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Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) vs AT&T Inc. (T)

PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
$163.37
VS
T
AT&T Inc.
$27.74

Rewards

PM
  • ★Philip Morris International Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Philip Morris International Inc. scores 100/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
T
  • ★Free cash flow has grown at a 16.2% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $1.91 of market value — management is creating shareholder value.
  • ★FCF yield of 9.9% is historically attractive — the business generates significant cash relative to its price.

Risks

PM
  • ⚠5 insider sales totaling $27.7M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
T
  • ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.89 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.

Key Valuation Metrics

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PM
T
Valuation
$8.94B
Free Cash Flow
$19.44B
3.51%
FCF Yield
9.89%
22.47
Trailing P/E
9.13
17.76
Forward P/E
10.89
Quality & Moat
21.33%
ROIC
6.35%
N/A
ROE
17.04%
67.12%
Gross Margin
59.55%
N/A
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
N/A
Debt / Equity
1.24
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.39
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.19
3.60%
Dividend Yield
4.00%
PM: 3Ties: 1T: 5
PMT

Historical Fundamentals

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PM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

T

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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PM
$64.75
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$1.43B
Δ Market Cap
+$92.79B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
T
$1.91
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.78B
Δ Market Cap
+$43.59B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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PM
16.7% Overvalued
Price is 16.7% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $163.37
Fair Value: $140.04
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
T
53.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 53.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $27.74
Fair Value: $59.14
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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PM

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $163?

+11.5%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.7%

The market implies +11.5% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +14.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

T

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $28?

+4.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +5.8%

The market implies +4.2% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +5.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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PM
100/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
T
57/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with margin stability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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PM
-2.39
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
T
-2.78
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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PM
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 83.2%Retail & Other 16.6%
No. of Institutional Holders3,365
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
T
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 67.8%Retail & Other 32.1%
No. of Institutional Holders3,554
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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PM
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
T
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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PM
5
Sells (3M)
5
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $27.72M
KENNEDY STACEY
Officer
$2.63M
@ $183.13 · 2026-02-20
BABEAU EMMANUEL
Officer
$6.14M
@ $181.61 · 2026-02-19
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$3.65M
@ $182.58 · 2026-02-19
GUERIN YANN
Officer
$726,760
@ $181.69 · 2026-02-19
OLCZAK JACEK
Officer and Director
$14.57M
@ $182.18 · 2026-02-19
DAHLGREN LARS
Officer
$562,740
@ $152.96 · 2025-03-06
ANDOLINA MASSIMO
Officer
$2.73M
@ $156.05 · 2025-02-24
BABEAU EMMANUEL
Chief Financial Officer
$4.47M
@ $148.85 · 2025-02-20
BARTH WERNER
Officer
$1.49M
@ $148.67 · 2025-02-20
CALANTZOPOULOS ANDRE
Chairman of the Board
$6.06M
@ $149.06 · 2025-02-20
GUERIN YANN
General Counsel
$378,200
@ $151.28 · 2025-02-20
OLCZAK JACEK
Chief Executive Officer
$5.95M
@ $148.87 · 2025-02-20
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$2.17M
@ $144.54 · 2025-02-07
VOLPETTI STEFANO
Officer
$1.32M
@ $132.48 · 2024-10-31
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$3.27M
@ $130.96 · 2024-10-23
BARTH WERNER
Officer
$974,850
@ $129.98 · 2024-10-23
CALANTZOPOULOS ANDRE
Chairman of the Board
$13.23M
@ $129.85 · 2024-10-23
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$2.39M
@ $119.30 · 2024-08-22
ANDOLINA MASSIMO
Officer
$1.04M
@ $115.35 · 2024-08-08
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$2.26M
@ $113.01 · 2024-07-25
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$1.93M
@ $96.42 · 2024-04-25
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
T
0
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $41,348
SABRINA SANDERS S
Officer
$41,348
@ $27.57 · 2025-05-28
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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PM
FearGreed
😐Neutral(46/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
T
FearGreed
😐Neutral(59/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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PM
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (46)
T
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
View PM Full AnalysisView T Full Analysis