Compare StocksJCI vs NVDA

Johnson Controls International plc (JCI) vs NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA)

JCI
Johnson Controls International plc
$145.08
VS
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
$198.45

Rewards

JCI
  • Share count has been reduced by 11% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $5.03 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
NVDA
  • NVIDIA Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 71.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 193.9% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

JCI
  • Trailing P/E of 48.8x is 86% above the historical average of 26.3x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 13.7% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
NVDA
  • FCF yield of 2.0% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.06 flags financial patterns consistent with potential earnings manipulation — warrants further investigation.
  • Insiders have sold $4.9M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

Key Valuation Metrics

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JCI
NVDA
Valuation
$2.76B
Free Cash Flow
$96.68B
3.11%
FCF Yield
2.00%
48.85
Trailing P/E
40.50
26.05
Forward P/E
17.66
Quality & Moat
12.15%
ROIC
65.75%
24.87%
ROE
76.33%
36.47%
Gross Margin
71.07%
1.43
PEG Ratio
0.42
Balance Sheet Safety
0.73
Debt / Equity
0.07
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.21
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.38
1.10%
Dividend Yield
0.02%
JCI: 2Ties: 1NVDA: 9
JCINVDA

Historical Fundamentals

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JCI

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

NVDA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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JCI
$7.48
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$3.89B
Δ Market Cap
+$29.11B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
NVDA
$16.33
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$220.50B
Δ Market Cap
+$3.60T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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JCI
21.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 21.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $145.08
Fair Value: $183.96
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
NVDA
45.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 45.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $198.45
Fair Value: $361.26
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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JCI

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $145?

+13.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +15.5%

The market implies +13.1% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +15.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

NVDA

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $198?

