SafetyMargin.io

Blog Watchlist Compare

SafetyMargin.io

Blog Watchlist Compare

DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) Intrinsic Value & Margin of Safety | SafetyMargin.io

Basic Materials › Specialty Chemicals

DuPont de Nemours, Inc. (DD) Stock Overview

Market Cap: $18.23B

DuPont de Nemours, Inc. provides technology-based materials and solutions in the United States, Canada, the Asia Pacific, Latin America, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa. It operates through two segments, Healthcare & Water Technologies and Diversified Industrials.

Mar 19, 2026$43.52

1Y +34.1%

Rewards

★Share count has been reduced by 11% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
★FCF yield of 73.7% is historically attractive — the business generates significant cash relative to its price.

Risks

⚠Trailing P/E of 207.2x is 1016% above the historical average of 18.6x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.38 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 33.6% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.

DD Key Valuation Metrics

Free Cash Flow

$13.44B

FCF Yield

73.68%

Trailing P/E

207.24

Forward P/E

17.11

ROIC

10.69%

ROE

-5.52%

Gross Margin

34.50%

PEG Ratio

N/A

Debt / Equity

0.24

Interest Coverage

N/A

Net Debt / EBITDA

1.81

Dividend Yield

1.84%

DD Historical Fundamentals

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

DD $1 Retained Earnings Test

N/A

Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable

Company had negative cumulative retained earnings

Σ Retained

$-1.54B

Δ Market Cap

+$3.29B

Δ Earning Power

$-73.86B

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 retained, how much value did management create?
Market Value = market's verdict (mood-sensitive) · Earning Power = owner earnings / discount rate (mood-independent)

DD Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

94.6% Margin of Safety

Price is 94.6% below estimated fair value

Current Price: $43.52

Strongly undervalued

Fairly valued

Strongly overvalued

Fair Value: $808.24

Strongly undervalued

Undervalued

Fairly valued

Overvalued

Strongly overvalued

Parameter	Min (Bear)Value	BaseValue	Max (Bull)Value
Initial Cash Flow
Growth Rate (Yr 1-5)	%	%	%
Growth Rate (Yr 6-10)	%	%	%
Terminal Growth Rate	%	%	%
Discount Rate	%	%	%
	Bear Case $568.72 Implied EV: $241.02B	Base Case $808.24 Implied EV: $341.37B	Bull Case $1040.43 Implied EV: $438.65B

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $44?

-30.0%

Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market roughly matching historical growth — reasonable.

DD Economic Moat Score

32/100

No Moat

70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though margin stability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

DD Forensic Accounting

-2.29

Unlikely Manipulator

Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

DD Management & Board

Ms. Lori D. Koch

CEO & Director · Age 50

$3.23M

total pay

Ms. Antonella B. Franzen

Senior VP & CFO · Age 48

$1.41M

total pay

Mr. Erik T. Hoover J.D.

Senior VP & General Counsel · Age 50

$1.52M

total pay

Mr. David Koch

Chief Operations & Engineering Officer

Ms. Madeleine G. Barber

VP of Tax, Controller & Chief Accounting Officer · Age 61

Mr. Marty DeGroot

Chief Technology Officer

Mr. Matthew S. Abbott

Chief Information Officer · Age 49

Ann Giancristoforo

VP of Investor Relations, Corporate FP&A, Strategic Finance

Mr. Christopher Raia

Chief Human Resources Officer · Age 55

Mr. Jeroen Bloemhard

President of Healthcare & Water Technologies · Age 57

DD Ownership

Insiders 0.3%Institutions 79.1%Retail & Other 20.6%

No. of Institutional Holders1,623

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

DD Insider Buying Activity

0

Buys (3M)

0

Buys (12M)

No open market insider purchases found.

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

DD Insider Selling Activity

0

Sells (3M)

4

Sells (12M)

Total value (12M): $6.31M

HOOVER ERIK THOMAS

General Counsel

$238,939

@ $39.79 · 2025-11-28

KOCH LORI

Chief Executive Officer

$355,574

@ $39.46 · 2025-11-28

LARRABEE STEVEN P

Chief Technology Officer

$3.33M

@ $77.17 · 2025-09-15

LARRABEE STEVEN P

Chief Technology Officer

$2.38M

@ $76.79 · 2025-09-05

KEMP JON D

Officer

$511,942

@ $83.92 · 2024-11-26

KEMP JON D

Officer

$405,774

@ $81.15 · 2024-06-03

LARRABEE STEVEN P

Chief Technology Officer

$252,385

@ $81.41 · 2024-05-31

GOSS MICHAEL G.

Officer

$104,884

@ $78.33 · 2024-05-09

WEAVER LELAND

Officer

$1.45M

@ $78.40 · 2024-05-06

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

DD 🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

😐Neutral(47/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

DD ⚖️ Buffett Signal

⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (47)

DD Investment Checklist & Notes

Do I understand this business?

Does it have a durable competitive advantage (moat)?

Is management honest and competent?

Is management allocating capital rationally?

Is the price reasonable (margin of safety)?

Is this within my circle of competence?

Auto-saved • Last updated: 3/20/2026, 4:30:06 AM

DD Insider Buying Activity

0

Buys (3M)

0

Buys (12M)

No open market insider purchases found.

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

DD Insider Selling Activity

0

Sells (3M)

4

Sells (12M)

Total value (12M): $6.31M

HOOVER ERIK THOMAS

General Counsel

$238,939

@ $39.79 · 2025-11-28

KOCH LORI

Chief Executive Officer

$355,574

@ $39.46 · 2025-11-28

LARRABEE STEVEN P

Chief Technology Officer

$3.33M

@ $77.17 · 2025-09-15

LARRABEE STEVEN P

Chief Technology Officer

$2.38M

@ $76.79 · 2025-09-05

KEMP JON D

Officer

$511,942

@ $83.92 · 2024-11-26

KEMP JON D

Officer

$405,774

@ $81.15 · 2024-06-03

LARRABEE STEVEN P

Chief Technology Officer

$252,385

@ $81.41 · 2024-05-31

GOSS MICHAEL G.

Officer

$104,884

@ $78.33 · 2024-05-09

WEAVER LELAND

Officer

$1.45M

@ $78.40 · 2024-05-06

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

DD Investment Checklist & Notes

Do I understand this business?

Does it have a durable competitive advantage (moat)?

Is management honest and competent?

Is management allocating capital rationally?

Is the price reasonable (margin of safety)?

Is this within my circle of competence?

Auto-saved • Last updated: 3/20/2026, 4:30:06 AM