Compare StocksGS vs VST

The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. (GS) vs Vistra Corp. (VST)

GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
$923.71
VS
VST
Vistra Corp.
$155.28

Rewards

GS
  • Gross margin of 82.3% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Share count has been reduced by 11% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $2.53 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
VST
  • Share count has been reduced by 13% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.60 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

GS
  • High leverage (6.79x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.25 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • Insiders have sold $13.0M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
VST
  • Trailing P/E of 71.6x is 111% above the historical average of 33.9x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • High leverage (4.00x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Altman Z-Score of 1.42 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.

Key Valuation Metrics

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GS
VST
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$-459.25M
N/A
FCF Yield
-0.87%
16.86
Trailing P/E
71.56
14.13
Forward P/E
13.74
Quality & Moat
1.95%
ROIC
7.26%
13.17%
ROE
14.72%
82.27%
Gross Margin
33.24%
0.70
PEG Ratio
1.33
Balance Sheet Safety
6.79
Debt / Equity
4.00
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.75
1.95%
Dividend Yield
0.59%
GS: 4Ties: 2VST: 3
GSVST

Historical Fundamentals

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GS

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

VST

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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GS
$5.60
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$26.00B
Δ Market Cap
+$145.60B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
VST
$12.44
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$3.66B
Δ Market Cap
+$45.50B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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GS
62.8% Margin of Safety
Price is 62.8% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $923.71
Fair Value: $2479.85
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
VST
7.3% Overvalued
Price is 7.3% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $155.28
Fair Value: $144.77
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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GS

