Compare StocksNVDA vs STX

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) vs Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX)

NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
$178.56
VS
STX
Seagate Technology Holdings plc
$434.60

Rewards

NVDA
  • NVIDIA Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 71.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 193.9% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
STX
  • PEG ratio of 0.72 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
  • Altman Z-Score of 4.80 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.

Risks

NVDA
  • FCF yield of 2.2% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.06 flags financial patterns consistent with potential earnings manipulation — warrants further investigation.
  • Insiders have sold $15.7M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
STX
  • FCF yield of 1.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • Trailing P/E of 49.0x is 80% above the historical average of 27.3x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • High leverage (10.47x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.

Key Valuation Metrics

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NVDA
STX
Valuation
$96.68B
Free Cash Flow
$1.10B
2.23%
FCF Yield
1.13%
36.52
Trailing P/E
49.00
16.22
Forward P/E
21.91
Quality & Moat
65.75%
ROIC
45.21%
76.33%
ROE
320.04%
71.07%
Gross Margin
38.78%
0.38
PEG Ratio
0.72
Balance Sheet Safety
0.07
Debt / Equity
10.47
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
-0.38
Net Debt / EBITDA
1.32
0.02%
Dividend Yield
0.68%
NVDA: 9Ties: 1STX: 2
NVDASTX

Historical Fundamentals

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NVDA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

STX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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NVDA
$14.14
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$220.50B
Δ Market Cap
+$3.12T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
STX
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-492.0M
Δ Market Cap
+$47.53B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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NVDA
50.6% Margin of Safety
Price is 50.6% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $178.56
Fair Value: $361.26
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
STX
5.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 5.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $434.60
Fair Value: $459.97
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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NVDA

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $179?

+15.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +18.6%

The market implies +15.6% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +18.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

STX

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $435?

