Compare StocksNEE vs PM

NextEra Energy, Inc. (NEE) vs Philip Morris International Inc. (PM): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-06-19, NEE is overvalued at $87, with a DCF intrinsic value of $27 and a margin of safety of -224%. PM is overvalued at $178, with an intrinsic value of $139 and a margin of safety of -28%. Of the two, PM has the wider margin of safety.

NEE
NextEra Energy, Inc.
$86.75
VS
PM
Philip Morris International Inc.
$178.40

Rewards

NEE
  • Gross margin of 61.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.56 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
PM
  • Philip Morris International Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 67.3% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Philip Morris International Inc. scores 100/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

NEE
  • NextEra Energy, Inc. scores only 24/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
  • High leverage (1.54x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 7.2x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
PM
  • PEG ratio of 2.57 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.

Key Valuation Metrics

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NEE
PM
Valuation
$-18.45B
Free Cash Flow
$8.58B
-10.20%
FCF Yield
3.08%
22.02
Trailing P/E
25.13
19.71
Forward P/E
19.54
Quality & Moat
3.88%
ROIC
22.73%
10.32%
ROE
N/A
61.40%
Gross Margin
67.28%
1.90
PEG Ratio
2.57
Balance Sheet Safety
1.54
Net Debt / Equity
N/A
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
7.23
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.50
2.89%
Dividend Yield
3.21%
NEE: 2Ties: 2PM: 6
NEEPM

Historical Fundamentals

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NEE

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

PM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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NEE
$0.13
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Destroyer
Σ Retained
$8.39B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.11B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
PM
$64.75
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$1.43B
Δ Market Cap
+$92.79B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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NEE
224.0% Overvalued
Price is 224.0% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $86.75
Fair Value: $26.77
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
PM
28.1% Overvalued
Price is 28.1% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $178.40
Fair Value: $139.23
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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NEE

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

PM

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $178?

