Compare StocksNFLX vs UNP

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) vs Union Pacific Corporation (UNP)

NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
$92.06
VS
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation
$266.32

Rewards

NFLX
  • Netflix, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Netflix, Inc. scores 81/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with reinvestment efficiency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 80.1% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
UNP
  • Union Pacific Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Union Pacific Corporation scores 80/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

Risks

NFLX
  • FCF yield of 6.7% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • 9 insider sales totaling $94.8M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
UNP
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has produced only $0.15 of earning power — shareholders may have been better served by dividends.
  • PEG ratio of 3.54 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • Insiders have sold $8.5M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

Key Valuation Metrics

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NFLX
UNP
Valuation
$25.99B
Free Cash Flow
$5.50B
6.71%
FCF Yield
3.48%
29.70
Trailing P/E
21.94
23.97
Forward P/E
19.46
Quality & Moat
25.00%
ROIC
15.46%
35.28%
ROE
36.76%
49.03%
Gross Margin
56.53%
0.34
PEG Ratio
3.54
Balance Sheet Safety
0.54
Debt / Equity
1.62
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.31
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.42
N/A
Dividend Yield
2.07%
NFLX: 6Ties: 2UNP: 3
NFLXUNP

Historical Fundamentals

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NFLX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

UNP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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NFLX
$10.54
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$25.10B
Δ Market Cap
+$264.55B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
UNP
$0.98
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Mediocre Allocator
Σ Retained
$10.64B
Δ Market Cap
+$10.42B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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NFLX
77.6% Overvalued
Price is 77.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $92.06
Fair Value: $51.82
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
UNP
17.9% Overvalued
Price is 17.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $266.32
Fair Value: $225.93
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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NFLX

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $92?

+15.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +3.9%

The market implies +15.6% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +3.9%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

UNP

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $266?