+17.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +20.0%

The market implies +17.1% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +20.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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JCI
67/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
NVDA
69/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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JCI
-2.30
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
NVDA
-1.06
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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JCI
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 95.3%Retail & Other 4.5%
No. of Institutional Holders2,009
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
NVDA
Insiders 4.2%Institutions 68.1%Retail & Other 27.7%
No. of Institutional Holders7,393
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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JCI
1
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.01M
VERGNANO MARK P
Director
$1.01M
@ $131.94 · 2026-02-05
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
NVDA
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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JCI
2
Sells (3M)
13
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $23.25M
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$513,216
@ $142.56 · 2026-02-23
GRABOWSKI TODD M
Officer
$816,120
@ $134.90 · 2026-02-06
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$2.51M
@ $116.00 · 2025-12-10
SCHLITZ LEI ZHANG
Officer
$3.63M
@ $113.20 · 2025-11-21
SCHLITZ LEI ZHANG
Officer
$1.28M
@ $122.03 · 2025-11-06
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$625,604
@ $105.73 · 2025-09-03
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$149,395
@ $105.06 · 2025-09-02
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$147,447
@ $103.69 · 2025-08-01
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$149,052
@ $104.82 · 2025-07-01
RATHNINDE ANURUDDHA
President
$1.55M
@ $103.13 · 2025-06-06
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$143,480
@ $100.90 · 2025-06-02
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Director
$9.17M
@ $91.70 · 2025-05-09
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$2.57M
@ $90.92 · 2025-05-08
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$123,593
@ $86.91 · 2025-05-01
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$113,362
@ $79.72 · 2025-04-01
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Director
$15.87M
@ $79.34 · 2025-03-14
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$122,619
@ $86.23 · 2025-03-03
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$21.35M
@ $84.12 · 2025-02-26
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$28.95M
@ $88.86 · 2025-02-14
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$36.56M
@ $89.10 · 2025-02-11
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$35.74M
@ $87.10 · 2025-02-07
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$171,074
@ $87.73 · 2025-02-06
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$6.08M
@ $87.15 · 2025-02-06
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$108,621
@ $76.44 · 2025-02-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,620
@ $78.60 · 2024-12-20
SULLIVAN MARLON
Officer
$602,605
@ $83.35 · 2024-12-11
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.36M
@ $83.25 · 2024-12-11
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.29M
@ $82.67 · 2024-12-10
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$15,557
@ $83.64 · 2024-12-03
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$15.13M
@ $83.73 · 2024-11-25
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$24.40M
@ $83.12 · 2024-11-21
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$15,551
@ $83.61 · 2024-11-20
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$9.36M
@ $84.60 · 2024-11-15
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$9.21M
@ $83.07 · 2024-11-08
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,008
@ $75.31 · 2024-11-04
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,409
@ $77.47 · 2024-10-21
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$8.49M
@ $76.79 · 2024-10-15
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$14,192
@ $76.30 · 2024-10-03
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$231,228
@ $77.08 · 2024-10-01
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,729
@ $73.81 · 2024-09-20
OLIVER GEORGE R SR
Chief Executive Officer
$8.04M
@ $72.67 · 2024-09-16
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$84,899
@ $72.75 · 2024-09-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,532
@ $72.75 · 2024-09-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,113
@ $70.50 · 2024-08-20
DONOFRIO JOHN
General Counsel
$1.40M
@ $70.41 · 2024-08-19
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,202
@ $65.60 · 2024-08-05
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$82,519
@ $70.71 · 2024-08-01
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,953
@ $69.64 · 2024-07-22
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,304
@ $66.15 · 2024-07-03
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$77,029
@ $66.01 · 2024-07-01
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$12,827
@ $68.96 · 2024-06-20
MANNING NATHAN D
Officer
$83,326
@ $71.34 · 2024-06-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,431
@ $72.21 · 2024-06-03
VANDIEPENBEECK MARC
Chief Financial Officer
$13,392
@ $72.00 · 2024-05-20
MCCONEGHY DANIEL C
Officer
$611,901
@ $65.50 · 2024-05-10
MANNING NATHAN D
Chief Operating Officer
$188,566
@ $62.86 · 2024-05-06
TINGGREN CARL JUERGEN
Director
$249,240
@ $62.31 · 2024-05-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
NVDA
3
Sells (3M)
40
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.10B
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$942,944
@ $174.75 · 2026-03-20
SHAH AARTI S
Director
$3.36M
@ $176.71 · 2026-03-19
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$555,440
@ $184.90 · 2026-03-13
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$15.19M
@ $189.85 · 2026-01-02
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$4.43M
@ $179.98 · 2025-12-19
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$112,317
@ $179.42 · 2025-11-24
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$5.20M
@ $207.91 · 2025-10-29
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$23.56M
@ $188.47 · 2025-10-28
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.73M
@ $181.04 · 2025-10-23
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$41.06M
@ $182.48 · 2025-10-20
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$41.34M
@ $183.73 · 2025-10-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.89M
@ $190.60 · 2025-10-10
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.05M
@ $186.89 · 2025-10-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.09M
@ $187.08 · 2025-10-02
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.23M
@ $178.82 · 2025-09-29
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.21M
@ $178.69 · 2025-09-24
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$617,298
@ $176.37 · 2025-09-19
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.18M
@ $174.14 · 2025-09-19
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.75M
@ $176.66 · 2025-09-16
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.28M
@ $174.59 · 2025-09-11
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.01M
@ $168.95 · 2025-09-08
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.61M
@ $171.60 · 2025-09-03
HUDSON BEACH DAWN E
Director
$15.38M
@ $170.90 · 2025-09-03
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.12M
@ $180.79 · 2025-08-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.96M
@ $182.04 · 2025-08-13
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.66M
@ $180.70 · 2025-08-08
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.78M
@ $176.80 · 2025-08-05
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.18M
@ $178.58 · 2025-07-31
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.16M
@ $174.02 · 2025-07-28
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.22M
@ $169.87 · 2025-07-23
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.71M
@ $172.05 · 2025-07-18
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$37.59M
@ $167.08 · 2025-07-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$36.43M
@ $161.91 · 2025-07-10
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$35.55M
@ $158.02 · 2025-07-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$35.16M
@ $156.27 · 2025-07-01
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$30.47M
@ $152.33 · 2025-06-26
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$14.40M
@ $144.04 · 2025-06-23
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$646,469
@ $143.66 · 2025-06-20
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$91,608
@ $138.80 · 2025-05-30
BURGESS ROBERT KENNETH
Director
$6.74M
@ $134.82 · 2025-05-30
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$525,585
@ $116.80 · 2025-03-21
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.79M
@ $116.83 · 2025-03-21
SHAH AARTI S
Director
$2.37M
@ $118.42 · 2025-03-20
BURGESS ROBERT KENNETH
Director
$6.16M
@ $115.49 · 2025-03-13
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$292,930
@ $110.00 · 2025-03-10
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$608,775
@ $135.28 · 2024-12-13
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$9.03M
@ $135.40 · 2024-12-13
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$101,672
@ $142.00 · 2024-11-25
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$524,293
@ $116.51 · 2024-09-20
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.77M
@ $116.59 · 2024-09-20
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$28.55M
@ $118.97 · 2024-09-13
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$26.25M
@ $109.39 · 2024-09-11
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$25.04M
@ $104.35 · 2024-09-09
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$25.81M
@ $107.52 · 2024-09-05
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.57M
@ $114.90 · 2024-09-03
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$24.92M
@ $103.82 · 2024-08-09
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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JCI
FearGreed
😏Greed(67/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
NVDA
FearGreed
😏Greed(62/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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JCI
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (67)
NVDA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (62)
View JCI Full AnalysisView NVDA Full Analysis
JCI vs NVDA: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io