Compare StocksORLY vs TSLA

O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. (ORLY) vs Tesla, Inc. (TSLA)

ORLY
O'Reilly Automotive, Inc.
$87.91
VS
TSLA
Tesla, Inc.
$380.30

Rewards

ORLY
  • O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • O'Reilly Automotive, Inc. scores 89/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.32 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
TSLA
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $50.04 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • Altman Z-Score of 19.94 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of -2.8x means the company holds more cash than debt — a net cash position.

Risks

ORLY
  • FCF yield of 2.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • PEG ratio of 2.13 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • 10 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.
TSLA
  • ROIC has declined by 17.7 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • Gross margin of 18.0% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
  • Share count has increased by 19% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ORLY
TSLA
Valuation
$1.59B
Free Cash Flow
$6.22B
2.15%
FCF Yield
0.44%
29.60
Trailing P/E
358.77
24.60
Forward P/E
135.32
Quality & Moat
31.05%
ROIC
3.61%
N/A
ROE
4.58%
51.59%
Gross Margin
18.03%
2.13
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
N/A
Debt / Equity
0.18
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.09
Net Debt / EBITDA
-2.79
N/A
Dividend Yield
N/A
ORLY: 5Ties: 1TSLA: 2
ORLYTSLA

Historical Fundamentals

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ORLY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

TSLA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ORLY
$3.32
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$7.27B
Δ Market Cap
+$24.16B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TSLA
$50.04
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$25.92B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.30T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ORLY
30.2% Overvalued
Price is 30.2% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $87.91
Fair Value: $67.50
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TSLA
367.6% Overvalued
Price is 367.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $380.30
Fair Value: $81.33
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ORLY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $88?

+14.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +20.7%

The market implies +14.3% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +20.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

TSLA

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $380?

