Phillips 66 operates as an integrated downstream energy provider in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally. It operates through five segments: Midstream, Chemicals, Refining, Marketing and Specialties (M&S), and Renewable Fuels.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS. Shaded region = analyst consensus for the current and next fiscal year (19 analysts).
| Parameter | BaseValue |
|---|---|
Initial Cash Flow | |
| Growth Rate (Yr 1-5) | % |
| Growth Rate (Yr 6-10) | % |
| Terminal Growth Rate | % |
| Discount Rate | % |
Base Case $165.92 Implied EV: $82.99B |
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $265?
The market implies +9.4% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +11.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Price significantly exceeds estimated intrinsic value while market sentiment is euphoric — elevated risk
