Compare Stocks › ORCL vs PAYX
Oracle Corporation (ORCL) vs Paychex, Inc. (PAYX)
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$155.52
VS
PAYX
Paychex, Inc.
$91.71
Rewards
ORCL
- ★Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
- ★Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
PAYX
- ★Paychex, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 73.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Paychex, Inc. scores 94/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
Risks
ORCL
- ⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
- ⚠High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
PAYX
- ⚠FCF yield of 6.2% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →ORCL
PAYX
Valuation
$-22.30B
Free Cash Flow
$2.06B
-4.99%
FCF Yield
6.25%
27.92
Trailing P/E
20.75
19.51
Forward P/E
15.52
Quality & Moat
8.22%
ROIC
22.27%
31.86%
ROE
42.71%
67.08%
Gross Margin
73.36%
1.14
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
4.15
Debt / Equity
1.30
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
4.48
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.23
1.29%
Dividend Yield
4.71%
ORCL: 0Ties: 1PAYX: 10
ORCLPAYX
Historical Fundamentals
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Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
PAYX
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
PAYX
$-1.19
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$966.2M
Δ Market Cap
$-1.15B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →ORCL
235.9% Overvalued
Price is 235.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $155.52
Strongly undervalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $46.30
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
PAYX
3.1% Overvalued
Price is 3.1% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $91.71
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $88.99
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →ORCL
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
PAYX
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $92?
+9.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +6.1%
The market implies +9.0% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +6.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
PAYX
94/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Margin Stability is the standout factor.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
PAYX
-2.93
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.3%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,769
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
PAYX
Insiders 10.4%Institutions 84.6%Retail & Other 5.1%
No. of Institutional Holders2,063
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
PAYX
2
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $197,258
DOODY JOSEPH G
Director
$98,760
@ $98.76 · 2026-02-04
BONADIO THOMAS F
Director
$98,498
@ $98.50 · 2026-02-04
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →ORCL
4
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.32M
@ $116.00 · 2024-05-03
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.90M
@ $116.13 · 2024-05-01
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$346.77M
@ $126.10 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
PAYX
0
Sells (3M)
6
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $22.06M
SCHRADER ROBERT L.
Chief Financial Officer
$444,391
@ $140.63 · 2025-07-16
SIMMONS CHRISTOPHER C
Officer and Treasurer
$259,826
@ $140.98 · 2025-07-16
GIBSON JOHN B JR
Chief Executive Officer
$1.76M
@ $141.92 · 2025-07-16
MUCCI MARTIN
Chairman of the Board
$14.16M
@ $145.17 · 2025-07-10
VELLI JOSEPH M
Director
$544,762
@ $149.25 · 2025-04-15
GIOJA MICHAEL E
Officer
$4.89M
@ $154.59 · 2025-04-03
BOTTINI MARK ANTHONY
Officer
$6.65M
@ $141.87 · 2024-10-16
SCHRADER ROBERT L.
Chief Financial Officer
$1.85M
@ $142.35 · 2024-10-15
GIOJA MICHAEL E
Officer
$3.67M
@ $139.03 · 2024-10-09
GIOJA MICHAEL E
Officer
$2.05M
@ $139.18 · 2024-10-04
DOODY JOSEPH G
Director
$1.13M
@ $130.69 · 2024-08-26
SIMMONS CHRISTOPHER C
Officer and Treasurer
$293,797
@ $125.34 · 2024-08-16
FLASCHEN DAVID J S
Director
$1.81M
@ $125.21 · 2024-08-05
FLASCHEN DAVID J S
Director
$1.21M
@ $125.60 · 2024-07-26
BOTTINI MARK ANTHONY
Officer
$1.11M
@ $123.60 · 2024-07-24
GIBSON JOHN B JR
Chief Executive Officer
$1.51M
@ $119.53 · 2024-07-15
MUCCI MARTIN
Chairman of the Board
$21.93M
@ $117.04 · 2024-07-02
FLASCHEN DAVID J S
Director
$2.45M
@ $124.55 · 2024-05-24
VELLI JOSEPH M
Director
$1.35M
@ $124.28 · 2024-05-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →ORCL
😨Fear(39/100)
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
PAYX
😨Fear(32/100)
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →ORCL
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
PAYX
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (32)