+49.4%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +41.8%

The market implies +49.4% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +41.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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ORLY
89/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
TSLA
31/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ORLY
-2.49
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TSLA
-2.86
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ORLY
Insiders 0.8%Institutions 88.8%Retail & Other 10.4%
No. of Institutional Holders2,296
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TSLA
Insiders 11.1%Institutions 44.6%Retail & Other 44.3%
No. of Institutional Holders5,299
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ORLY
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TSLA
0
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.00B
MUSK ELON REEVE
Chief Executive Officer
$999.96M
@ $389.28 · 2025-09-12
GEBBIA JOSEPH
Director
$1.03M
@ $256.31 · 2025-04-24
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ORLY
1
Sells (3M)
10
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $13.43M
SASTRE MARIA AMALIA
Director
$92,681
@ $92.68 · 2026-02-27
MANCINI CHRISTOPHER ANDREW
Officer
$238,585
@ $101.31 · 2025-11-26
HOPPER PHILIP M
Officer
$354,361
@ $101.25 · 2025-11-26
FLETCHER JEREMY ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$379,500
@ $100.00 · 2025-11-18
WILBANKS CARL DAVID
Officer
$9.07M
@ $102.54 · 2025-08-13
SASTRE MARIA AMALIA
Director
$60,877
@ $102.31 · 2025-08-13
REAVES SHARI LYNNE
Officer
$207,613
@ $103.81 · 2025-08-06
ODEMS RAMON PARISES
Officer
$2.72M
@ $1360.45 · 2025-05-30
MONTELLANO NAJERA JOSE A
Officer
$25,686
@ $1351.89 · 2025-05-29
MURPHY JOHN RAYMOND
Director
$275,800
@ $1379.00 · 2025-05-19
MANCINI CHRISTOPHER ANDREW
Officer
$2.11M
@ $1354.01 · 2025-02-27
REAVES SHARI LYNNE
Officer
$115,611
@ $1344.31 · 2025-02-27
CONN TAMARA F
General Counsel
$2.02M
@ $1326.78 · 2025-02-26
TARRANT JASON LEE
Officer
$2.67M
@ $1339.10 · 2025-02-25
HENSLEE GREGORY L
Chairman of the Board
$11.88M
@ $1319.95 · 2025-02-25
WEISS ANDREA M
Director
$325,184
@ $1311.23 · 2025-02-24
BECKHAM BRAD WALTER
Chief Executive Officer
$1.08M
@ $1300.00 · 2025-02-19
DUMAS ROBERT ALLEN
Officer
$6.67M
@ $1334.09 · 2025-02-13
ROGERS CHARLES FRANCIS
Officer
$4.62M
@ $1335.31 · 2025-02-13
MERZ MARK JOSEPH
Officer
$662,500
@ $1325.00 · 2025-02-12
SASTRE MARIA AMALIA
Director
$326,410
@ $1316.17 · 2025-02-12
CONN TAMARA F
General Counsel
$2.18M
@ $1245.36 · 2024-11-29
LOAFMAN JEFFERY THOMAS
Officer
$769,042
@ $1240.39 · 2024-11-25
WEISS ANDREA M
Director
$734,442
@ $1224.07 · 2024-11-22
O'REILLY DAVID E
Officer and Director
$6.15M
@ $1230.00 · 2024-11-11
KALE JUSTIN CHRISTOPHER
Officer
$119,229
@ $1157.56 · 2024-11-05
MANCINI CHRISTOPHER ANDREW
Officer
$1.75M
@ $1125.00 · 2024-08-27
CONN TAMARA F
General Counsel
$2.27M
@ $1135.00 · 2024-08-15
WILBANKS CARL DAVID
Officer
$5.63M
@ $1125.38 · 2024-08-14
PERLMAN DANA N
Director
$53,268
@ $1109.75 · 2024-08-07
JOHNSON GREGORY DALE
Director
$17.46M
@ $1136.16 · 2024-07-31
MERZ MARK JOSEPH
Officer
$462,560
@ $1120.00 · 2024-07-30
HOPPER PHILIP M
Officer
$1.15M
@ $1122.75 · 2024-07-30
HENSLEE GREGORY L
Chairman of the Board
$20.59M
@ $1127.55 · 2024-07-30
BECKHAM BRAD WALTER
Chief Executive Officer
$6.12M
@ $1015.00 · 2024-05-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TSLA
2
Sells (3M)
17
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $319.71M
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$899,077
@ $397.12 · 2026-03-06
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$10.69M
@ $415.56 · 2026-02-25
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$25.61M
@ $450.66 · 2025-12-09
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.17M
@ $443.93 · 2025-12-08
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$918,137
@ $352.45 · 2025-09-08
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.77M
@ $295.26 · 2025-07-08
ZHU XIAOTONG
Officer
$4.86M
@ $323.81 · 2025-06-12
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$732,573
@ $285.71 · 2025-06-09
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.40M
@ $342.30 · 2025-06-03
EHRENPREIS IRA MATTHEW
Director
$170.64M
@ $357.30 · 2025-05-27
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$32.73M
@ $357.39 · 2025-05-27
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.05M
@ $350.11 · 2025-05-16
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.20M
@ $300.00 · 2025-05-09
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$30.81M
@ $274.12 · 2025-05-06
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.14M
@ $284.40 · 2025-05-01
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$32.10M
@ $285.58 · 2025-04-29
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.00M
@ $250.00 · 2025-04-07
MURDOCH JAMES RUPERT
Director
$13.19M
@ $240.79 · 2025-03-10
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$718,111
@ $268.75 · 2025-03-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$33.67M
@ $299.61 · 2025-03-03
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.78M
@ $296.02 · 2025-03-03
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$27.59M
@ $367.87 · 2025-02-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$43.16M
@ $384.04 · 2025-02-03
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.68M
@ $383.11 · 2025-02-03
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.89M
@ $413.56 · 2025-01-06
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$41.16M
@ $411.63 · 2025-01-06
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$975,015
@ $374.29 · 2024-12-06
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$35.25M
@ $352.54 · 2024-12-04
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$39.79M
@ $354.06 · 2024-12-02
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.48M
@ $354.43 · 2024-12-02
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$35.34M
@ $314.44 · 2024-11-15
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$3.80M
@ $316.91 · 2024-11-11
WILSON - THOMPSON KATHLEEN
Director
$34.60M
@ $346.02 · 2024-11-11
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.01M
@ $251.76 · 2024-11-01
MUSK KIMBAL J
Director
$15.14M
@ $250.23 · 2024-11-01
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$1.00M
@ $250.00 · 2024-10-24
TANEJA VAIBHAV
Chief Financial Officer
$2.00M
@ $250.00 · 2024-09-23
ZHU XIAOTONG
Officer
$65,867
@ $221.77 · 2024-09-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$14.60M
@ $219.96 · 2024-07-25
ZHU XIAOTONG
Officer
$113,151
@ $174.35 · 2024-06-06
DENHOLM ROBYN M
Director
$17.32M
@ $184.86 · 2024-05-06
BAGLINO ANDREW D
Officer
$1.85M
@ $176.20 · 2024-04-01
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ORLY
FearGreed
😨Fear(36/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TSLA
FearGreed
😐Neutral(47/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ORLY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (36)
TSLA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (47)
View ORLY Full AnalysisView TSLA Full Analysis