Compare StocksJCI vs ORCL

Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

JCI
Johnson Controls International plc
$133.25
VS
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$155.52

Rewards

JCI
  • Share count has been reduced by 11% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $7.48 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
ORCL
  • Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

JCI
  • Trailing P/E of 44.7x is 70% above the historical average of 26.3x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 13.7% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
ORCL
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

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JCI
ORCL
Valuation
$2.76B
Free Cash Flow
$-22.30B
3.39%
FCF Yield
-4.99%
44.71
Trailing P/E
27.92
24.01
Forward P/E
19.51
Quality & Moat
12.15%
ROIC
8.22%
24.87%
ROE
31.86%
36.47%
Gross Margin
67.08%
1.31
PEG Ratio
1.14
Balance Sheet Safety
0.73
Debt / Equity
4.15
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.21
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.48
1.20%
Dividend Yield
1.29%
JCI: 5Ties: 1ORCL: 6
JCIORCL

Historical Fundamentals

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JCI

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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JCI
$7.48
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$3.89B
Δ Market Cap
+$29.11B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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JCI
26.7% Margin of Safety
Price is 26.7% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $133.25
Fair Value: $181.70
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ORCL
235.9% Overvalued
Price is 235.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $155.52
Fair Value: $46.30
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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JCI

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $133?

+12.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.4%

The market implies +12.1% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +14.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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JCI
67/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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JCI
-2.30
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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JCI
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 95.0%Retail & Other 4.8%
No. of Institutional Holders1,968
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.3%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,769
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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JCI
1
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.01M
VERGNANO MARK P
Director
$1.01M
@ $131.94 · 2026-02-05
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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JCI
2
Sells (3M)
15
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $23.48M
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$513,216
@ $142.56 · 2026-02-23
GRABOWSKI TODD M
Officer
$816,120
@ $134.90 · 2026-02-06
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$2.51M
@ $116.00 · 2025-12-10
SCHLITZ LEI ZHANG
Officer
$3.63M
@ $113.20 · 2025-11-21
SCHLITZ LEI ZHANG
Officer
$1.28M
@ $122.03 · 2025-11-06
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$625,604
@ $105.73 · 2025-09-03
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$149,395
@ $105.06 · 2025-09-02
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$147,447
@ $103.69 · 2025-08-01
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$149,052
@ $104.82 · 2025-07-01
RATHNINDE ANURUDDHA
President
$1.55M
@ $103.13 · 2025-06-06
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$143,480
@ $100.90 · 2025-06-02
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Director
$9.17M
@ $91.70 · 2025-05-09
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$2.57M
@ $90.92 · 2025-05-08
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$123,593
@ $86.91 · 2025-05-01
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$113,362
@ $79.72 · 2025-04-01
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Director
$15.87M
@ $79.34 · 2025-03-14
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$122,619
@ $86.23 · 2025-03-03
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$21.35M
@ $84.12 · 2025-02-26
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$28.95M
@ $88.86 · 2025-02-14
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$36.56M
@ $89.10 · 2025-02-11
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$35.74M
@ $87.10 · 2025-02-07
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$6.08M
@ $87.15 · 2025-02-06
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$171,074
@ $87.73 · 2025-02-06
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$108,621
@ $76.44 · 2025-02-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,620
@ $78.60 · 2024-12-20
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.36M
@ $83.25 · 2024-12-11
SULLIVAN MARLON
Officer
$602,605
@ $83.35 · 2024-12-11
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.29M
@ $82.67 · 2024-12-10
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$15,557
@ $83.64 · 2024-12-03
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$15.13M
@ $83.73 · 2024-11-25
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$24.40M
@ $83.12 · 2024-11-21
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$15,551
@ $83.61 · 2024-11-20
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$9.36M
@ $84.60 · 2024-11-15
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$9.21M
@ $83.07 · 2024-11-08
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,008
@ $75.31 · 2024-11-04
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,409
@ $77.47 · 2024-10-21
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$8.49M
@ $76.79 · 2024-10-15
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,192
@ $76.30 · 2024-10-03
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$231,228
@ $77.08 · 2024-10-01
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,729
@ $73.81 · 2024-09-20
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$8.04M
@ $72.67 · 2024-09-16
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$84,899
@ $72.75 · 2024-09-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,532
@ $72.75 · 2024-09-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,113
@ $70.50 · 2024-08-20
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$1.40M
@ $70.41 · 2024-08-19
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,202
@ $65.60 · 2024-08-05
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$82,519
@ $70.71 · 2024-08-01
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,953
@ $69.64 · 2024-07-22
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,304
@ $66.15 · 2024-07-03
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$77,029
@ $66.01 · 2024-07-01
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,827
@ $68.96 · 2024-06-20
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$83,326
@ $71.34 · 2024-06-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,431
@ $72.21 · 2024-06-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,392
@ $72.00 · 2024-05-20
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$611,901
@ $65.50 · 2024-05-10
TINGGREN CARL JUERGEN
Director
$249,240
@ $62.31 · 2024-05-06
MANNING NATHAN D
Chief Operating Officer
$188,566
@ $62.86 · 2024-05-06
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$11,392
@ $61.25 · 2024-05-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$11,848
@ $63.70 · 2024-04-22
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,183
@ $65.50 · 2024-04-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ORCL
4
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.32M
@ $116.00 · 2024-05-03
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.90M
@ $116.13 · 2024-05-01
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$346.77M
@ $126.10 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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JCI
FearGreed
😐Neutral(55/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ORCL
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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JCI
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (55)
ORCL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View JCI Full AnalysisView ORCL Full Analysis
Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io