Compare StocksBRK-B vs UPS

Berkshire Hathaway Inc. (BRK-B) vs United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS)

BRK-B
Berkshire Hathaway Inc.
$468.52
VS
UPS
United Parcel Service, Inc.
$96.31

Rewards

BRK-B
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.95 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • PEG ratio of 0.13 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of -2.3x means the company holds more cash than debt — a net cash position.
UPS
  • United Parcel Service, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • United Parcel Service, Inc. scores 72/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

Risks

BRK-B
  • FCF yield of 6.1% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • Trailing P/E of 15.1x is 70% above the historical average of 8.9x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
UPS
  • Gross margin of 22.4% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • FCF yield of 5.7% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 20.1% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.

Key Valuation Metrics

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BRK-B
UPS
Valuation
$61.23B
Free Cash Flow
$4.68B
6.06%
FCF Yield
5.72%
15.10
Trailing P/E
15.56
21.74
Forward P/E
12.15
Quality & Moat
4.96%
ROIC
9.88%
9.18%
ROE
35.29%
27.78%
Gross Margin
22.44%
0.13
PEG Ratio
1.63
Balance Sheet Safety
0.18
Debt / Equity
1.82
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-2.28
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.92
N/A
Dividend Yield
6.10%
BRK-B: 6Ties: 2UPS: 3
BRK-BUPS

Historical Fundamentals

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BRK-B

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

UPS

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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BRK-B
$1.66
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Creator
Σ Retained
$252.19B
Δ Market Cap
+$417.89B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
UPS
$-34.39
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$1.89B
Δ Market Cap
$-65.09B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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BRK-B
31.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 31.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $468.52
Fair Value: $685.42
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
UPS
34.7% Margin of Safety
Price is 34.7% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $96.31
Fair Value: $147.46
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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BRK-B

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $469?

-0.4%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +0.8%

The market implies -0.4% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +0.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

UPS

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $96?

+6.9%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +9.2%

The market implies +6.9% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +9.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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BRK-B
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
UPS
72/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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BRK-B
-2.41
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
UPS
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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BRK-B
Insiders 0.3%Institutions 66.2%Retail & Other 33.6%
No. of Institutional Holders5,818
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
UPS
Insiders 0.0%Institutions 69.8%Retail & Other 30.2%
No. of Institutional Holders2,641
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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BRK-B
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
UPS
0
Buys (3M)
3
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.48M
SHI CHRISTIANA SMITH
Director
$44,084
@ $88.17 · 2025-08-22
TOME CAROL B.
Chief Executive Officer
$1.00M
@ $85.67 · 2025-08-01
JOHNSON WILLIAM R
Director
$432,477
@ $86.50 · 2025-07-31
JOHNSON WILLIAM R
Director
$643,034
@ $128.61 · 2024-07-25
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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BRK-B
0
Sells (3M)
0
Sells (12M)
No open market insider sales found.
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
UPS
0
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $2.66M
BROTHERS NORMAN MICHAEL JR.
Officer
$2.66M
@ $106.15 · 2026-01-28
BROTHERS NORMAN MICHAEL JR.
Officer
$1.02M
@ $138.57 · 2024-11-25
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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BRK-B
FearGreed
😐Neutral(50/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
UPS
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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BRK-B
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (50)
UPS
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View BRK-B Full AnalysisView UPS Full Analysis
BRK-B vs UPS: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io