Compare StocksNKE vs ORCL

NIKE, Inc. (NKE) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

NKE
NIKE, Inc.
$53.44
VS
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$155.52

Rewards

NKE
  • NIKE, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • NIKE, Inc. scores 72/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.
ORCL
  • Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

NKE
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 9.6% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.
ORCL
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

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NKE
ORCL
Valuation
$2.58B
Free Cash Flow
$-22.30B
3.26%
FCF Yield
-4.99%
31.25
Trailing P/E
27.92
23.24
Forward P/E
19.51
Quality & Moat
11.73%
ROIC
8.22%
22.85%
ROE
31.86%
41.13%
Gross Margin
67.08%
N/A
PEG Ratio
1.14
Balance Sheet Safety
0.80
Debt / Equity
4.15
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.77
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.48
3.07%
Dividend Yield
1.29%
NKE: 6Ties: 1ORCL: 4
NKEORCL

Historical Fundamentals

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NKE

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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NKE
$-11.96
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$7.51B
Δ Market Cap
$-89.79B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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NKE
65.8% Margin of Safety
Price is 65.8% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $53.44
Fair Value: $156.11
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ORCL
235.9% Overvalued
Price is 235.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $155.52
Fair Value: $46.30
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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NKE

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $53?

+11.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +14.0%

The market implies +11.0% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +14.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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NKE
72/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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NKE
-2.36
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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NKE
Insiders 1.5%Institutions 83.5%Retail & Other 15.0%
No. of Institutional Holders2,819
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.3%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,769
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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NKE
3
Buys (3M)
5
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $5.96M
HILL ELLIOTT
Chief Executive Officer
$1.00M
@ $61.10 · 2025-12-29
SWAN ROBERT HOLMES
Director
$500,080
@ $57.54 · 2025-12-22
COOK TIMOTHY D
Director
$2.95M
@ $58.97 · 2025-12-22
KNUDSTORP JORGEN VIG
Director
$1.00M
@ $62.09 · 2025-11-07
SWAN ROBERT HOLMES
Director
$502,756
@ $58.46 · 2025-04-04
ROGERS JOHN W JR
Director
$191,624
@ $76.65 · 2024-12-27
SWAN ROBERT HOLMES
Director
$226,516
@ $77.02 · 2024-06-28
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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NKE
1
Sells (3M)
11
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $30.93M
LEINWAND ROBERT
Officer
$565,021
@ $62.33 · 2026-02-12
PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
$5.58M
@ $64.80 · 2025-11-14
HEINLE TREASURE
Officer
$306,461
@ $71.27 · 2025-10-06
LEINWAND ROBERT
Officer
$52,367
@ $75.13 · 2025-10-02
LEINWAND ROBERT
Officer
$76,058
@ $74.64 · 2025-09-05
PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
$6.54M
@ $75.93 · 2025-08-14
MCCARTNEY PHILIP
Officer
$244,138
@ $77.21 · 2025-08-13
LEINWAND ROBERT
Officer
$123,152
@ $74.91 · 2025-08-05
PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
$7.95M
@ $72.29 · 2025-07-16
PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
$9.49M
@ $62.05 · 2025-05-14
NIELSEN JOHANNA
Officer
$7,978
@ $57.81 · 2025-04-24
PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
$12.36M
@ $72.83 · 2025-02-14
LEINWAND ROBERT
Officer
$328,082
@ $72.81 · 2025-02-13
O NEILL HEIDI
Officer
$1.01M
@ $71.18 · 2025-02-11
PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
$3.46M
@ $76.64 · 2024-11-14
PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
$4.09M
@ $78.00 · 2024-08-14
FRIEND MATTHEW
Chief Financial Officer
$394,281
@ $72.88 · 2024-08-07
PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
$8.03M
@ $72.97 · 2024-07-18
FRIEND MATTHEW
Chief Financial Officer
$889,185
@ $95.10 · 2024-06-05
PARKER MARK G
Officer and Director
$15.68M
@ $93.14 · 2024-05-14
NIELSEN JOHANNA
Officer
$26,406
@ $93.64 · 2024-05-09
MATHESON MONIQUE SUZETTE
Officer
$4.24M
@ $94.16 · 2024-05-07
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ORCL
4
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.32M
@ $116.00 · 2024-05-03
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.90M
@ $116.13 · 2024-05-01
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$346.77M
@ $126.10 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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NKE
FearGreed
😨Fear(28/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ORCL
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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NKE
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (28)
ORCL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View NKE Full AnalysisView ORCL Full Analysis
NIKE, Inc. (NKE) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io