SafetyMargin.ioSafetyMargin.io
BlogWatchlistCompare
Compare Stocks › ON vs ORCL

ON Semiconductor Corporation (ON) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

ON
ON Semiconductor Corporation
$103.03
VS
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$171.83

Rewards

ON
  • ★PEG ratio of 0.39 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
  • ★Altman Z-Score of 4.70 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
ORCL
  • ★Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • ★Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

ON
  • ⚠ROIC has declined by 17.6 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • ⚠Trailing P/E of 355.3x is 506% above the historical average of 58.6x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • ⚠6 insider sales totaling $17.8M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
ORCL
  • ⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • ⚠High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

Learn more →
ON
ORCL
Valuation
$1.56B
Free Cash Flow
$-22.30B
3.85%
FCF Yield
-4.51%
355.28
Trailing P/E
30.85
25.40
Forward P/E
21.39
Quality & Moat
8.28%
ROIC
8.22%
1.57%
ROE
31.86%
38.32%
Gross Margin
67.08%
0.39
PEG Ratio
1.26
Balance Sheet Safety
0.42
Debt / Equity
4.15
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.40
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.48
N/A
Dividend Yield
1.16%
ON: 5Ties: 2ORCL: 4
ONORCL

Historical Fundamentals

Learn more →
ON

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

Learn more →
ON
$-1.41
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$3.88B
Δ Market Cap
$-5.46B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

Learn more →
ON
400.8% Overvalued
Price is 400.8% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $103.03
Fair Value: $20.57
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ORCL
246.9% Overvalued
Price is 246.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $171.83
Fair Value: $49.53
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

Learn more →
ON

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $103?

+48.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +11.5%

The market implies +48.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +11.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

Learn more →
ON
41/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

Learn more →
ON
-3.04
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

Learn more →
ON
Insiders 0.3%Institutions 111.0%
No. of Institutional Holders1,195
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.1%Retail & Other 15.3%
No. of Institutional Holders4,615
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

Learn more →
ON
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

Learn more →
ON
6
Sells (3M)
10
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $21.10M
THAD TRENT
Chief Financial Officer
$5.79M
@ $96.50 · 2026-04-24
THAD TRENT
Chief Financial Officer
$2.40M
@ $80.00 · 2026-04-16
GOPALSWAMY SUDHIR
Officer
$358,708
@ $58.67 · 2026-03-13
KEETON SIMON
Officer
$3.51M
@ $71.75 · 2026-02-17
EL KHOURY HASSANE
Chief Executive Officer
$1.46M
@ $73.02 · 2026-02-12
THAD TRENT
Chief Financial Officer
$4.27M
@ $71.22 · 2026-02-12
KEETON SIMON
Officer
$1.17M
@ $55.72 · 2025-12-04
THAD TRENT
Chief Financial Officer
$1.10M
@ $55.05 · 2025-12-03
EL KHOURY HASSANE
Chief Executive Officer
$768,260
@ $51.22 · 2025-08-13
CAMPBELL ALAN
Director
$274,780
@ $51.16 · 2025-06-12
CAMPBELL ALAN
Director
$432,257
@ $43.23 · 2025-03-12
GOPALSWAMY SUDHIR
Officer
$1.43M
@ $67.64 · 2024-12-17
KEETON SIMON
Officer
$1.92M
@ $68.56 · 2024-12-17
EL KHOURY HASSANE
Chief Executive Officer
$105,000
@ $70.00 · 2024-12-17
EL KHOURY HASSANE
Chief Executive Officer
$106,500
@ $71.00 · 2024-11-25
EL KHOURY HASSANE
Chief Executive Officer
$109,065
@ $72.71 · 2024-10-15
EL KHOURY HASSANE
Chief Executive Officer
$106,200
@ $70.80 · 2024-09-16
KEETON SIMON
Officer
$2.41M
@ $77.94 · 2024-07-31
THAD TRENT
Chief Financial Officer
$2.76M
@ $72.55 · 2024-06-11
MASCARENAS PAUL ANTHONY
Director
$67,833
@ $74.46 · 2024-05-16
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ORCL
2
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$2.64M
@ $176.19 · 2026-04-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
ON
FearGreed
😏Greed(65/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ORCL
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →
ON
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (65)
ORCL
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View ON Full AnalysisView ORCL Full Analysis
ON vs ORCL: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io