Compare StocksNFLX vs PEP

Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) vs PepsiCo, Inc. (PEP)

NFLX
Netflix, Inc.
$91.74
VS
PEP
PepsiCo, Inc.
$152.74

Rewards

NFLX
  • Netflix, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Netflix, Inc. scores 81/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with reinvestment efficiency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 80.1% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
PEP
  • PepsiCo, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • PepsiCo, Inc. scores 88/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 11.0% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

NFLX
  • FCF yield of 6.4% suggests reasonable valuation assuming continued moderate growth.
  • 12 insider sales totaling $137.3M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
PEP
  • High leverage (2.58x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Insiders have sold $4.7M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

Key Valuation Metrics

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NFLX
PEP
Valuation
$24.82B
Free Cash Flow
$8.23B
6.38%
FCF Yield
3.94%
36.26
Trailing P/E
25.46
23.87
Forward P/E
16.73
Quality & Moat
20.09%
ROIC
14.19%
41.26%
ROE
40.10%
48.49%
Gross Margin
54.46%
1.11
PEG Ratio
0.38
Balance Sheet Safety
0.64
Debt / Equity
2.58
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.58
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.39
N/A
Dividend Yield
3.73%
NFLX: 5Ties: 2PEP: 4
NFLXPEP

Historical Fundamentals

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NFLX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

PEP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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NFLX
$10.54
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$25.10B
Δ Market Cap
+$264.55B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
PEP
$-9.83
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Market Cap Declined
Σ Retained
$5.34B
Δ Market Cap
$-52.53B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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NFLX
28.7% Margin of Safety
Price is 28.7% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $91.74
Fair Value: $128.70
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
PEP
81.1% Overvalued
Price is 81.1% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $152.74
Fair Value: $84.35
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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NFLX

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $92?

+15.8%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +4.7%

The market implies +15.8% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +4.7%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

PEP

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $153?

