ConocoPhillips explores for, produces, transports, and markets crude oil, bitumen, natural gas, liquefied natural gas (LNG), and natural gas liquids. It operates in five segments: Alaska; Lower 48; Canada; Europe, Middle East and North Africa; and Asia Pacific.
No rewards identified.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS. Shaded region = analyst consensus for the current and next fiscal year (19 analysts).
| Parameter | BaseValue |
|---|---|
Initial Cash Flow | |
| Growth Rate (Yr 1-5) | % |
| Growth Rate (Yr 6-10) | % |
| Terminal Growth Rate | % |
| Discount Rate | % |
Base Case $86.45 Implied EV: $122.29B |
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $120?
The market implies +8.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +9.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
No durable moat detected, though roic consistency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Near fair value with balanced sentiment — no strong signal in either direction