Compare StocksSTX vs TSLA

Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) vs Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
$726.93
VS
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
$390.82

Rewards

STX
  • PEG ratio of 0.64 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
  • Altman Z-Score of 4.80 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
TSLA
  • Altman Z-Score of 19.94 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of -2.6x means the company holds more cash than debt — a net cash position.

Risks

STX
  • FCF yield of 1.0% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • Trailing P/E of 69.0x is 153% above the historical average of 27.3x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • High leverage (3.82x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
TSLA
  • ROIC has declined by 17.7 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • Gross margin of 19.1% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • Share count has increased by 19% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.

Key Valuation Metrics

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STX
TSLA
Valuation
$1.61B
Free Cash Flow
$5.25B
0.99%
FCF Yield
0.36%
68.97
Trailing P/E
358.55
27.67
Forward P/E
154.15
Quality & Moat
58.83%
ROIC
3.23%
134.16%
ROE
4.47%
41.57%
Gross Margin
19.06%
0.64
PEG Ratio
43.20
Balance Sheet Safety
3.82
Debt / Equity
0.19
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.86
Net Debt / EBITDA
-2.60
0.41%
Dividend Yield
N/A
STX: 7Ties: 1TSLA: 3
STXTSLA

Historical Fundamentals

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STX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

TSLA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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STX
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-492.0M
Δ Market Cap
+$47.53B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TSLA
$50.04
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$25.92B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.30T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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STX
57.1% Overvalued
Price is 57.1% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $726.93
Fair Value: $462.79
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TSLA
541.1% Overvalued
Price is 541.1% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $390.82
Fair Value: $60.97
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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STX

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $727?

+31.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +30.3%

The market implies +31.7% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +30.3%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

TSLA

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $391?

