PACCAR Inc designs, manufactures, and distributes light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks in the United States, Canada, Australia, Mexico, Europe, Central and South America, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS. Shaded region = analyst consensus for the current and next fiscal year (14 analysts).
| Parameter | BaseValue |
|---|---|
Initial Cash Flow | |
| Growth Rate (Yr 1-5) | % |
| Growth Rate (Yr 6-10) | % |
| Terminal Growth Rate | % |
| Discount Rate | % |
Base Case $154.28 Implied EV: $87.09B |
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $102?
The market implies +10.8% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +7.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Significantly undervalued with market fear — classic Buffett "be greedy when others are fearful" conditions
