M

Officer

$100,000

@ $100.00 · 2026-02-27

MENZEL SUSAN L

Officer

$311,859

@ $97.00 · 2026-02-26

WILL W ANTHONY

Director

$11.22M

@ $100.25 · 2026-02-20

MENZEL SUSAN L

Officer

$1.00M

@ $100.23 · 2025-06-20

FROST BERT A

Officer

$2.57M

@ $98.79 · 2025-06-16

MALIK ASHRAF KHAN

Officer

$549,535

@ $99.95 · 2025-06-13

MENZEL SUSAN L

Officer

$276,300

@ $96.95 · 2025-01-16

MENZEL SUSAN L

Officer

$142,500

@ $95.00 · 2025-01-13

FROST BERT A

Officer

$285,000

@ $95.00 · 2025-01-13

MALIK ASHRAF KHAN

Officer

$844,457

@ $95.00 · 2025-01-13

MENZEL SUSAN L

Officer

$325,000

@ $92.86 · 2024-12-03

MALIK ASHRAF KHAN

Officer

$635,487

@ $90.78 · 2024-11-21

FROST BERT A

Officer

$264,000

@ $88.00 · 2024-11-20

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ABBV

😏Greed(72/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

😐Neutral(60/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ABBV

⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (72)

⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (60)

View ABBV Full Analysis View CF Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: ABBV vs CF

Is AbbVie Inc. or CF Industries Holdings, Inc. more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, CF trades at a 18.7% margin of safety (intrinsic value $152 vs. price $123), compared to ABBV's -71.5% margin of safety (intrinsic $172 vs. $295).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, AbbVie Inc. or CF Industries Holdings, Inc.?▼

ABBV scores 82/100 (Wide moat), while CF scores 41/100 (Narrow moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is AbbVie Inc. in financial distress?▼

ABBV's Altman Z-Score of 2.4 places it in the Grey zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. CF scores 2.8 (Grey zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, AbbVie Inc. or CF Industries Holdings, Inc.?▼

ABBV earns 29.1% ROIC versus CF's 24.1%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, AbbVie Inc.'s or CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s?▼

CF's dividend earns a safety score of 85/100 (Very Safe), compared to ABBV's 39/100 (Unsafe). CF has raised its dividend for 0 consecutive years.