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Pfizer, Inc. (PFE) vs Sysco Corporation (SYY): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-08-03, PFE is undervalued at $25, with a DCF intrinsic value of $127985960274 and a margin of safety of 100%. SYY is overvalued at $85, with an intrinsic value of $62 and a margin of safety of -37%. Of the two, PFE has the wider margin of safety.

PFE
Pfizer, Inc.
$25.01
VS
SYY
Sysco Corporation
$85.24

Rewards

PFE
  • ★Gross margin of 74.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Trailing P/E of 19.1x is 37% below the historical average of 30.4x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.
SYY
  • ★Sysco Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • ★Sysco Corporation scores 90/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • ★Free cash flow has grown at a 11.5% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

PFE
  • ⚠ROIC has declined by 15.9 percentage points over the past 4 years, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • ⚠PEG ratio of 2.94 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • ⚠Altman Z-Score of 1.38 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
SYY
  • ⚠Gross margin of 18.5% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • ⚠High leverage (5.88x net debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.

Key Valuation Metrics

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PFE
SYY
Valuation
$12.38B
Free Cash Flow
$1.87B
N/A
FCF Yield
4.58%
19.09
Trailing P/E
23.68
8.85
Forward P/E
17.24
Quality & Moat
10.19%
ROIC
13.98%
8.31%
ROE
81.89%
74.80%
Gross Margin
18.54%
2.94
PEG Ratio
1.67
Balance Sheet Safety
0.57
Net Debt / Equity
5.88
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.03
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.96
6.88%
Dividend Yield
2.58%
PFE: 7Ties: 1SYY: 3
PFESYY

Historical Fundamentals

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PFE

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

SYY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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PFE
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-10.61B
Δ Market Cap
$-26.34
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
SYY
$-1.45
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$2.55B
Δ Market Cap
$-3.70B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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PFE
100.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 100.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $25.01
Fair Value: $127985960274.09
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
SYY
36.9% Overvalued
Price is 36.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $85.24
Fair Value: $62.25
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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PFE

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $25?

-14.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -15.0%

The market implies -14.2% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding -15.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

SYY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $85?

+11.8%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +12.8%

The market implies +11.8% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +12.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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PFE
35/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
SYY
90/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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PFE
-2.53
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
SYY
-2.60
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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PFE
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 69.5%Retail & Other 30.4%
No. of Institutional Holders3,661
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
SYY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 90.4%Retail & Other 9.5%
No. of Institutional Holders2,056
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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PFE
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
BLAYLOCK RONALD E
Director
$499,072
@ $25.65 · 2025-02-13
GOTTLIEB SCOTT
Director
$28,240
@ $28.24 · 2024-10-30
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
SYY
1
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.00M
HINSHAW JOHN M
Director
$1.00M
@ $75.17 · 2026-05-26
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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PFE
1
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $51,400
DAMICO JENNIFER B.
Officer
$51,400
@ $25.70 · 2026-06-09
DAMICO JENNIFER B.
Officer
$64,825
@ $25.93 · 2025-03-04
DAMICO JENNIFER B.
Officer
$147,714
@ $28.66 · 2024-08-13
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
SYY
0
Sells (3M)
6
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.88M
TALTON SHEILA
Director
$232,455
@ $82.99 · 2026-02-02
PHILLIPS RONALD L
Officer
$453,681
@ $81.00 · 2026-01-27
PHILLIPS RONALD L
Officer
$77,841
@ $81.00 · 2025-09-11
PHILLIPS RONALD L
Officer
$595,431
@ $81.00 · 2025-09-02
PHILLIPS RONALD L
Officer
$509,166
@ $81.00 · 2025-08-13
GUTIERREZ VICTORIA L
Officer
$10,807
@ $80.65 · 2025-08-11
PHILLIPS RONALD L
Officer
$3.05M
@ $81.00 · 2025-07-23
BERTRAND GREG D
Officer
$3.20M
@ $80.00 · 2025-07-22
TALTON SHEILA
Director
$25,228
@ $70.87 · 2025-05-01
BERTRAND GREG D
Officer
$3.70M
@ $77.00 · 2025-01-02
BERTRAND GREG D
Officer
$1.75M
@ $80.00 · 2024-12-04
MCFADDEN EVE MANTELL
General Counsel
$519,920
@ $80.00 · 2024-12-04
TALTON SHEILA
Director
$216,427
@ $74.63 · 2024-11-19
MCFADDEN EVE MANTELL
General Counsel
$303,104
@ $75.10 · 2024-11-01
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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PFE
FearGreed
😐Neutral(52/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
SYY
FearGreed
😏Greed(61/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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PFE
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (52)
SYY
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (61)
View PFE Full AnalysisView SYY Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: PFE vs SYY

Is Pfizer, Inc. or Sysco Corporation more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, PFE trades at a 100.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $127985960274 vs. price $25), compared to SYY's -36.9% margin of safety (intrinsic $62 vs. $85).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Pfizer, Inc. or Sysco Corporation?▼

SYY scores 90/100 (Wide moat), while PFE scores 35/100 (None moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is Pfizer, Inc. in financial distress?▼

PFE's Altman Z-Score of 1.4 places it in the Distress zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. SYY scores 5.0 (Safe zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Pfizer, Inc. or Sysco Corporation?▼

SYY earns 14.0% ROIC versus PFE's 10.2%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, Pfizer, Inc.'s or Sysco Corporation's?▼

SYY's dividend earns a safety score of 69/100 (Safe), compared to PFE's 24/100 (Unsafe). SYY has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.

PFE vs SYY: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io