Compare Stocks › JCI vs LLY
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) vs Eli Lilly and Company (LLY)
JCI
Johnson Controls International plc
$133.25
VS
LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$917.50
Rewards
JCI
- ★Share count has been reduced by 11% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $7.48 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
LLY
- ★Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 83.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
Risks
JCI
- ⚠Trailing P/E of 44.7x is 70% above the historical average of 26.3x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
- ⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 13.7% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
LLY
- ⚠FCF yield of 0.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠5 insider sales totaling $330.9M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →JCI
LLY
Valuation
$2.76B
Free Cash Flow
$5.96B
3.39%
FCF Yield
0.73%
44.71
Trailing P/E
40.00
24.01
Forward P/E
21.79
Quality & Moat
12.15%
ROIC
32.84%
24.87%
ROE
77.78%
36.47%
Gross Margin
83.04%
1.31
PEG Ratio
0.78
Balance Sheet Safety
0.73
Debt / Equity
1.65
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.21
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.15
1.20%
Dividend Yield
0.68%
JCI: 3Ties: 1LLY: 8
JCILLY
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →JCI
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
LLY
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →JCI
$7.48
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$3.89B
Δ Market Cap
+$29.11B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
LLY
$27.47
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$613.62B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →JCI
26.7% Margin of Safety
Price is 26.7% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $133.25
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $181.70
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
LLY
12.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 12.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $917.50
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $1048.80
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →JCI
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $133?
+12.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.4%
The market implies +12.1% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +14.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
LLY
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $918?
+17.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +35.1%
The market implies +17.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +35.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →JCI
67/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →JCI
-2.30
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →JCI
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 95.0%Retail & Other 4.8%
No. of Institutional Holders1,968
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 84.7%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders5,561
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →JCI
1
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.01M
VERGNANO MARK P
Director
$1.01M
@ $131.94 · 2026-02-05
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →JCI
2
Sells (3M)
15
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $23.48M
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$513,216
@ $142.56 · 2026-02-23
GRABOWSKI TODD M
Officer
$816,120
@ $134.90 · 2026-02-06
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$2.51M
@ $116.00 · 2025-12-10
SCHLITZ LEI ZHANG
Officer
$3.63M
@ $113.20 · 2025-11-21
SCHLITZ LEI ZHANG
Officer
$1.28M
@ $122.03 · 2025-11-06
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$625,604
@ $105.73 · 2025-09-03
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$149,395
@ $105.06 · 2025-09-02
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$147,447
@ $103.69 · 2025-08-01
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$149,052
@ $104.82 · 2025-07-01
RATHNINDE ANURUDDHA
President
$1.55M
@ $103.13 · 2025-06-06
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$143,480
@ $100.90 · 2025-06-02
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Director
$9.17M
@ $91.70 · 2025-05-09
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$2.57M
@ $90.92 · 2025-05-08
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$123,593
@ $86.91 · 2025-05-01
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$113,362
@ $79.72 · 2025-04-01
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Director
$15.87M
@ $79.34 · 2025-03-14
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$122,619
@ $86.23 · 2025-03-03
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$21.35M
@ $84.12 · 2025-02-26
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$28.95M
@ $88.86 · 2025-02-14
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$36.56M
@ $89.10 · 2025-02-11
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$35.74M
@ $87.10 · 2025-02-07
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$6.08M
@ $87.15 · 2025-02-06
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$171,074
@ $87.73 · 2025-02-06
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$108,621
@ $76.44 · 2025-02-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,620
@ $78.60 · 2024-12-20
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.36M
@ $83.25 · 2024-12-11
SULLIVAN MARLON
Officer
$602,605
@ $83.35 · 2024-12-11
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.29M
@ $82.67 · 2024-12-10
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$15,557
@ $83.64 · 2024-12-03
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$15.13M
@ $83.73 · 2024-11-25
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$24.40M
@ $83.12 · 2024-11-21
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$15,551
@ $83.61 · 2024-11-20
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$9.36M
@ $84.60 · 2024-11-15
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$9.21M
@ $83.07 · 2024-11-08
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,008
@ $75.31 · 2024-11-04
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,409
@ $77.47 · 2024-10-21
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$8.49M
@ $76.79 · 2024-10-15
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,192
@ $76.30 · 2024-10-03
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$231,228
@ $77.08 · 2024-10-01
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,729
@ $73.81 · 2024-09-20
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$8.04M
@ $72.67 · 2024-09-16
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$84,899
@ $72.75 · 2024-09-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,532
@ $72.75 · 2024-09-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,113
@ $70.50 · 2024-08-20
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$1.40M
@ $70.41 · 2024-08-19
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,202
@ $65.60 · 2024-08-05
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$82,519
@ $70.71 · 2024-08-01
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,953
@ $69.64 · 2024-07-22
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,304
@ $66.15 · 2024-07-03
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$77,029
@ $66.01 · 2024-07-01
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,827
@ $68.96 · 2024-06-20
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$83,326
@ $71.34 · 2024-06-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,431
@ $72.21 · 2024-06-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,392
@ $72.00 · 2024-05-20
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$611,901
@ $65.50 · 2024-05-10
TINGGREN CARL JUERGEN
Director
$249,240
@ $62.31 · 2024-05-06
MANNING NATHAN D
Chief Operating Officer
$188,566
@ $62.86 · 2024-05-06
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$11,392
@ $61.25 · 2024-05-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$11,848
@ $63.70 · 2024-04-22
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,183
@ $65.50 · 2024-04-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
LLY
5
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$818,240
@ $818.24 · 2025-03-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$204.33M
@ $928.76 · 2025-03-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →JCI
😐Neutral(55/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
LLY
😐Neutral(43/100)
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →JCI
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (55)
LLY
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (43)