SafetyMargin.ioSafetyMargin.io
BlogWatchlistCompare
Compare Stocks › DIS vs SBUX

The Walt Disney Company (DIS) vs Starbucks Corporation (SBUX)

DIS
The Walt Disney Company
$99.20
VS
SBUX
Starbucks Corporation
$95.83

Rewards

DIS
  • ★Free cash flow has grown at a 111.4% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $2.96 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • ★Management has timed buybacks well — 2 out of 2 years showed value-accretive repurchases.
SBUX
  • ★Starbucks Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Starbucks Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • ★Dividend yield of 2.59% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.

Risks

DIS
  • ⚠FCF yield of 5.7% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
SBUX
  • ⚠Gross margin of 22.2% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • ⚠Trailing P/E of 79.9x is 127% above the historical average of 35.2x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 4.1x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

Learn more →
DIS
SBUX
Valuation
$10.08B
Free Cash Flow
$-1.44B
5.73%
FCF Yield
-1.32%
14.61
Trailing P/E
79.86
13.48
Forward P/E
32.45
Quality & Moat
7.23%
ROIC
10.82%
10.88%
ROE
N/A
37.28%
Gross Margin
22.17%
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
0.41
Debt / Equity
N/A
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.12
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.13
1.51%
Dividend Yield
2.59%
DIS: 6Ties: 1SBUX: 2
DISSBUX

Historical Fundamentals

Learn more →
DIS

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

SBUX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

Learn more →
DIS
$2.96
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$16.56B
Δ Market Cap
+$49.03B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
SBUX
$-9.28
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$1.95B
Δ Market Cap
$-18.13B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

Learn more →
DIS
36.2% Margin of Safety
Price is 36.2% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $99.20
Fair Value: $155.45
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
SBUX
1.6% Overvalued
Price is 1.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $95.83
Fair Value: $94.35
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

Learn more →
DIS

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $99?

+5.9%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +8.7%

The market implies +5.9% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +8.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

SBUX

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

Learn more →
DIS
51/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
SBUX
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

Learn more →
DIS
-2.61
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
SBUX
-2.77
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

Learn more →
DIS
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 77.3%Retail & Other 22.6%
No. of Institutional Holders4,061
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
SBUX
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 84.8%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders2,899
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

Learn more →
DIS
1
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $2.11M
CHANG AMY L
Director
$98,791
@ $107.85 · 2026-02-12
GORMAN JAMES P
Director
$2.01M
@ $111.89 · 2025-12-12
MCDONALD CALVIN
Director
$999,994
@ $85.06 · 2024-08-08
GORMAN JAMES P
Director
$2.12M
@ $106.03 · 2024-05-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
SBUX
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $994,500
KNUDSTORP JORGEN VIG
Director
$994,500
@ $85.00 · 2025-11-10
KNUDSTORP JORGEN VIG
Director
$34,770
@ $91.50 · 2024-09-06
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

Learn more →
DIS
2
Sells (3M)
4
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $903,602
COLEMAN SONIA L
Officer
$281,922
@ $114.00 · 2026-01-22
COLEMAN SONIA L
Officer
$277,134
@ $114.00 · 2025-12-24
COLEMAN SONIA L
Officer
$233,701
@ $118.57 · 2025-08-25
WOODFORD BRENT A
Officer
$110,845
@ $110.84 · 2025-05-13
COLEMAN SONIA L
Officer
$74,936
@ $108.76 · 2025-01-22
COLEMAN SONIA L
Officer
$342,766
@ $111.36 · 2024-12-17
WOODFORD BRENT A
Officer
$917,920
@ $114.74 · 2024-12-11
IGER ROBERT A
Chief Executive Officer
$42.67M
@ $114.57 · 2024-11-22
WOODFORD BRENT A
Officer
$568,101
@ $113.62 · 2024-11-20
COLEMAN SONIA L
Officer
$279,772
@ $99.99 · 2024-11-11
COLEMAN SONIA L
Officer
$466,400
@ $106.00 · 2024-05-09
COLEMAN SONIA L
Officer
$226,405
@ $121.92 · 2024-04-01
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
SBUX
3
Sells (3M)
3
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $460,974
BREWER BRADY
Officer
$58,800
@ $100.00 · 2026-03-09
KELLY SARA
Officer
$242,800
@ $97.12 · 2026-03-05
BREWER BRADY
Officer
$159,374
@ $97.12 · 2026-03-05
KELLY SARA
Officer
$1.94M
@ $101.37 · 2024-11-29
RUGGERI RACHEL
Chief Financial Officer
$148,414
@ $99.54 · 2024-11-21
RUGGERI RACHEL
Chief Financial Officer
$143,850
@ $99.07 · 2024-11-15
CONWAY MICHAEL AARON
Officer
$305,598
@ $94.03 · 2024-08-15
RUGGERI RACHEL
Chief Executive Officer
$299,916
@ $91.16 · 2024-08-13
CONWAY MICHAEL AARON
Officer
$260,000
@ $80.00 · 2024-06-14
RUGGERI RACHEL
Chief Financial Officer
$300,000
@ $80.00 · 2024-05-22
KELLY SARA
Officer
$19,375
@ $77.50 · 2024-05-21
KELLY SARA
Officer
$22,000
@ $88.00 · 2024-04-22
CONWAY MICHAEL AARON
Officer
$277,518
@ $85.39 · 2024-04-15
KELLY SARA
Officer
$23,158
@ $92.63 · 2024-03-21
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
DIS
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
SBUX
FearGreed
😐Neutral(55/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →
DIS
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
SBUX
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (55)
View DIS Full AnalysisView SBUX Full Analysis
The Walt Disney Company (DIS) vs Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io