+13.5%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +13.5%

The market implies +13.5% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +13.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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NFLX
81/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by reinvestment efficiency. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
PEP
88/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Revenue Predictability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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NFLX
-1.96
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
PEP
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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NFLX
Insiders 0.6%Institutions 83.8%Retail & Other 15.6%
No. of Institutional Holders4,579
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
PEP
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 79.9%Retail & Other 19.9%
No. of Institutional Holders4,357
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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NFLX
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
PEP
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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NFLX
12
Sells (3M)
63
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $549.49M
HASTINGS REED
Director
$39.83M
@ $97.01 · 2026-03-02
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.78M
@ $97.00 · 2026-03-02
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$5.47M
@ $95.50 · 2026-02-27
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$259,253
@ $82.67 · 2026-02-10
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.27M
@ $83.24 · 2026-02-10
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$464,231
@ $81.06 · 2026-02-09
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$751,598
@ $81.27 · 2026-02-06
HASTINGS REED
Director
$32.70M
@ $83.63 · 2026-02-02
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$8.77M
@ $82.94 · 2026-01-29
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$2.07M
@ $88.11 · 2026-01-16
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
Director
$2.82M
@ $88.86 · 2026-01-15
HASTINGS REED
Director
$39.08M
@ $91.67 · 2026-01-02
HASTINGS REED
Director
$40.71M
@ $108.43 · 2025-12-01
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$261,879
@ $1100.33 · 2025-11-06
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$34.60M
@ $1099.84 · 2025-11-04
SARANDOS THEODORE ANTHONY JR.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.21M
@ $1092.08 · 2025-11-04
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.22M
@ $1095.68 · 2025-11-04
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.59M
@ $1097.56 · 2025-11-03
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$269,200
@ $1121.67 · 2025-11-03
HASTINGS REED
Director
$45.28M
@ $1121.51 · 2025-10-31
HASTINGS REED
Director
$49.43M
@ $1171.92 · 2025-10-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.05M
@ $1172.51 · 2025-10-01
HASTINGS REED
Director
$31.35M
@ $1207.71 · 2025-09-02
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.14M
@ $1207.76 · 2025-09-02
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$274,538
@ $1153.52 · 2025-08-06
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$795,432
@ $1161.21 · 2025-08-06
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$491,276
@ $1158.67 · 2025-08-05
SARANDOS THEODORE ANTHONY JR.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.35M
@ $1160.62 · 2025-08-05
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.34M
@ $1157.44 · 2025-08-05
HASTINGS REED
Director
$26.46M
@ $1162.45 · 2025-08-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.02M
@ $1162.40 · 2025-08-01
HASTINGS REED
Director
$21.82M
@ $1295.78 · 2025-07-01
HASTINGS REED
Director
$12.86M
@ $1329.11 · 2025-07-01
MASIYIWA STRIVE
Director
$387,597
@ $1336.54 · 2025-07-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.40M
@ $1307.22 · 2025-07-01
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$797,841
@ $1286.84 · 2025-06-25
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$273,480
@ $1290.00 · 2025-06-25
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$546,290
@ $1267.49 · 2025-06-24
MATHER ANN
Director
$1.36M
@ $1250.00 · 2025-06-05
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$816,070
@ $1251.64 · 2025-06-05
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$273,175
@ $1225.00 · 2025-06-03
HASTINGS REED
Director
$32.63M
@ $1211.66 · 2025-06-02
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$3.15M
@ $1211.67 · 2025-06-02
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$764,653
@ $1194.77 · 2025-05-27
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$545,210
@ $1172.49 · 2025-05-15
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
Director
$4.41M
@ $1124.26 · 2025-05-12
MASIYIWA STRIVE
Director
$1.13M
@ $1124.26 · 2025-05-12
MATHER ANN
Director
$1.56M
@ $1150.00 · 2025-05-09
WILLEMS CLETUS R
Officer
$339,124
@ $1138.00 · 2025-05-07
HYMAN DAVID A
Officer
$485,817
@ $1143.10 · 2025-05-06
SARANDOS THEODORE ANTHONY JR.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.31M
@ $1140.25 · 2025-05-06
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$782,915
@ $1141.28 · 2025-05-06
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$2.31M
@ $1141.51 · 2025-05-06
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$271,400
@ $1150.00 · 2025-05-02
HASTINGS REED
Director
$30.57M
@ $1133.05 · 2025-05-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.95M
@ $1132.38 · 2025-05-01
DOPFNER MATHIAS
Director
$6.69M
@ $1112.65 · 2025-04-30
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$702,106
@ $1097.04 · 2025-04-25
KILGORE LESLIE JEAN
Director
$848,491
@ $1047.52 · 2025-04-23
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$160,000
@ $1000.00 · 2025-04-21
HASTINGS REED
Officer and Director
$23.36M
@ $921.15 · 2025-04-01
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.40M
@ $921.72 · 2025-04-01
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$469,526
@ $978.18 · 2025-03-25
HASTINGS REED
Officer and Director
$29.93M
@ $981.92 · 2025-03-03
NEUMANN SPENCER ADAM
Chief Financial Officer
$2.55M
@ $982.05 · 2025-03-03
KARBOWSKI JEFFREY WILLIAM
Officer
$635,027
@ $992.23 · 2025-02-26
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$4.73M
@ $1035.00 · 2025-02-13
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$5.09M
@ $1030.00 · 2025-02-10
PETERS GREGORY K.
Chief Executive Officer
$14.88M
@ $1020.28 · 2025-02-07
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
PEP
1
Sells (3M)
1
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.68M
LAGUARTA RAMON L
Chief Executive Officer
$4.68M
@ $167.39 · 2026-03-02
GALLAGHER MARIE T
Officer
$3.99M
@ $159.55 · 2025-03-04
FLAVELL DAVID JAMES
General Counsel
$1.04M
@ $150.90 · 2025-03-03
LAGUARTA RAMON L
Chief Executive Officer
$7.74M
@ $154.90 · 2025-03-03
KRISHNAN RAMKUMAR
Chief Executive Officer
$1.50M
@ $150.97 · 2025-03-03
WILLIAMS STEVEN C
Officer
$2.71M
@ $150.89 · 2025-03-03
SANTILLI PAULA ALEJANDRA
Officer
$1.18M
@ $151.89 · 2025-02-27
FLAVELL DAVID JAMES
General Counsel
$1.19M
@ $179.86 · 2024-05-10
KRISHNAN RAMKUMAR
Officer
$1.00M
@ $178.00 · 2024-05-09
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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NFLX
FearGreed
😨Fear(36/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
PEP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(50/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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NFLX
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (36)
PEP
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (50)
View NFLX Full AnalysisView PEP Full Analysis