Compare StocksORCL vs SPG

Oracle Corporation (ORCL) vs Simon Property Group, Inc. (SPG)

ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$155.52
VS
SPG
Simon Property Group, Inc.
$191.31

Rewards

ORCL
  • Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
SPG
  • Gross margin of 81.9% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $106.00 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

ORCL
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
SPG
  • FCF yield of 5.2% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • High leverage (4.35x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 6.0x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

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ORCL
SPG
Valuation
$-22.30B
Free Cash Flow
$3.20B
-4.99%
FCF Yield
5.15%
27.92
Trailing P/E
13.49
19.51
Forward P/E
27.68
Quality & Moat
8.22%
ROIC
6.96%
31.86%
ROE
68.96%
67.08%
Gross Margin
81.90%
1.14
PEG Ratio
0.04
Balance Sheet Safety
4.15
Debt / Equity
4.35
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
4.48
Net Debt / EBITDA
6.03
1.29%
Dividend Yield
4.52%
ORCL: 3Ties: 2SPG: 7
ORCLSPG

Historical Fundamentals

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ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

SPG

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
SPG
$106.00
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$205.6M
Δ Market Cap
+$21.79B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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ORCL
235.9% Overvalued
Price is 235.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $155.52
Fair Value: $46.30
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
SPG
13.2% Overvalued
Price is 13.2% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $191.31
Fair Value: $168.93
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

SPG

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $191?

+7.4%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +12.4%

The market implies +7.4% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +12.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
SPG
60/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
SPG
-2.24
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.3%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,769
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
SPG
Insiders 1.8%Institutions 93.1%Retail & Other 5.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,779
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
SPG
0
Buys (3M)
14
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $654,981
LEWIS RANDALL J.
Director
$100,258
@ $183.96 · 2025-12-15
LEWIS RANDALL J.
Director
$106,310
@ $180.80 · 2025-11-18
AEPPEL GLYN F
Director
$38,678
@ $185.95 · 2025-09-30
SELIG STEFAN M
Director
$36,260
@ $185.95 · 2025-09-30
ROE PEGGY FANG
Director
$14,132
@ $185.95 · 2025-09-30
STEWART MARTA R
Director
$7,205
@ $171.55 · 2025-08-14
RODKIN GARY M
Director
$39,185
@ $159.29 · 2025-06-30
SMITH DANIEL C.
Director
$60,212
@ $159.29 · 2025-06-30
AEPPEL GLYN F
Director
$37,274
@ $159.29 · 2025-06-30
STEWART MARTA R
Director
$33,132
@ $159.29 · 2025-06-30
LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S
Director
$83,149
@ $159.29 · 2025-06-30
ROE PEGGY FANG
Director
$13,699
@ $159.29 · 2025-06-30
JONES NINA P.
Director
$6,053
@ $159.29 · 2025-06-30
LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S
Director
$79,434
@ $164.80 · 2025-03-31
SMITH DANIEL C.
Director
$54,372
@ $167.30 · 2024-09-30
AEPPEL GLYN F
Director
$32,791
@ $167.30 · 2024-09-30
LEIBOWITZ REUBEN S
Director
$75,787
@ $167.30 · 2024-09-30
GLASSCOCK LARRY C
Director
$56,547
@ $167.30 · 2024-09-30
HUBBARD ALLAN B
Director
$61,901
@ $167.30 · 2024-09-30
SELIG STEFAN M
Director
$30,449
@ $167.30 · 2024-09-30
JONES NINA P.
Director
$3,346
@ $167.30 · 2024-09-30
RODKIN GARY M
Director
$33,488
@ $150.17 · 2024-06-28
SMITH DANIEL C.
Director
$52,259
@ $150.17 · 2024-06-28
SELIG STEFAN M
Director
$29,283
@ $150.17 · 2024-06-28
AEPPEL GLYN F
Director
$27,908
@ $154.19 · 2024-04-01
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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ORCL
4
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.32M
@ $116.00 · 2024-05-03
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.90M
@ $116.13 · 2024-05-01
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$346.77M
@ $126.10 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
SPG
1
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $2.01M
RULLI JOHN
Officer
$2.01M
@ $200.88 · 2026-02-25
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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ORCL
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
SPG
FearGreed
😐Neutral(55/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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ORCL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
SPG
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (55)
View ORCL Full AnalysisView SPG Full Analysis