+12.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +16.4%

The market implies +12.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +16.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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NEE
24/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though margin stability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
PM
100/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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NEE
-2.48
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
PM
-2.39
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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NEE
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 87.0%Retail & Other 12.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,865
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
PM
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 84.1%Retail & Other 15.7%
No. of Institutional Holders3,446
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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NEE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
PM
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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NEE
0
Sells (3M)
18
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $33.58M
DAGGS NICOLE J
Officer
$458,862
@ $93.00 · 2026-03-13
CREWS TERRELL KIRK II
Officer
$1.78M
@ $90.27 · 2026-03-09
MAY JAMES MICHAEL
Officer and Treasurer
$646,423
@ $90.27 · 2026-03-09
LEMASNEY MARK
Officer
$347,088
@ $90.27 · 2026-03-09
REAGAN RONALD R
Officer
$482,505
@ $95.00 · 2026-02-17
KETCHUM JOHN W.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.90M
@ $89.34 · 2026-02-09
SIEVING CHARLES E
Officer
$2.70M
@ $90.00 · 2026-02-04
REAGAN RONALD R
Officer
$1.68M
@ $90.00 · 2026-02-04
REAGAN RONALD R
Officer
$920,210
@ $85.00 · 2026-01-22
REAGAN RONALD R
Officer
$985,481
@ $81.25 · 2025-12-11
PIMENTEL ARMANDO JR.
Director
$12.18M
@ $83.91 · 2025-11-17
SIEVING CHARLES E
Officer
$906,880
@ $80.00 · 2025-10-03
LEMASNEY MARK
Officer
$62,943
@ $77.90 · 2025-10-01
LEMASNEY MARK
Officer
$63,365
@ $74.90 · 2025-09-25
LEMASNEY MARK
Officer
$60,827
@ $71.90 · 2025-09-12
DUNNE MICHAEL
Chief Financial Officer
$707,900
@ $70.79 · 2025-09-08
COFFEY ROBERT
Officer
$538,800
@ $71.84 · 2025-07-28
MAY JAMES MICHAEL
Officer and Treasurer
$168,718
@ $77.50 · 2025-07-22
SIEVING CHARLES E
Officer
$1.35M
@ $75.00 · 2025-05-16
SIEVING CHARLES E
Officer
$1.66M
@ $70.00 · 2025-05-09
MAY JAMES MICHAEL
Officer
$162,258
@ $68.09 · 2025-02-18
DAGGS NICOLE J
Officer
$302,809
@ $75.57 · 2024-11-12
SIEVING CHARLES E
Officer
$3.19M
@ $85.00 · 2024-09-16
PIMENTEL ARMANDO JR.
Officer of Subsidiary Company
$7.95M
@ $80.00 · 2024-08-26
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
PM
0
Sells (3M)
5
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $27.72M
KENNEDY STACEY
Officer
$2.63M
@ $183.13 · 2026-02-20
BABEAU EMMANUEL
Officer
$6.14M
@ $181.61 · 2026-02-19
GUERIN YANN
Officer
$726,760
@ $181.69 · 2026-02-19
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$3.65M
@ $182.58 · 2026-02-19
OLCZAK JACEK
Officer and Director
$14.57M
@ $182.18 · 2026-02-19
DAHLGREN LARS
Officer
$562,740
@ $152.96 · 2025-03-06
ANDOLINA MASSIMO
Officer
$2.73M
@ $156.05 · 2025-02-24
BABEAU EMMANUEL
Chief Financial Officer
$4.47M
@ $148.85 · 2025-02-20
GUERIN YANN
General Counsel
$378,200
@ $151.28 · 2025-02-20
CALANTZOPOULOS ANDRE
Chairman of the Board
$6.06M
@ $149.06 · 2025-02-20
BARTH WERNER
Officer
$1.49M
@ $148.67 · 2025-02-20
OLCZAK JACEK
Chief Executive Officer
$5.95M
@ $148.87 · 2025-02-20
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$2.17M
@ $144.54 · 2025-02-07
VOLPETTI STEFANO
Officer
$1.32M
@ $132.48 · 2024-10-31
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$3.27M
@ $130.96 · 2024-10-23
CALANTZOPOULOS ANDRE
Chairman of the Board
$13.23M
@ $129.85 · 2024-10-23
BARTH WERNER
Officer
$974,850
@ $129.98 · 2024-10-23
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$2.39M
@ $119.30 · 2024-08-22
ANDOLINA MASSIMO
Officer
$1.04M
@ $115.35 · 2024-08-08
DE WILDE FREDERIC J
Officer
$2.26M
@ $113.01 · 2024-07-25
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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NEE
FearGreed
😐Neutral(57/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
PM
FearGreed
😐Neutral(60/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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NEE
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (57)
PM
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (60)
View NEE Full AnalysisView PM Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: NEE vs PM

Is NextEra Energy, Inc. or Philip Morris International Inc. more undervalued in 2026?

Based on our discounted cash flow model, PM trades at a -28.1% margin of safety (intrinsic value $139 vs. price $178), compared to NEE's -224.0% margin of safety (intrinsic $27 vs. $87).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, NextEra Energy, Inc. or Philip Morris International Inc.?

PM scores 100/100 (Wide moat), while NEE scores 24/100 (None moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is NextEra Energy, Inc. in financial distress?

NEE's Altman Z-Score of 1.1 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. PM scores 3.9 (Safe zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which company has better free cash flow, NextEra Energy, Inc. or Philip Morris International Inc.?

Philip Morris International Inc. (PM) generates a 3.1% free cash flow yield, compared to NextEra Energy, Inc.'s -10.2%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, NextEra Energy, Inc. or Philip Morris International Inc.?

PM earns 22.7% ROIC versus NEE's 3.9%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, NextEra Energy, Inc.'s or Philip Morris International Inc.'s?

NEE's dividend earns a safety score of 54/100 (Borderline), compared to PM's 34/100 (Unsafe). NEE has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.