Compare StocksORCL vs TKO

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) vs TKO Group Holdings, Inc. (TKO)

ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$155.52
VS
TKO
TKO Group Holdings, Inc.
$197.31

Rewards

ORCL
  • Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
TKO
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 33.3% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

ORCL
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
TKO
  • FCF yield of 7.4% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.42 flags financial patterns consistent with potential earnings manipulation — warrants further investigation.
  • 24 insider sales totaling $34.6M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ORCL
TKO
Valuation
$-22.30B
Free Cash Flow
$1.16B
-4.99%
FCF Yield
7.44%
27.92
Trailing P/E
86.92
19.51
Forward P/E
50.11
Quality & Moat
8.22%
ROIC
2.74%
31.86%
ROE
2.11%
67.08%
Gross Margin
59.81%
1.14
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
4.15
Debt / Equity
0.44
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
4.48
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.35
1.29%
Dividend Yield
1.58%
ORCL: 5Ties: 1TKO: 5
ORCLTKO

Historical Fundamentals

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ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

TKO

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TKO
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-591.6M
Δ Market Cap
+$10.56B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ORCL
235.9% Overvalued
Price is 235.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $155.52
Fair Value: $46.30
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TKO
41.9% Overvalued
Price is 41.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $197.31
Fair Value: $139.06
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

TKO

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $197?

