Compare StocksORCL vs TDG

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) vs TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG)

ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$155.52
VS
TDG
TransDigm Group Incorporated
$1191.94

Rewards

ORCL
  • Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
TDG
  • TransDigm Group Incorporated has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • TransDigm Group Incorporated scores 94/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 29.9% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

ORCL
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
TDG
  • FCF yield of 2.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 5.9x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
  • Insiders have sold $16.3M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ORCL
TDG
Valuation
$-22.30B
Free Cash Flow
$1.82B
-4.99%
FCF Yield
2.70%
27.92
Trailing P/E
38.31
19.51
Forward P/E
25.97
Quality & Moat
8.22%
ROIC
10.92%
31.86%
ROE
N/A
67.08%
Gross Margin
59.69%
1.14
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
4.15
Debt / Equity
N/A
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
4.48
Net Debt / EBITDA
5.93
1.29%
Dividend Yield
N/A
ORCL: 4Ties: 1TDG: 3
ORCLTDG

Historical Fundamentals

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ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

TDG

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TDG
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-6.62B
Δ Market Cap
+$40.74B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ORCL
235.9% Overvalued
Price is 235.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $155.52
Fair Value: $46.30
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TDG
29.7% Overvalued
Price is 29.7% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $1191.94
Fair Value: $918.76
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

TDG

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $1192?

+19.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +20.8%

The market implies +19.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +20.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
TDG
94/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Margin Stability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TDG
-2.38
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.3%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,769
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TDG
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 97.3%Retail & Other 2.3%
No. of Institutional Holders1,495
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TDG
2
Buys (3M)
3
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84M
SMALL ROBERT J
Director
$1,285
@ $1285.00 · 2026-02-25
LISMAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$1.22M
@ $1284.26 · 2026-02-06
LISMAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$2.62M
@ $1339.14 · 2025-11-14
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ORCL
4
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.32M
@ $116.00 · 2024-05-03
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.90M
@ $116.13 · 2024-05-01
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$346.77M
@ $126.10 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TDG
5
Sells (3M)
23
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $80.94M
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.85M
@ $1243.70 · 2026-03-16
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$5.05M
@ $1293.88 · 2026-02-17
MURPHY PATRICK JOSEPH
Chief Operating Officer
$414,729
@ $1430.10 · 2026-02-02
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$5.58M
@ $1429.92 · 2026-01-15
MURPHY PATRICK JOSEPH
Chief Operating Officer
$385,419
@ $1329.03 · 2026-01-02
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$5.03M
@ $1290.52 · 2025-12-15
SMALL ROBERT J
Director
$6.06M
@ $1290.19 · 2025-12-10
MURPHY PATRICK JOSEPH
Chief Operating Officer
$391,807
@ $1351.06 · 2025-12-01
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$5.23M
@ $1340.00 · 2025-11-17
MURPHY PATRICK JOSEPH
Chief Operating Officer
$379,900
@ $1310.00 · 2025-11-03
MURPHY PATRICK JOSEPH
Chief Operating Officer
$785,761
@ $1354.76 · 2025-10-27
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$3.84M
@ $1279.59 · 2025-10-20
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$3.83M
@ $1276.07 · 2025-09-22
GRAFF MICHAEL S
Director
$2.47M
@ $1402.09 · 2025-08-26
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.22M
@ $1406.07 · 2025-08-20
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.79M
@ $1597.86 · 2025-07-21
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.27M
@ $1424.27 · 2025-06-20
WYNNE SARAH
Chief Financial Officer
$2.61M
@ $1450.00 · 2025-06-13
WYNNE SARAH
Chief Financial Officer
$4.65M
@ $1452.15 · 2025-06-12
HENNESSY SEAN P
Director
$6.75M
@ $1436.52 · 2025-05-20
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.30M
@ $1434.35 · 2025-05-20
WARREN JESSICA L
General Counsel
$698,250
@ $1425.00 · 2025-05-13
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.36M
@ $1321.80 · 2025-04-21
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.08M
@ $1360.04 · 2025-03-20
WARREN JESSICA L
General Counsel
$378,487
@ $1376.32 · 2025-03-04
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$3.97M
@ $1323.02 · 2025-02-20
SMALL ROBERT J
Director
$4.83M
@ $1322.19 · 2025-02-14
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.08M
@ $1359.06 · 2025-01-21
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$3.77M
@ $1257.09 · 2024-12-20
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$3.76M
@ $1253.39 · 2024-11-20
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ORCL
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TDG
FearGreed
😨Fear(35/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ORCL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
TDG
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (35)
View ORCL Full AnalysisView TDG Full Analysis
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) vs TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io