Compare StocksGOOGL vs MGM

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) vs MGM Resorts International (MGM)

GOOGL
Alphabet Inc.
$385.69
VS
MGM
MGM Resorts International
$38.50

Rewards

GOOGL
  • Alphabet Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 60.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Alphabet Inc. scores 89/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
MGM
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 13.8% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • FCF yield of 14.8% is historically attractive — the business generates significant cash relative to its price.

Risks

GOOGL
  • FCF yield of 1.6% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
MGM
  • Trailing P/E of 52.7x is 148% above the historical average of 21.3x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • High leverage (9.51x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 12.8x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

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GOOGL
MGM
Valuation
$73.27B
Free Cash Flow
$1.46B
1.57%
FCF Yield
14.83%
29.42
Trailing P/E
52.74
27.06
Forward P/E
16.72
Quality & Moat
20.98%
ROIC
2.74%
27.61%
ROE
6.18%
60.37%
Gross Margin
44.16%
0.36
PEG Ratio
1.14
Balance Sheet Safety
0.20
Debt / Equity
9.51
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-0.19
Net Debt / EBITDA
12.84
0.22%
Dividend Yield
N/A
GOOGL: 8Ties: 1MGM: 2
GOOGLMGM

Historical Fundamentals

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GOOGL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

MGM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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GOOGL
$9.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$288.67B
Δ Market Cap
+$2.65T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
MGM
$-1.57
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$2.09B
Δ Market Cap
$-3.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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GOOGL
241.8% Overvalued
Price is 241.8% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $385.69
Fair Value: $112.84
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
MGM
Insufficient Data
Enter initial FCF to calculate intrinsic value
Current Price: $38.50
Fair Value: $0.00
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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GOOGL

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $386?

+23.5%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market pricing in significantly higher growth than history — aggressive.

MGM

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $39?

+39.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +11.7%

The market implies +39.2% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +11.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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GOOGL
89/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
MGM
36/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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GOOGL
-2.92
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
MGM
-2.72
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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GOOGL
Insiders 0.6%Institutions 80.8%Retail & Other 18.6%
No. of Institutional Holders7,168
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
MGM
Insiders 27.4%Institutions 72.4%Retail & Other 0.2%
No. of Institutional Holders805
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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GOOGL
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
MGM
1
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $77.11M
IAC INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$37.22M
@ $37.22 · 2026-03-24
IAC INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.88M
@ $36.30 · 2025-12-05
HALKYARD JONATHAN S
Chief Financial Officer
$321,700
@ $32.17 · 2025-03-06
SALEM PAUL J
Director
$4.99M
@ $33.80 · 2024-08-05
HALKYARD JONATHAN S
Chief Financial Officer
$340,000
@ $34.00 · 2024-08-05
HORNBUCKLE WILLIAM J IV
Chief Executive Officer
$1.99M
@ $33.73 · 2024-08-05
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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GOOGL
0
Sells (3M)
0
Sells (12M)
No open market insider sales found.
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
MGM
0
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $2.17M
MCMANUS JOHN M
Officer
$2.17M
@ $36.12 · 2025-09-15
MEINERT TODD
Officer
$227,041
@ $37.84 · 2025-02-19
JAMMET MARY CHRIS
Director
$178,582
@ $41.11 · 2024-05-20
HERMAN ALEXIS M
Director
$180,276
@ $41.50 · 2024-05-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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GOOGL
FearGreed
😏Greed(73/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
MGM
FearGreed
😐Neutral(54/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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GOOGL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (73)
MGM
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (54)
View GOOGL Full AnalysisView MGM Full Analysis
GOOGL vs MGM: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io