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

VST

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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GS
65/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
VST
44/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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GS
-2.00
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
VST
-2.54
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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GS
Insiders 0.5%Institutions 75.9%Retail & Other 23.6%
No. of Institutional Holders3,722
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
VST
Insiders 0.8%Institutions 93.2%Retail & Other 6.0%
No. of Institutional Holders1,744
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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GS
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
HESS JOHN B JR.
Director
$2.00M
@ $511.68 · 2025-04-15
JOHNSON KEVIN RONALD
Director
$1.49M
@ $619.02 · 2025-01-17
FLAHERTY MARK A
Director
$29,545
@ $360.30 · 2024-09-27
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
VST
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
PITESA JOHN WILLIAM
Director
$190,125
@ $126.75 · 2025-03-12
CRUTCHFIELD LISA
Director
$29,969
@ $89.46 · 2024-06-10
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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GS
3
Sells (3M)
13
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $62.06M
GOLTEN ALEXANDER SIMON
Officer
$1.04M
@ $936.18 · 2026-04-23
GOLTEN ALEXANDER SIMON
Officer
$1.02M
@ $919.19 · 2026-04-17
COLEMAN DENIS P.
Chief Financial Officer
$10.94M
@ $941.57 · 2026-02-09
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$255,387
@ $938.92 · 2026-01-29
HALIO CAREY
Officer
$2.64M
@ $927.17 · 2026-01-27
FREDMAN SHEARA J.
Officer
$4.49M
@ $923.75 · 2026-01-23
RUEMMLER KATHRYN H
General Counsel
$8.89M
@ $927.51 · 2026-01-23
HALIO CAREY
Officer
$1.62M
@ $920.62 · 2026-01-23
WALDRON JOHN E.
President
$13.69M
@ $750.30 · 2025-08-28
COLEMAN DENIS P.
Chief Financial Officer
$5.41M
@ $724.40 · 2025-07-25
ROGERS JOHN F W
Officer
$4.31M
@ $717.39 · 2025-07-23
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$4.71M
@ $712.31 · 2025-07-23
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$3.04M
@ $607.17 · 2025-05-14
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.50M
@ $622.15 · 2025-02-26
GOLTEN ALEXANDER SIMON
Officer
$3.31M
@ $636.25 · 2025-01-28
HALIO CAREY
Officer and Treasurer
$2.32M
@ $636.74 · 2025-01-24
FREDMAN SHEARA J.
Officer
$1.28M
@ $627.01 · 2025-01-21
RUEMMLER KATHRYN H
General Counsel
$4.76M
@ $634.69 · 2025-01-21
HALIO CAREY
Officer
$965,120
@ $624.67 · 2025-01-21
VINIAR DAVID A
Director
$3.06M
@ $612.08 · 2024-11-29
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$4.00M
@ $610.91 · 2024-11-29
ROGERS JOHN F W
Officer
$3.83M
@ $596.36 · 2024-11-06
FREDMAN SHEARA J.
Officer
$1.77M
@ $594.51 · 2024-11-06
COLEMAN DENIS P.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.67M
@ $593.03 · 2024-11-06
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$3.00M
@ $500.29 · 2024-08-15
VINIAR DAVID A
Director
$2.51M
@ $502.43 · 2024-07-16
SOLOMON DAVID M
Chief Executive Officer
$3.02M
@ $457.32 · 2024-05-10
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
VST
1
Sells (3M)
34
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $248.92M
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA
General Counsel
$1.60M
@ $160.31 · 2026-03-09
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$3.61M
@ $162.05 · 2025-12-11
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$3.61M
@ $162.05 · 2025-12-11
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA
General Counsel
$1.42M
@ $173.35 · 2025-11-24
KIRBY CARRIE LEE
Officer
$10.18M
@ $174.75 · 2025-11-14
HUDSON SCOTT A
Officer
$9.46M
@ $168.86 · 2025-11-14
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.09M
@ $186.53 · 2025-11-11
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$1.85M
@ $192.30 · 2025-10-29
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.17M
@ $203.64 · 2025-10-27
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$7.52M
@ $191.79 · 2025-10-24
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.08M
@ $188.75 · 2025-10-22
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.81M
@ $206.11 · 2025-10-20
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$9.07M
@ $212.28 · 2025-10-16
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$17.21M
@ $204.51 · 2025-10-14
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.38M
@ $204.62 · 2025-10-09
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.73M
@ $204.21 · 2025-10-07
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.74M
@ $204.44 · 2025-10-03
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$7.72M
@ $197.04 · 2025-10-01
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.62M
@ $201.56 · 2025-09-29
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.63M
@ $201.86 · 2025-09-25
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.99M
@ $210.52 · 2025-09-23
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$9.07M
@ $212.34 · 2025-09-19
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$9.11M
@ $213.17 · 2025-09-17
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.82M
@ $206.32 · 2025-09-15
BURKE JAMES A.
Chief Executive Officer
$12.93M
@ $206.26 · 2025-09-11
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E.
Chief Financial Officer
$6.29M
@ $180.00 · 2025-06-17
SULT JOHN R
Director
$4.29M
@ $171.67 · 2025-06-06
HELM SCOTT BRADFORD
Director
$8.64M
@ $172.75 · 2025-06-05
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA
General Counsel
$5.65M
@ $161.44 · 2025-05-27
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.20M
@ $160.00 · 2025-05-27
HUDSON SCOTT A
Officer
$8.79M
@ $157.00 · 2025-05-20
KIRBY CARRIE LEE
Officer
$16.95M
@ $156.98 · 2025-05-19
HELM SCOTT BRADFORD
Director
$3.14M
@ $156.80 · 2025-05-19
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E.
Chief Financial Officer
$1.55M
@ $150.00 · 2025-05-13
MOLDOVAN KRISTOPHER E.
Chief Financial Officer
$6.95M
@ $140.00 · 2025-05-01
HELM SCOTT BRADFORD
Director
$2.80M
@ $139.77 · 2024-12-10
HUDSON SCOTT A
Officer
$18.88M
@ $164.16 · 2024-11-25
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA
General Counsel
$6.18M
@ $161.94 · 2024-11-22
MUSCATO STEPHEN J
Officer
$33.41M
@ $161.34 · 2024-11-22
KIRBY CARRIE LEE
Officer
$13.79M
@ $162.28 · 2024-11-22
MOORE STEPHANIE ZAPATA
General Counsel
$2.79M
@ $80.37 · 2024-08-13
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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GS
FearGreed
😏Greed(66/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
VST
FearGreed
😨Fear(37/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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GS
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (66)
VST
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (37)
View GS Full AnalysisView VST Full Analysis