+49.8%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +44.8%

The market implies +49.8% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +44.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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STX
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
TSLA
31/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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STX
-1.47
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TSLA
-2.86
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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STX
Insiders 0.3%Institutions 87.8%Retail & Other 11.9%
No. of Institutional Holders1,832
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TSLA
Insiders 11.1%Institutions 44.7%Retail & Other 44.2%
No. of Institutional Holders5,238
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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STX
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TSLA
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $999.96M
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
$999.96M
@ $389.28 · 2025-09-12
GEBBIA JOSEPH
Director
$1.03M
@ $256.31 · 2025-04-24
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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STX
7
Sells (3M)
57
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $162.91M
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$8.41M
@ $420.73 · 2026-04-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$10.00M
@ $406.77 · 2026-03-19
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$42,273
@ $377.44 · 2026-03-13
CONYERS YOLANDA LEE
Director
$295,192
@ $393.59 · 2026-03-02
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$7.70M
@ $384.76 · 2026-03-02
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$98,400
@ $410.00 · 2026-02-24
CHONG KIAN FATT
Officer
$2.43M
@ $416.48 · 2026-02-23
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$8.59M
@ $429.27 · 2026-02-02
GELDMACHER JAY L
Director
$414,423
@ $448.02 · 2026-01-30
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$8.93M
@ $442.29 · 2026-01-29
LEE JAMES CI
Officer
$234,776
@ $348.85 · 2026-01-26
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$422,626
@ $299.31 · 2026-01-12
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$5.71M
@ $285.56 · 2026-01-02
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$32,984
@ $291.89 · 2025-12-15
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$594,759
@ $295.90 · 2025-12-11
CONYERS YOLANDA LEE
Director
$204,682
@ $272.91 · 2025-12-02
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$5.42M
@ $271.03 · 2025-12-01
ROMANO GIANLUCA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.13M
@ $266.69 · 2025-11-13
ROMANO GIANLUCA
Chief Financial Officer
$15.40M
@ $285.16 · 2025-11-12
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$408,040
@ $288.98 · 2025-11-11
LEE JAMES CI
Officer
$201,419
@ $288.98 · 2025-11-11
ARUMUGAVELU SHANKAR
Director
$1.47M
@ $294.56 · 2025-11-10
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$1.62M
@ $270.00 · 2025-11-05
TILENIUS STEPHANIE SCHEAR
Director
$545,084
@ $266.41 · 2025-11-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$5.26M
@ $262.82 · 2025-11-03
GELDMACHER JAY L
Director
$336,375
@ $269.10 · 2025-10-31
CHONG KIAN FATT
Officer
$1.93M
@ $272.14 · 2025-10-30
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$318,040
@ $225.56 · 2025-10-13
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$5.00M
@ $249.90 · 2025-10-01
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$79,645
@ $211.26 · 2025-09-16
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$3.00M
@ $195.80 · 2025-09-12
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$721,396
@ $193.30 · 2025-09-11
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$1.30M
@ $191.53 · 2025-09-10
CONYERS YOLANDA LEE
Director
$126,599
@ $168.80 · 2025-09-02
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$3.38M
@ $168.97 · 2025-09-02
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$261,376
@ $151.61 · 2025-08-11
GELDMACHER JAY L
Director
$376,250
@ $150.50 · 2025-08-06
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$915,275
@ $155.00 · 2025-08-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$3.07M
@ $153.75 · 2025-08-01
LEE JAMES CI
Officer
$714,145
@ $154.41 · 2025-08-01
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$248,400
@ $144.00 · 2025-07-11
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$2.89M
@ $144.66 · 2025-07-01
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$77,870
@ $130.00 · 2025-06-16
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$222,353
@ $129.05 · 2025-06-11
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$222,353
@ $129.05 · 2025-06-11
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$467,220
@ $130.00 · 2025-06-09
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$7.08M
@ $130.19 · 2025-06-09
TILENIUS STEPHANIE SCHEAR
Director
$344,801
@ $128.04 · 2025-06-05
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$9.28M
@ $124.24 · 2025-06-04
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$8.39M
@ $119.87 · 2025-06-03
CANNON MICHAEL REYE
Director
$2.88M
@ $119.00 · 2025-06-02
CONYERS YOLANDA LEE
Director
$87,758
@ $117.01 · 2025-06-02
ROMANO GIANLUCA
Chief Financial Officer
$6.09M
@ $117.45 · 2025-05-30
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$483,115
@ $115.00 · 2025-05-27
CHONG KIAN FATT
Officer
$713,148
@ $111.26 · 2025-05-22
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$7.66M
@ $109.47 · 2025-05-22
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$7.66M
@ $109.47 · 2025-05-22
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$1.69M
@ $84.56 · 2025-04-01
CONYERS YOLANDA LEE
Director
$77,212
@ $102.95 · 2025-03-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$2.03M
@ $101.57 · 2025-03-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$1.88M
@ $94.13 · 2025-02-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TSLA
3
Sells (3M)
15
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $294.75M
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$9.27M
@ $359.33 · 2026-03-30
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$899,077
@ $397.12 · 2026-03-06
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$10.69M
@ $415.56 · 2026-02-25
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$25.61M
@ $450.66 · 2025-12-09
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.17M
@ $443.93 · 2025-12-08
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$918,137
@ $352.45 · 2025-09-08
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.77M
@ $295.26 · 2025-07-08
ZHU XIAOTONG
Officer
$4.86M
@ $323.81 · 2025-06-12
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$732,573
@ $285.71 · 2025-06-09
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.40M
@ $342.30 · 2025-06-03
EHRENPREIS IRA MATTHEW
Director
$170.64M
@ $357.30 · 2025-05-27
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$32.73M
@ $357.39 · 2025-05-27
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.05M
@ $350.11 · 2025-05-16
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.20M
@ $300.00 · 2025-05-09
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$30.81M
@ $274.12 · 2025-05-06
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.14M
@ $284.40 · 2025-05-01
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$32.10M
@ $285.58 · 2025-04-29
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.00M
@ $250.00 · 2025-04-07
MURDOCH JAMES RUPERT
Director
$13.19M
@ $240.79 · 2025-03-10
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$718,111
@ $268.75 · 2025-03-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$33.67M
@ $299.61 · 2025-03-03
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.78M
@ $296.02 · 2025-03-03
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$27.59M
@ $367.87 · 2025-02-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$43.16M
@ $384.04 · 2025-02-03
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.68M
@ $383.11 · 2025-02-03
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$41.16M
@ $411.63 · 2025-01-06
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.89M
@ $413.56 · 2025-01-06
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$975,015
@ $374.29 · 2024-12-06
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$35.25M
@ $352.54 · 2024-12-04
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$39.79M
@ $354.06 · 2024-12-02
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.48M
@ $354.43 · 2024-12-02
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$35.34M
@ $314.44 · 2024-11-15
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$34.60M
@ $346.02 · 2024-11-11
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$3.80M
@ $316.91 · 2024-11-11
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$15.14M
@ $250.23 · 2024-11-01
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.01M
@ $251.76 · 2024-11-01
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.00M
@ $250.00 · 2024-10-24
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.00M
@ $250.00 · 2024-09-23
ZHU XIAOTONG
Officer
$65,867
@ $221.77 · 2024-09-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$14.60M
@ $219.96 · 2024-07-25
ZHU XIAOTONG
Officer
$113,151
@ $174.35 · 2024-06-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$17.32M
@ $184.86 · 2024-05-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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STX
FearGreed
😏Greed(73/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TSLA
FearGreed
😐Neutral(52/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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STX
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (73)
TSLA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (52)
View STX Full AnalysisView TSLA Full Analysis
STX vs TSLA: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io