Vistra Corp., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retail electricity and power generation company in the United States. The company operates through five segments: Retail, Texas, East, West, and Asset Closure.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS. Shaded region = analyst consensus for the current and next fiscal year (10 analysts).
| Parameter | BaseValue |
|---|---|
Initial Cash Flow | |
| Growth Rate (Yr 1-5) | % |
| Growth Rate (Yr 6-10) | % |
| Terminal Growth Rate | % |
| Discount Rate | % |
Base Case $91.01 Implied EV: $50.62B |
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $140?
The market implies +22.4% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +20.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Price far exceeds estimated intrinsic value — significant downside risk at current levels
