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Compare Stocks › DE vs LMT

Deere & Company (DE) vs Lockheed Martin Corporation (LMT)

DE
Deere & Company
$567.58
VS
LMT
Lockheed Martin Corporation
$637.51

Rewards

DE
  • ★Free cash flow has grown at a 52.5% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • ★Dividend yield of 1.14% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.
LMT
  • ★Lockheed Martin Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Lockheed Martin Corporation scores 74/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • ★Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

Risks

DE
  • ⚠FCF yield of 2.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • ⚠Trailing P/E of 32.0x is 80% above the historical average of 17.8x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • ⚠High leverage (2.40x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
LMT
  • ⚠Gross margin of 10.2% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • ⚠Trailing P/E of 29.7x is 43% above the historical average of 20.7x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • ⚠High leverage (3.39x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.

Key Valuation Metrics

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DE
LMT
Valuation
$4.20B
Free Cash Flow
$6.91B
2.74%
FCF Yield
4.68%
32.05
Trailing P/E
29.68
24.54
Forward P/E
19.94
Quality & Moat
3.82%
ROIC
18.11%
19.07%
ROE
74.65%
26.25%
Gross Margin
10.24%
N/A
PEG Ratio
0.18
Balance Sheet Safety
2.40
Debt / Equity
3.39
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
6.74
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.25
1.14%
Dividend Yield
2.12%
DE: 2Ties: 1LMT: 8
DELMT

Historical Fundamentals

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DE

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

LMT

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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DE
$-0.13
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$17.54B
Δ Market Cap
$-2.23B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
LMT
$-1.60
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$8.03B
Δ Market Cap
$-12.81B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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DE
46.2% Margin of Safety
Price is 46.2% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $567.58
Fair Value: $1054.97
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
LMT
76.4% Overvalued
Price is 76.4% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $637.51
Fair Value: $361.45
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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DE

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $568?

+17.8%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +20.3%

The market implies +17.8% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +20.3%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

LMT

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $638?

+14.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +10.2%

The market implies +14.6% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +10.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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DE
50/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with margin stability as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
LMT
74/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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DE
-2.52
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
LMT
-2.23
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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DE
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 83.1%Retail & Other 16.7%
No. of Institutional Holders3,146
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
LMT
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 75.2%Retail & Other 24.7%
No. of Institutional Holders3,183
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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DE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
LMT
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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DE
2
Sells (3M)
3
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $32.47M
REED CORY J.
Officer
$6.12M
@ $510.00 · 2026-01-14
MAY JOHN C. II
Chief Executive Officer
$20.80M
@ $501.49 · 2026-01-08
MAY JOHN C. II
Chief Executive Officer
$5.55M
@ $500.08 · 2025-11-25
KALATHUR RAJESH
Chief Technology Officer
$12.30M
@ $500.61 · 2025-02-18
REED CORY J.
Officer
$5.05M
@ $377.63 · 2024-06-24
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
LMT
3
Sells (3M)
4
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $10.29M
CAHILL TIMOTHY S
Officer
$3.00M
@ $649.47 · 2026-03-11
ULMER GREGORY M
Officer
$1.87M
@ $658.08 · 2026-02-27
HILL STEPHANIE C
Officer
$1.59M
@ $660.64 · 2026-02-24
ST JOHN FRANK A
Chief Operating Officer
$3.83M
@ $491.04 · 2025-10-23
HILL STEPHANIE C
Officer
$2.12M
@ $442.51 · 2025-02-26
LIGHTFOOT ROBERT M JR
Officer
$1.42M
@ $442.42 · 2025-02-26
PAUL HARRY EDWARD III
Officer
$312,923
@ $442.61 · 2025-02-26
HILL STEPHANIE C
Officer
$1.78M
@ $542.72 · 2024-08-01
CAHILL TIMOTHY S
Officer
$2.05M
@ $515.36 · 2024-07-24
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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DE
FearGreed
😐Neutral(44/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
LMT
FearGreed
😐Neutral(60/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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DE
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (44)
LMT
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (60)
View DE Full AnalysisView LMT Full Analysis