Johnson Controls International plc, together with its subsidiaries, engages in engineering, manufacturing, commissioning, and retrofitting building products and systems in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia-Pacific. The company designs, manufactures, sells, installs, and services heating, ventilating, air conditioning, controls, building management, refrigeration, integrated electronic security, integrated fire detection and suppression systems, and digital solutions.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS. Shaded region = analyst consensus for the current and next fiscal year (21 analysts).
| Parameter | BaseValue |
|---|---|
Initial Cash Flow | |
| Growth Rate (Yr 1-5) | % |
| Growth Rate (Yr 6-10) | % |
| Terminal Growth Rate | % |
| Discount Rate | % |
Base Case $223.35 Implied EV: $144.13B |
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $147?
The market implies +11.4% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +14.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Appears undervalued but market is greedy — verify your assumptions aren't too conservative