+24.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +28.8%

The market implies +24.6% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +28.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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NVDA
69/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
STX
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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NVDA
-1.06
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
STX
-1.47
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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NVDA
Insiders 4.2%Institutions 69.8%Retail & Other 26.0%
No. of Institutional Holders7,415
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
STX
Insiders 0.3%Institutions 89.8%Retail & Other 9.9%
No. of Institutional Holders1,736
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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NVDA
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
STX
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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NVDA
2
Sells (3M)
40
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.10B
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$555,440
@ $184.90 · 2026-03-13
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$15.19M
@ $189.85 · 2026-01-02
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$4.43M
@ $179.98 · 2025-12-19
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$112,317
@ $179.42 · 2025-11-24
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$5.20M
@ $207.91 · 2025-10-29
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$23.56M
@ $188.47 · 2025-10-28
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.73M
@ $181.04 · 2025-10-23
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$41.06M
@ $182.48 · 2025-10-20
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$41.34M
@ $183.73 · 2025-10-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.89M
@ $190.60 · 2025-10-10
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.05M
@ $186.89 · 2025-10-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.09M
@ $187.08 · 2025-10-02
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.23M
@ $178.82 · 2025-09-29
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.21M
@ $178.69 · 2025-09-24
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$617,298
@ $176.37 · 2025-09-19
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.18M
@ $174.14 · 2025-09-19
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.75M
@ $176.66 · 2025-09-16
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.28M
@ $174.59 · 2025-09-11
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.01M
@ $168.95 · 2025-09-08
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.61M
@ $171.60 · 2025-09-03
HUDSON BEACH DAWN E
Director
$15.38M
@ $170.90 · 2025-09-03
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.12M
@ $180.79 · 2025-08-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.96M
@ $182.04 · 2025-08-13
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.66M
@ $180.70 · 2025-08-08
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.78M
@ $176.80 · 2025-08-05
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.18M
@ $178.58 · 2025-07-31
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.16M
@ $174.02 · 2025-07-28
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.22M
@ $169.87 · 2025-07-23
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.71M
@ $172.05 · 2025-07-18
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$37.59M
@ $167.08 · 2025-07-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$36.43M
@ $161.91 · 2025-07-10
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$35.55M
@ $158.02 · 2025-07-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$35.16M
@ $156.27 · 2025-07-01
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$30.47M
@ $152.33 · 2025-06-26
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$14.40M
@ $144.04 · 2025-06-23
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$646,469
@ $143.66 · 2025-06-20
BURGESS ROBERT KENNETH
Director
$6.74M
@ $134.82 · 2025-05-30
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$91,608
@ $138.80 · 2025-05-30
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$525,585
@ $116.80 · 2025-03-21
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.79M
@ $116.83 · 2025-03-21
SHAH AARTI S
Director
$2.37M
@ $118.42 · 2025-03-20
BURGESS ROBERT KENNETH
Director
$6.16M
@ $115.49 · 2025-03-13
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$292,930
@ $110.00 · 2025-03-10
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$608,775
@ $135.28 · 2024-12-13
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$9.03M
@ $135.40 · 2024-12-13
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$101,672
@ $142.00 · 2024-11-25
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$524,293
@ $116.51 · 2024-09-20
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.77M
@ $116.59 · 2024-09-20
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$28.55M
@ $118.97 · 2024-09-13
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$26.25M
@ $109.39 · 2024-09-11
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$25.04M
@ $104.35 · 2024-09-09
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$25.81M
@ $107.52 · 2024-09-05
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.57M
@ $114.90 · 2024-09-03
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$24.92M
@ $103.82 · 2024-08-09
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$25.07M
@ $104.46 · 2024-08-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$24.61M
@ $102.54 · 2024-08-05
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.43M
@ $114.28 · 2024-08-01
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$26.38M
@ $109.93 · 2024-07-30
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.22M
@ $113.40 · 2024-07-26
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$28.87M
@ $120.29 · 2024-07-24
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$28.95M
@ $120.65 · 2024-07-22
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
STX
11
Sells (3M)
56
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $146.19M
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$42,273
@ $377.44 · 2026-03-13
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$7.70M
@ $384.76 · 2026-03-02
CONYERS YOLANDA LEE
Director
$295,192
@ $393.59 · 2026-03-02
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$98,400
@ $410.00 · 2026-02-24
CHONG KIAN FATT
Officer
$2.43M
@ $416.48 · 2026-02-23
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$8.59M
@ $429.27 · 2026-02-02
GELDMACHER JAY L
Director
$414,423
@ $448.02 · 2026-01-30
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$8.93M
@ $442.29 · 2026-01-29
LEE JAMES CI
Officer
$234,776
@ $348.85 · 2026-01-26
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$422,626
@ $299.31 · 2026-01-12
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$5.71M
@ $285.56 · 2026-01-02
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$32,984
@ $291.89 · 2025-12-15
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$594,759
@ $295.90 · 2025-12-11
CONYERS YOLANDA LEE
Director
$204,682
@ $272.91 · 2025-12-02
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$5.42M
@ $271.03 · 2025-12-01
ROMANO GIANLUCA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.13M
@ $266.69 · 2025-11-13
ROMANO GIANLUCA
Chief Financial Officer
$15.40M
@ $285.16 · 2025-11-12
LEE JAMES CI
Officer
$201,419
@ $288.98 · 2025-11-11
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$408,040
@ $288.98 · 2025-11-11
ARUMUGAVELU SHANKAR
Director
$1.47M
@ $294.56 · 2025-11-10
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$1.62M
@ $270.00 · 2025-11-05
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$5.26M
@ $262.82 · 2025-11-03
TILENIUS STEPHANIE SCHEAR
Director
$545,084
@ $266.41 · 2025-11-03
GELDMACHER JAY L
Director
$336,375
@ $269.10 · 2025-10-31
CHONG KIAN FATT
Officer
$1.93M
@ $272.14 · 2025-10-30
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$318,040
@ $225.56 · 2025-10-13
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$5.00M
@ $249.90 · 2025-10-01
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$79,645
@ $211.26 · 2025-09-16
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$3.00M
@ $195.80 · 2025-09-12
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$721,396
@ $193.30 · 2025-09-11
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$1.30M
@ $191.53 · 2025-09-10
CONYERS YOLANDA LEE
Director
$126,599
@ $168.80 · 2025-09-02
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$3.38M
@ $168.97 · 2025-09-02
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$261,376
@ $151.61 · 2025-08-11
GELDMACHER JAY L
Director
$376,250
@ $150.50 · 2025-08-06
LEE JAMES CI
Officer
$714,145
@ $154.41 · 2025-08-01
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$915,275
@ $155.00 · 2025-08-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$3.07M
@ $153.75 · 2025-08-01
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$248,400
@ $144.00 · 2025-07-11
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$2.89M
@ $144.66 · 2025-07-01
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$77,870
@ $130.00 · 2025-06-16
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$222,353
@ $129.05 · 2025-06-11
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$222,353
@ $129.05 · 2025-06-11
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$467,220
@ $130.00 · 2025-06-09
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$7.08M
@ $130.19 · 2025-06-09
TILENIUS STEPHANIE SCHEAR
Director
$344,801
@ $128.04 · 2025-06-05
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$9.28M
@ $124.24 · 2025-06-04
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$8.39M
@ $119.87 · 2025-06-03
CONYERS YOLANDA LEE
Director
$87,758
@ $117.01 · 2025-06-02
CANNON MICHAEL REYE
Director
$2.88M
@ $119.00 · 2025-06-02
ROMANO GIANLUCA
Chief Financial Officer
$6.09M
@ $117.45 · 2025-05-30
TEH BAN-SENG
Officer
$483,115
@ $115.00 · 2025-05-27
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$7.66M
@ $109.47 · 2025-05-22
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$7.66M
@ $109.47 · 2025-05-22
CHONG KIAN FATT
Officer
$713,148
@ $111.26 · 2025-05-22
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$1.69M
@ $84.56 · 2025-04-01
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$2.03M
@ $101.57 · 2025-03-03
CONYERS YOLANDA LEE
Director
$77,212
@ $102.95 · 2025-03-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$1.88M
@ $94.13 · 2025-02-03
MOSLEY WILLIAM D
Chief Executive Officer
$1.73M
@ $86.65 · 2025-01-02
MORRIS JOHN CHRISTOPHER
Chief Technology Officer
$13,883
@ $98.46 · 2024-12-12
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
NVDA
FearGreed
😐Neutral(55/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
STX
FearGreed
😐Neutral(59/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →
NVDA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (55)
STX
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
View NVDA Full AnalysisView STX Full Analysis
NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) vs Seagate Technology Holdings plc (STX) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io