SafetyMargin.ioSafetyMargin.io
BlogWatchlistCompare
Compare Stocks › INTC vs MGM

Intel Corporation (INTC) vs MGM Resorts International (MGM): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-11-01, INTC is overvalued at $66, with a DCF intrinsic value of $8 and a margin of safety of -697%. MGM is overvalued at $30, with an intrinsic value of $0 and a margin of safety of -100%. Of the two, MGM has the wider margin of safety.

INTC
Intel Corporation
$65.76
VS
MGM
MGM Resorts International
$29.96

Rewards

INTC
  • ★Net debt/EBITDA of -0.2x means the company holds more cash than debt — a net cash position.
MGM
  • ★Free cash flow has grown at a 13.8% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • ★Share count has been reduced by 32% over the past 4 years through buybacks, increasing each share's claim on earnings.
  • ★FCF yield of 19.3% is historically attractive — the business generates significant cash relative to its price.

Risks

INTC
  • ⚠Intel Corporation scores only 17/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
  • ⚠Share count has increased by 21% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
  • ⚠FCF yield of 0.2% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
MGM
  • ⚠Buybacks have been poorly timed — 3 out of 4 years involved repurchases at relatively expensive valuations.
  • ⚠High leverage (8.03x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 12.7x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

Learn more →
INTC
MGM
Valuation
$670.37M
Free Cash Flow
$1.46B
0.19%
FCF Yield
19.27%
N/A
Trailing P/E
11.52
35.50
Forward P/E
19.27
Quality & Moat
4.06%
ROIC
0.95%
-9.62%
ROE
26.93%
40.15%
Gross Margin
43.62%
1.36
PEG Ratio
0.38
Balance Sheet Safety
Net cash
Net Debt / Equity
8.03
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-0.20
Net Debt / EBITDA
12.74
0.00%
Dividend Yield
0.00%
INTC: 3Ties: 1MGM: 7
INTCMGM

Historical Fundamentals

Learn more →
INTC

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

MGM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

Learn more →
INTC
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-22.02B
Δ Market Cap
+$74.94B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MGM
$-1.57
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$2.09B
Δ Market Cap
$-3.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

Learn more →
INTC
Insufficient Data
Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
Current Price: $65.76
Fair Value: $0.00
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MGM
Insufficient Data
Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
Current Price: $29.96
Fair Value: $0.00
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

Learn more →
INTC

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $66?

+54.7%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market pricing in significantly higher growth than history — aggressive.

MGM

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $30?

+37.5%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +10.1%

The market implies +37.5% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +10.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

Learn more →
INTC
17/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
MGM
36/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

Learn more →
INTC
-2.83
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MGM
-2.72
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

Learn more →
INTC
Insiders 13.9%Institutions 62.8%Retail & Other 23.3%
No. of Institutional Holders4,439
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MGM
Insiders 27.8%Institutions 67.3%Retail & Other 4.8%
No. of Institutional Holders867
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

Learn more →
INTC
1
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $10.25M
TAN LIP-BU
Chief Executive Officer
$10.00M
@ $95.00 · 2026-08-11
ZINSNER DAVID A
Chief Financial Officer
$249,985
@ $42.50 · 2026-01-26
GELSINGER PATRICK P
Chief Executive Officer
$251,198
@ $22.53 · 2024-11-04
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MGM
0
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $77.11M
IAC INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$37.22M
@ $37.22 · 2026-03-24
IAC INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.88M
@ $36.30 · 2025-12-05
HALKYARD JONATHAN S
Chief Financial Officer
$321,700
@ $32.17 · 2025-03-06
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

Learn more →
INTC
0
Sells (3M)
3
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $7.47M
CHANDRASEKARAN NAGASUBRAMANIYAN
Chief Technology Officer
$2.49M
@ $118.28 · 2026-05-29
MILLER BOISE APRIL
Officer
$4.01M
@ $99.53 · 2026-05-01
MILLER BOISE APRIL
Officer
$981,000
@ $49.05 · 2026-02-02
HOLTHAUS MICHELLE JOHNSTON
General Counsel
$650,000
@ $26.00 · 2024-11-07
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MGM
0
Sells (3M)
0
Sells (12M)
MCMANUS JOHN M
Officer
$2.17M
@ $36.12 · 2025-09-15
MEINERT TODD
Officer
$227,041
@ $37.84 · 2025-02-19
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
INTC
FearGreed
😨Fear(26/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MGM
FearGreed
😨Fear(31/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →
INTC
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (26)
MGM
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (31)
View INTC Full AnalysisView MGM Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: INTC vs MGM

Is Intel Corporation or MGM Resorts International more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, MGM trades at a -100.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $0 vs. price $30), compared to INTC's -696.5% margin of safety (intrinsic $8 vs. $66).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Intel Corporation or MGM Resorts International?▼

MGM scores 36/100 (None moat), while INTC scores 17/100 (None moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is MGM Resorts International in financial distress?▼

MGM's Altman Z-Score of 0.8 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. INTC scores 2.1 (Grey zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which company has better free cash flow, Intel Corporation or MGM Resorts International?▼

MGM Resorts International (MGM) generates a 19.3% free cash flow yield, compared to Intel Corporation's 0.2%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Intel Corporation or MGM Resorts International?▼

INTC earns 4.1% ROIC versus MGM's 1.0%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

INTC vs MGM: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io