+29.4%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +4.8%

The market implies +29.4% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +4.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
TKO
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TKO
-1.42
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.3%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,769
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TKO
Insiders 16.9%Institutions 99.9%
No. of Institutional Holders881
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TKO
0
Buys (3M)
4
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $500.32M
BYNOE PETER C B
Director
$150,220
@ $203.00 · 2025-09-16
BYNOE PETER C B
Director
$166,198
@ $169.59 · 2025-06-05
SILVER LAKE WEST VOTECO, L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$250.00M
@ $158.32 · 2025-06-03
ENDEAVOR GROUP HOLDINGS, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$250.00M
@ $158.32 · 2025-06-03
MEDINA SONYA E.
Director
$33,303
@ $142.93 · 2025-03-17
KRAFT JONATHAN
Director
$3.53M
@ $150.13 · 2025-03-07
EMANUEL ARIEL Z
Chief Executive Officer
$68.13M
@ $174.48 · 2025-02-12
WHITESELL PATRICK
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$68.13M
@ $174.48 · 2025-02-12
SILVER LAKE WEST HOLDCO, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$68.13M
@ $174.48 · 2025-02-12
EMANUEL ARIEL Z
Chief Executive Officer
$54.18M
@ $163.27 · 2025-02-07
WHITESELL PATRICK
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$54.18M
@ $163.27 · 2025-02-07
SILVER LAKE WEST HOLDCO, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$54.18M
@ $163.27 · 2025-02-07
EMANUEL ARIEL Z
Chief Executive Officer
$39.55M
@ $157.27 · 2025-02-04
WHITESELL PATRICK
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.55M
@ $157.27 · 2025-02-04
SILVER LAKE WEST HOLDCO, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.55M
@ $157.27 · 2025-02-04
EMANUEL ARIEL Z
Chief Executive Officer
$40.71M
@ $157.44 · 2025-01-30
SILVER LAKE WEST HOLDCO, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$40.71M
@ $157.44 · 2025-01-30
EMANUEL ARIEL Z
Chief Executive Officer
$48.00M
@ $152.27 · 2025-01-27
WHITESELL PATRICK
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.00M
@ $152.27 · 2025-01-27
EMANUEL ARIEL Z
Chief Executive Officer
$50.28M
@ $143.65 · 2025-01-22
WHITESELL PATRICK
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$50.28M
@ $143.65 · 2025-01-22
SILVER LAKE WEST HOLDCO, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$50.28M
@ $143.65 · 2025-01-22
EMANUEL ARIEL Z
Chief Executive Officer
$77.40M
@ $147.04 · 2024-12-17
WHITESELL PATRICK
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$77.40M
@ $147.04 · 2024-12-17
SILVER LAKE WEST HOLDCO, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$77.40M
@ $147.04 · 2024-12-17
EMANUEL ARIEL Z
Chief Executive Officer
$48.13M
@ $142.64 · 2024-12-13
WHITESELL PATRICK
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.13M
@ $142.64 · 2024-12-13
SILVER LAKE WEST HOLDCO, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.13M
@ $142.64 · 2024-12-13
EMANUEL ARIEL Z
Chief Executive Officer
$146.24M
@ $89.01 · 2024-04-09
WHITESELL PATRICK
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$146.24M
@ $89.01 · 2024-04-09
SILVER LAKE WEST HOLDCO, L.P.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$146.24M
@ $89.01 · 2024-04-09
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ORCL
4
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.32M
@ $116.00 · 2024-05-03
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.90M
@ $116.13 · 2024-05-01
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$346.77M
@ $126.10 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TKO
24
Sells (3M)
36
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $54.64M
KAPRAL SHANE
Chief Financial Officer
$50,584
@ $199.15 · 2026-03-09
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$2.10M
@ $220.29 · 2026-03-03
KAPRAL SHANE
Chief Financial Officer
$136,697
@ $221.91 · 2026-03-03
KAPRAL SHANE
Chief Financial Officer
$129,360
@ $210.00 · 2026-02-23
KAPRAL SHANE
Officer
$128,134
@ $208.01 · 2026-02-17
KAPRAL SHANE
Officer
$130,309
@ $211.54 · 2026-02-09
KAPRAL SHANE
Officer
$124,457
@ $202.04 · 2026-02-02
KRAUSS SETH D
Officer
$455,802
@ $200.71 · 2026-01-27
KAPRAL SHANE
Chief Financial Officer
$124,671
@ $202.72 · 2026-01-27
SHAPIRO MARK S
President
$2.90M
@ $201.98 · 2026-01-22
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$1.56M
@ $201.98 · 2026-01-22
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$1.92M
@ $201.31 · 2026-01-22
KAPRAL SHANE
Chief Financial Officer
$374,962
@ $202.57 · 2026-01-22
SCHLEIMER ANDREW M
Chief Financial Officer
$2.42M
@ $201.98 · 2026-01-22
KRAUSS SETH D
Officer
$2.82M
@ $201.22 · 2026-01-21
KAPRAL SHANE
Officer
$148,924
@ $198.83 · 2026-01-12
KRAUSS SETH D
Officer
$1.14M
@ $200.39 · 2026-01-09
KAPRAL SHANE
Chief Financial Officer
$45,129
@ $201.47 · 2026-01-07
SHAPIRO MARK S
President
$6.54M
@ $204.08 · 2026-01-05
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$7.64M
@ $204.01 · 2026-01-05
KAPRAL SHANE
Chief Financial Officer
$397,385
@ $204.21 · 2026-01-05
SCHLEIMER ANDREW M
Chief Financial Officer
$1.17M
@ $204.08 · 2026-01-05
KRAUSS SETH D
Officer
$2.03M
@ $207.67 · 2026-01-02
KAPRAL SHANE
Officer
$109,115
@ $215.22 · 2025-12-29
KAPRAL SHANE
Chief Financial Officer
$52,436
@ $206.44 · 2025-12-15
KAPRAL SHANE
Chief Financial Officer
$51,412
@ $202.41 · 2025-12-08
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$1.86M
@ $195.16 · 2025-12-03
KAPRAL SHANE
Officer
$48,976
@ $192.82 · 2025-12-01
KAPRAL SHANE
Chief Financial Officer
$45,293
@ $178.32 · 2025-11-24
KAPRAL SHANE
Chief Financial Officer
$46,624
@ $183.56 · 2025-11-17
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$1.79M
@ $188.26 · 2025-11-03
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$1.88M
@ $197.82 · 2025-10-03
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$1.77M
@ $186.43 · 2025-09-03
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$9.31M
@ $170.22 · 2025-07-22
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$1.68M
@ $176.96 · 2025-07-03
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$1.51M
@ $158.46 · 2025-06-02
KRAUSS SETH D
Officer
$350,584
@ $143.80 · 2025-01-21
KAPRAL SHANE
Officer
$18,694
@ $143.80 · 2025-01-21
SCHLEIMER ANDREW M
Chief Financial Officer
$469,507
@ $143.80 · 2025-01-21
SHAPIRO MARK S
Officer and Director
$4.49M
@ $141.94 · 2025-01-03
KRAUSS SETH D
Officer
$576,986
@ $141.94 · 2025-01-03
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$3.90M
@ $141.94 · 2025-01-03
KAPRAL SHANE
Officer
$146,766
@ $141.94 · 2025-01-03
SCHLEIMER ANDREW M
Chief Financial Officer
$769,173
@ $141.94 · 2025-01-03
SHAPIRO MARK S
President
$3.56M
@ $114.76 · 2024-09-16
KHAN NICHOLAS
Director
$4.89M
@ $105.78 · 2024-07-23
MCMAHON VINCENT K
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$311.24M
@ $89.01 · 2024-04-10
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ORCL
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TKO
FearGreed
😐Neutral(42/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ORCL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
TKO
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (42)
View ORCL Full AnalysisView TKO Full Analysis