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Compare Stocks › PFE vs UPS

Pfizer Inc. (PFE) vs United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

PFE
Pfizer Inc.
$26.30
VS
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
$96.31

Rewards

PFE
  • ★Gross margin of 75.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Dividend yield of 6.53% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.
  • ★FCF yield of 9.0% is historically attractive — the business generates significant cash relative to its price.
UPS
  • ★United Parcel Service, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • ★United Parcel Service, Inc. scores 72/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • ★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

Risks

PFE
  • ⚠ROIC has declined by 13.9 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • ⚠PEG ratio of 13.77 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • ⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 29.6% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
UPS
  • ⚠Gross margin of 22.4% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • ⚠FCF yield of 5.7% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • ⚠Free cash flow has declined at a 20.1% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.

Key Valuation Metrics

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PFE
UPS
Valuation
$13.43B
Free Cash Flow
$4.68B
8.98%
FCF Yield
5.72%
19.34
Trailing P/E
15.56
9.34
Forward P/E
12.15
Quality & Moat
7.67%
ROIC
9.88%
8.96%
ROE
35.29%
75.81%
Gross Margin
22.44%
13.77
PEG Ratio
1.63
Balance Sheet Safety
0.78
Debt / Equity
1.82
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.10
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.92
6.53%
Dividend Yield
6.10%
PFE: 6Ties: 1UPS: 5
PFEUPS

Historical Fundamentals

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PFE

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

UPS

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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PFE
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-10.61B
Δ Market Cap
$-146.18B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
UPS
$-34.39
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$1.89B
Δ Market Cap
$-65.09B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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PFE
130.5% Overvalued
Price is 130.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $26.30
Fair Value: $11.41
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
UPS
34.7% Margin of Safety
Price is 34.7% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $96.31
Fair Value: $147.46
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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PFE

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $26?

+11.4%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +3.9%

The market implies +11.4% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +3.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

UPS

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $96?

+6.9%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +9.2%

The market implies +6.9% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +9.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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PFE
35/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
UPS
72/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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PFE
-2.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
UPS
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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PFE
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 67.9%Retail & Other 32.0%
No. of Institutional Holders3,687
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
UPS
Insiders 0.0%Institutions 69.8%Retail & Other 30.2%
No. of Institutional Holders2,641
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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PFE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
BLAYLOCK RONALD E
Director
$499,072
@ $25.65 · 2025-02-13
GOTTLIEB SCOTT
Director
$28,240
@ $28.24 · 2024-10-30
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
UPS
0
Buys (3M)
3
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.48M
SHI CHRISTIANA SMITH
Director
$44,084
@ $88.17 · 2025-08-22
TOME CAROL B.
Chief Executive Officer
$1.00M
@ $85.67 · 2025-08-01
JOHNSON WILLIAM R
Director
$432,477
@ $86.50 · 2025-07-31
JOHNSON WILLIAM R
Director
$643,034
@ $128.61 · 2024-07-25
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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PFE
0
Sells (3M)
0
Sells (12M)
DAMICO JENNIFER B.
Officer
$64,825
@ $25.93 · 2025-03-04
DAMICO JENNIFER B.
Officer
$147,714
@ $28.66 · 2024-08-13
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
UPS
0
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $2.66M
BROTHERS NORMAN MICHAEL JR.
Officer
$2.66M
@ $106.15 · 2026-01-28
BROTHERS NORMAN MICHAEL JR.
Officer
$1.02M
@ $138.57 · 2024-11-25
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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PFE
FearGreed
😐Neutral(55/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
UPS
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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PFE
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (55)
UPS
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View PFE Full AnalysisView UPS Full Analysis
PFE vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io