Compare Stocks › NOC vs ORCL
Northrop Grumman Corporation (NOC) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL)
NOC
Northrop Grumman Corporation
$714.15
VS
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$155.52
Rewards
NOC
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 31.1% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
ORCL
- ★Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
- ★Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
Risks
NOC
- ⚠Gross margin of 19.8% is low, suggesting a competitive or commodity-like market with limited pricing power.
- ⚠FCF yield of 2.8% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠13 insider sales totaling $26.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
ORCL
- ⚠Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
- ⚠High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →NOC
ORCL
Valuation
$2.90B
Free Cash Flow
$-22.30B
2.85%
FCF Yield
-4.99%
24.57
Trailing P/E
27.92
23.78
Forward P/E
19.51
Quality & Moat
15.85%
ROIC
8.22%
25.08%
ROE
31.86%
19.82%
Gross Margin
67.08%
1.62
PEG Ratio
1.14
Balance Sheet Safety
1.07
Debt / Equity
4.15
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.98
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.48
1.29%
Dividend Yield
1.29%
NOC: 6Ties: 2ORCL: 4
NOCORCL
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →NOC
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
ORCL
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →NOC
$-0.38
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$6.82B
Δ Market Cap
$-2.60B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →NOC
28.5% Overvalued
Price is 28.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $714.15
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $555.65
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ORCL
235.9% Overvalued
Price is 235.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $155.52
Strongly undervalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $46.30
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →NOC
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $714?
+12.1%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +17.1%
The market implies +12.1% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +17.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
ORCL
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →NOC
68/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving margin stability would strengthen the moat.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →NOC
-2.45
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →NOC
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 83.5%Retail & Other 16.3%
No. of Institutional Holders2,191
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.3%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,767
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →NOC
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →NOC
13
Sells (3M)
25
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $35.39M
SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
General Counsel
$650,385
@ $745.00 · 2026-03-02
ROEDER ROSHAN S.
Officer
$1.26M
@ $720.00 · 2026-02-27
HARDESTY MICHAEL A
Officer
$107,748
@ $732.98 · 2026-02-19
ROEDER ROSHAN S.
Officer
$372,541
@ $727.62 · 2026-02-19
SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
General Counsel
$141,158
@ $727.62 · 2026-02-19
DAVIES BENJAMIN R
Officer
$1.58M
@ $719.62 · 2026-02-18
HARDESTY MICHAEL A
Officer
$501,609
@ $701.55 · 2026-02-17
ROEDER ROSHAN S.
Officer
$223,414
@ $702.56 · 2026-02-17
SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
General Counsel
$547,294
@ $702.56 · 2026-02-17
HARDESTY MICHAEL A
Officer
$550,411
@ $702.95 · 2026-02-13
WARDEN KATHY J
Chief Executive Officer
$14.18M
@ $708.82 · 2026-02-06
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$65,029
@ $684.52 · 2026-02-02
WARDEN KATHY J
Chief Executive Officer
$6.04M
@ $604.50 · 2026-01-06
ROEDER ROSHAN S.
Officer
$46,649
@ $555.35 · 2025-12-09
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$54,716
@ $564.08 · 2025-11-24
JONES THOMAS H.
Officer
$382,725
@ $525.00 · 2025-07-17
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$16,720
@ $506.67 · 2025-07-07
JONES THOMAS H.
Officer
$368,706
@ $505.77 · 2025-06-13
FLEMING ROBERT J
Officer
$1.77M
@ $505.77 · 2025-06-13
WARDEN KATHY J
Chief Executive Officer
$5.65M
@ $502.18 · 2025-06-13
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$16,120
@ $488.48 · 2025-06-05
ROEDER ROSHAN S.
Officer
$485,590
@ $490.00 · 2025-06-04
JONES THOMAS H.
Officer
$349,920
@ $480.00 · 2025-05-30
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$16,293
@ $493.73 · 2025-05-05
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$15,850
@ $480.30 · 2025-04-07
WARDEN KATHY J
Chief Executive Officer
$1.78M
@ $475.65 · 2025-03-06
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$15,631
@ $473.67 · 2025-03-05
DAVIES BENJAMIN R
Officer
$213,788
@ $460.75 · 2025-02-28
HARDESTY MICHAEL A
Officer
$875,873
@ $453.59 · 2025-02-24
SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
General Counsel
$444,098
@ $429.08 · 2025-02-20
DAVIES BENJAMIN R
Officer
$82,383
@ $429.08 · 2025-02-20
SIMPSON KATHRYN G.
General Counsel
$395,916
@ $445.35 · 2025-02-18
DAVIES BENJAMIN R
Officer
$130,488
@ $445.35 · 2025-02-18
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$15,843
@ $480.09 · 2025-02-05
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$15,072
@ $456.73 · 2025-01-06
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$15,886
@ $481.39 · 2024-12-05
DAVIES BENJAMIN R
Officer
$616,067
@ $532.93 · 2024-11-11
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$16,833
@ $510.09 · 2024-11-05
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$17,675
@ $535.61 · 2024-10-07
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$17,151
@ $519.73 · 2024-09-05
WELSH MARK A. III
Director
$17,546
@ $516.06 · 2024-08-29
JONES THOMAS H.
Officer
$695,000
@ $500.00 · 2024-08-02
JONES THOMAS H.
Officer
$1.30M
@ $469.25 · 2024-07-26
ROEDER ROSHAN S.
Officer
$429,429
@ $471.90 · 2024-05-20
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ORCL
4
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.32M
@ $116.00 · 2024-05-03
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.90M
@ $116.13 · 2024-05-01
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$346.77M
@ $126.10 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →NOC
😏Greed(61/100)
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ORCL
😨Fear(39/100)
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →NOC
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (61)
ORCL
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)