+11.5%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +15.0%

The market implies +11.5% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +15.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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NFLX
81/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by reinvestment efficiency. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
UNP
80/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by margin stability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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NFLX
-1.96
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
UNP
-2.61
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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NFLX
Insiders 0.6%Institutions 84.3%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,646
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
UNP
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 89.0%Retail & Other 10.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,420
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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NFLX
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
UNP
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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NFLX
9
Sells (3M)
55
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $524.04M
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.81M
@ $98.00 · 2026-04-02
HASTINGS REED
Director
$40.16M
@ $95.49 · 2026-04-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.78M
@ $97.00 · 2026-03-02
HASTINGS REED
Director
$39.83M
@ $97.01 · 2026-03-02
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$5.47M
@ $95.50 · 2026-02-27
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.27M
@ $83.24 · 2026-02-10
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$259,253
@ $82.67 · 2026-02-10
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$464,231
@ $81.06 · 2026-02-09
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$751,598
@ $81.27 · 2026-02-06
HASTINGS REED
Director
$32.70M
@ $83.63 · 2026-02-02
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.77M
@ $82.94 · 2026-01-29
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$2.07M
@ $88.11 · 2026-01-16
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
Director
$2.82M
@ $88.86 · 2026-01-15
HASTINGS REED
Director
$39.08M
@ $91.67 · 2026-01-02
HASTINGS REED
Director
$40.71M
@ $108.43 · 2025-12-01
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$261,879
@ $1100.33 · 2025-11-06
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.22M
@ $1095.68 · 2025-11-04
SARANDOS THEODORE ANTHONY JR.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.21M
@ $1092.08 · 2025-11-04
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$34.60M
@ $1099.84 · 2025-11-04
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.59M
@ $1097.56 · 2025-11-03
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$269,200
@ $1121.67 · 2025-11-03
HASTINGS REED
Director
$45.28M
@ $1121.51 · 2025-10-31
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.05M
@ $1172.51 · 2025-10-01
HASTINGS REED
Director
$49.43M
@ $1171.92 · 2025-10-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.14M
@ $1207.76 · 2025-09-02
HASTINGS REED
Director
$31.35M
@ $1207.71 · 2025-09-02
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$274,538
@ $1153.52 · 2025-08-06
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$795,432
@ $1161.21 · 2025-08-06
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.34M
@ $1157.44 · 2025-08-05
SARANDOS THEODORE ANTHONY JR.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.35M
@ $1160.62 · 2025-08-05
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$491,276
@ $1158.67 · 2025-08-05
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.02M
@ $1162.40 · 2025-08-01
HASTINGS REED
Director
$26.46M
@ $1162.45 · 2025-08-01
MASIYIWA STRIVE
Director
$387,597
@ $1336.54 · 2025-07-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.40M
@ $1307.22 · 2025-07-01
HASTINGS REED
Director
$21.82M
@ $1295.78 · 2025-07-01
HASTINGS REED
Director
$12.86M
@ $1329.11 · 2025-07-01
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$797,841
@ $1286.84 · 2025-06-25
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$273,480
@ $1290.00 · 2025-06-25
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$546,290
@ $1267.49 · 2025-06-24
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$816,070
@ $1251.64 · 2025-06-05
MATHER ANN
Director
$1.36M
@ $1250.00 · 2025-06-05
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$273,175
@ $1225.00 · 2025-06-03
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.15M
@ $1211.67 · 2025-06-02
HASTINGS REED
Director
$32.63M
@ $1211.66 · 2025-06-02
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$764,653
@ $1194.77 · 2025-05-27
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$545,210
@ $1172.49 · 2025-05-15
MASIYIWA STRIVE
Director
$1.13M
@ $1124.26 · 2025-05-12
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
Director
$4.41M
@ $1124.26 · 2025-05-12
MATHER ANN
Director
$1.56M
@ $1150.00 · 2025-05-09
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$339,124
@ $1138.00 · 2025-05-07
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.31M
@ $1141.51 · 2025-05-06
SARANDOS THEODORE ANTHONY JR.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.31M
@ $1140.25 · 2025-05-06
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$782,915
@ $1141.28 · 2025-05-06
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$485,817
@ $1143.10 · 2025-05-06
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$271,400
@ $1150.00 · 2025-05-02
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.95M
@ $1132.38 · 2025-05-01
HASTINGS REED
Director
$30.57M
@ $1133.05 · 2025-05-01
DOPFNER MATHIAS
Director
$6.69M
@ $1112.65 · 2025-04-30
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$702,106
@ $1097.04 · 2025-04-25
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$848,491
@ $1047.52 · 2025-04-23
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$160,000
@ $1000.00 · 2025-04-21
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.40M
@ $921.72 · 2025-04-01
HASTINGS REED
Officer and Director
$23.36M
@ $921.15 · 2025-04-01
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$469,526
@ $978.18 · 2025-03-25
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.55M
@ $982.05 · 2025-03-03
HASTINGS REED
Officer and Director
$29.93M
@ $981.92 · 2025-03-03
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$635,027
@ $992.23 · 2025-02-26
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.73M
@ $1035.00 · 2025-02-13
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.09M
@ $1030.00 · 2025-02-10
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
UNP
3
Sells (3M)
3
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $8.46M
HAMANN JENNIFER L
Chief Financial Officer
$549,400
@ $274.70 · 2026-04-24
ROCKER KENYATTA G.
Officer
$7.44M
@ $271.76 · 2026-04-24
GEHRINGER ERIC J.
Officer
$469,625
@ $234.93 · 2026-03-20
RICHARDSON CRAIG V
Officer
$1.64M
@ $252.00 · 2025-01-27
WHITED ELIZABETH F.
President
$1.88M
@ $250.00 · 2025-01-24
WHITED ELIZABETH F.
President
$875,905
@ $246.59 · 2024-07-30
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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NFLX
FearGreed
😨Fear(37/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
UNP
FearGreed
😏Greed(65/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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NFLX
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (37)
UNP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (65)
View NFLX Full AnalysisView UNP Full Analysis
NFLX vs UNP: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io