Oracle Corporation (ORCL) vs Phillips 66 (PSX) Stock Comparison

Compare Stocks › ORCL vs PSX

ORCL

Oracle Corporation

$155.52

PSX

Phillips 66

$178.34

Rewards

ORCL

★Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
★Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
★Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

PSX

★PEG ratio of 0.00 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.

Risks

ORCL

⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
⚠High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

PSX

⚠ROIC has declined by 10.8 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
⚠Gross margin of 12.3% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
⚠Each dollar of retained earnings has produced only $0.42 of market value — shareholders may have been better served by dividends.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ORCL

PSX

Valuation

$-22.30B

Free Cash Flow

$2.73B

-4.99%

FCF Yield

3.82%

27.92

Trailing P/E

16.53

19.51

Forward P/E

13.56

Quality & Moat

8.22%

ROIC

5.54%

31.86%

ROE

14.56%

67.08%

Gross Margin

12.30%

1.14

PEG Ratio

0.00

Balance Sheet Safety

4.15

Debt / Equity

0.71

N/A

Interest Coverage

N/A

4.48

Net Debt / EBITDA

3.07

1.29%

Dividend Yield

2.85%

ORCL: 3Ties: 1PSX: 8

ORCLPSX

Historical Fundamentals

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ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

PSX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ORCL

$17.69

created per $1 retained over 3 years

Exceptional Value Creator

Σ Retained

$18.61B

Δ Market Cap

+$329.28B

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

PSX

$0.42

created per $1 retained over 3 years

Value Destroyer

Σ Retained

$7.85B

Δ Market Cap

+$3.28B

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ORCL

235.9% Overvalued

Price is 235.9% above estimated fair value

Current Price: $155.52

Strongly undervalued

Strongly overvalued

Fair Value: $46.30

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

PSX

4.0% Margin of Safety

Price is 4.0% below estimated fair value

Current Price: $178.34

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

Fair Value: $185.84

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

PSX

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $178?

+8.3%

Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth

Standard FCF implies +14.8%

The market implies +8.3% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +14.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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ORCL

71/100

Wide Moat

70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

PSX

35/100

No Moat

70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Forensic Accounting

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ORCL

-2.57

Unlikely Manipulator

Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

PSX

-2.79

Unlikely Manipulator

Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Ownership Breakdown

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ORCL

Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.3%Retail & Other 15.1%

No. of Institutional Holders4,767

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

PSX

Insiders 0.3%Institutions 78.5%Retail & Other 21.3%

No. of Institutional Holders2,318

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ORCL

Buys (3M)

Buys (12M)

Total value (12M): $112,258

FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON

Director

$112,258

@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07

MOORMAN CHARLES W IV

Director

$947,913

@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

PSX

Buys (3M)

Buys (12M)

Total value (12M): $1.27M

MEYERS KEVIN OMAR

Director

$30,310

@ $173.20 · 2026-03-17

HAYES GREGORY J

Director

$1.00M

@ $119.90 · 2025-08-14

CORNELIUS SIGMUND L

Director

$61,775

@ $123.55 · 2025-07-31

HEIM MICHAEL A

Director

$125,970

@ $125.97 · 2025-07-30

PEASE ROBERT W.

Director

$49,980

@ $113.85 · 2025-05-22

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ORCL

Sells (3M)

Sells (12M)

Total value (12M): $1.90B

MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M

Chief Executive Officer

$1.55M

@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09

KEHRING DOUGLAS A

Officer

$6.82M

@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15

HURA MARK

Officer

$2.95M

@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24

SELIGMAN NAOMI O

Director

$437,064

@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23

MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M

Chief Executive Officer

$1.93M

@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19

SMITH MARIA

Officer

$2.80M

@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23

MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M

Chief Executive Officer

$11.07M

@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21

LEVEY STUART A

Officer

$5.93M

@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10

SELIGMAN NAOMI O

Director

$641,958

@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26

SICILIA MICHAEL D

Officer

$10.87M

@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23

SICILIA MICHAEL D

Officer

$5.12M

@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16

MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M

President

$6.31M

@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12

SICILIA MICHAEL D

Officer

$4.04M

@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05

SELIGMAN NAOMI O

Director

$770,656

@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16

SMITH MARIA

Officer

$2.33M

@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03

CATZ SAFRA A

Chief Executive Officer

$267.24M

@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27

CATZ SAFRA A

Chief Executive Officer

$794.64M

@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26

CATZ SAFRA A

Chief Executive Officer

$764.01M

@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23

CONRADES GEORGE HENRY

Director

$1.74M

@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17

MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M

Officer

$3.21M

@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17

SELIGMAN NAOMI O

Director

$428,562

@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05

SELIGMAN NAOMI O

Director

$291,620

@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02

CATZ SAFRA A

Chief Executive Officer

$705.46M

@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24

SMITH MARIA

Officer

$1.04M

@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16

ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH

Chief Technology Officer

$322.05M

@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16

SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD

Officer

$60.58M

@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10

SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD

Officer

$5.22M

@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26

SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD

Officer

$34.04M

@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20

BOSKIN MICHAEL J

Director

$5.30M

@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07

CONRADES GEORGE HENRY

Director

$2.32M

@ $116.00 · 2024-05-03

CONRADES GEORGE HENRY

Director

$2.90M

@ $116.13 · 2024-05-01

CATZ SAFRA A

Chief Executive Officer

$346.77M

@ $126.10 · 2024-03-27

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

PSX

Sells (3M)

Sells (12M)

Total value (12M): $28.39M

DAVIS LISA ANN

Director

$662,617

@ $174.37 · 2026-03-13

MANDELL BRIAN

Officer

$7.26M

@ $169.53 · 2026-03-12

MITCHELL KEVIN J

Chief Financial Officer

$3.65M

@ $167.50 · 2026-03-05

BALDRIDGE DONALD A

Officer

$1.20M

@ $160.00 · 2026-02-17

SUTHERLAND VANESSA ALLEN

General Counsel

$659,100

@ $150.00 · 2026-02-04

SUTHERLAND VANESSA ALLEN

General Counsel

$637,130

@ $145.00 · 2026-01-09

MANDELL BRIAN

Officer

$3.57M

@ $140.04 · 2025-12-01

MANDELL BRIAN

Officer

$3.61M

@ $137.68 · 2025-11-18

MITCHELL KEVIN J

Chief Financial Officer

$4.14M

@ $138.00 · 2025-11-07

SUTHERLAND VANESSA ALLEN

General Counsel

$615,020

@ $140.00 · 2025-09-26

SUTHERLAND VANESSA ALLEN

General Counsel

$593,055

@ $135.00 · 2025-09-09

SUTHERLAND VANESSA ALLEN

General Counsel

$571,090

@ $130.00 · 2025-07-08

MANDELL BRIAN

Officer

$1.23M

@ $125.00 · 2025-06-18

MITCHELL KEVIN J

Chief Financial Officer

$4.17M

@ $139.01 · 2024-08-15

ROBERTS TIMOTHY D

Officer

$5.50M

@ $145.80 · 2024-05-16

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ORCL

😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

PSX

😏Greed(74/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ORCL

⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)

PSX

⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (74)

View ORCL Full Analysis View PSX Full Analysis