Compare StocksNDAQ vs ORCL

Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL)

NDAQ
Nasdaq, Inc.
$86.27
VS
ORCL
Oracle Corporation
$155.52

Rewards

NDAQ
  • Gross margin of 100.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $10.58 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • PEG ratio of 0.59 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
ORCL
  • Oracle Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 67.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Oracle Corporation scores 71/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

NDAQ
  • Share count has increased by 16% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.
  • Insiders have sold $67.7M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
ORCL
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 3 out of 4 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • High leverage (4.15x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Net debt/EBITDA of 4.5x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.

Key Valuation Metrics

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NDAQ
ORCL
Valuation
$1.67B
Free Cash Flow
$-22.30B
3.39%
FCF Yield
-4.99%
27.92
Trailing P/E
27.92
19.70
Forward P/E
19.51
Quality & Moat
9.06%
ROIC
8.22%
14.62%
ROE
31.86%
100.00%
Gross Margin
67.08%
0.59
PEG Ratio
1.14
Balance Sheet Safety
0.78
Debt / Equity
4.15
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
2.86
Net Debt / EBITDA
4.48
1.25%
Dividend Yield
1.29%
NDAQ: 7Ties: 4ORCL: 1
NDAQORCL

Historical Fundamentals

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NDAQ

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

ORCL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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NDAQ
$10.58
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$2.38B
Δ Market Cap
+$25.19B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
ORCL
$17.69
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$18.61B
Δ Market Cap
+$329.28B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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NDAQ
22.7% Overvalued
Price is 22.7% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $86.27
Fair Value: $70.31
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
ORCL
235.9% Overvalued
Price is 235.9% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $155.52
Fair Value: $46.30
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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NDAQ

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $86?

+14.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +15.3%

The market implies +14.3% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +15.3%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

ORCL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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NDAQ
53/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
ORCL
71/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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NDAQ
-2.58
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
ORCL
-2.57
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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NDAQ
Insiders 10.9%Institutions 86.9%Retail & Other 2.3%
No. of Institutional Holders1,537
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
ORCL
Insiders 40.5%Institutions 44.3%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,769
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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NDAQ
2
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $16.79M
TORGEBY JOHAN
Director
$958,320
@ $79.86 · 2026-02-17
INVESTOR AB
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$15.84M
@ $79.18 · 2026-02-13
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
ORCL
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $112,258
FAIRHEAD RONA ALISON
Director
$112,258
@ $233.87 · 2025-07-07
MOORMAN CHARLES W IV
Director
$947,913
@ $172.35 · 2025-02-12
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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NDAQ
6
Sells (3M)
24
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $73.18M
FRIEDMAN ADENA T
Chief Executive Officer
$8.36M
@ $90.08 · 2026-03-06
SMITH BRYAN EVERARD
Officer
$523,440
@ $87.24 · 2026-03-02
DALY MICHELLE LYNN
Officer
$352,934
@ $81.34 · 2026-02-19
FRIEDMAN ADENA T
Chief Executive Officer
$29.07M
@ $96.91 · 2026-02-02
ZECCA JOHN
Officer
$450,045
@ $100.01 · 2026-01-06
FRIEDMAN ADENA T
Chief Executive Officer
$28.92M
@ $96.39 · 2026-01-02
SMITH BRYAN EVERARD
Officer
$419,611
@ $90.57 · 2025-12-01
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$190,650
@ $90.57 · 2025-12-01
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$179,767
@ $85.40 · 2025-11-03
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$185,703
@ $88.22 · 2025-10-01
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$196,228
@ $93.22 · 2025-09-02
BEGLEY CHARLENE T
Director
$289,800
@ $96.60 · 2025-08-04
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$201,006
@ $95.49 · 2025-08-01
DALY MICHELLE LYNN
Officer
$812,174
@ $93.45 · 2025-07-25
PETERSON BRADLEY J.
Chief Technology Officer
$1.02M
@ $88.87 · 2025-07-02
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$187,703
@ $89.17 · 2025-07-01
GRIGGS P C NELSON
Officer
$340,880
@ $85.22 · 2025-06-06
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$178,840
@ $85.00 · 2025-06-06
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$87,694
@ $83.28 · 2025-06-02
GRIGGS P C NELSON
Officer
$664,240
@ $83.03 · 2025-05-27
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$85,841
@ $81.52 · 2025-05-12
SMITH BRYAN EVERARD
Officer
$47,179
@ $71.81 · 2025-04-04
PETERSON BRADLEY J.
Chief Investment Officer
$174,646
@ $75.67 · 2025-04-02
SMITH BRYAN EVERARD
Officer
$237,078
@ $75.70 · 2025-04-02
YOUNGWOOD SARAH
Officer
$1.10M
@ $73.68 · 2025-03-17
SMITH BRYAN EVERARD
Officer
$289,730
@ $82.78 · 2025-03-03
PETERSON BRADLEY J.
Officer
$1.36M
@ $79.79 · 2025-02-26
TAL COHEN
Officer
$749,981
@ $83.75 · 2025-02-06
SMITH BRYAN EVERARD
Officer
$285,460
@ $81.56 · 2025-02-03
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$976,485
@ $80.88 · 2024-12-09
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$950,906
@ $78.75 · 2024-11-18
PETERSON BRADLEY J.
Officer
$940,636
@ $79.58 · 2024-11-13
GRIGGS P C NELSON
Officer
$798,600
@ $79.86 · 2024-11-11
GRIGGS P C NELSON
President
$444,086
@ $77.34 · 2024-11-06
SKULE JEREMY
Officer
$935,040
@ $77.92 · 2024-11-06
TAL COHEN
Officer
$806,651
@ $74.11 · 2024-11-01
GRIGGS P C NELSON
Officer
$758,460
@ $75.85 · 2024-10-29
PETERSON BRADLEY J.
Officer
$1.03M
@ $75.32 · 2024-10-28
ZECCA JOHN
Officer
$791,670
@ $71.97 · 2024-09-12
PETERSON BRADLEY J.
Officer
$2.71M
@ $67.79 · 2024-08-09
SMITH BRYAN EVERARD
Officer
$181,826
@ $59.89 · 2024-05-01
SMITH BRYAN EVERARD
Officer
$465,534
@ $62.91 · 2024-04-01
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
ORCL
4
Sells (3M)
22
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $1.90B
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.55M
@ $155.23 · 2026-02-09
KEHRING DOUGLAS A
Officer
$6.82M
@ $194.89 · 2026-01-15
HURA MARK
Officer
$2.95M
@ $196.89 · 2025-12-24
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$437,064
@ $196.61 · 2025-12-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$1.93M
@ $192.52 · 2025-12-19
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.80M
@ $280.31 · 2025-10-23
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Chief Executive Officer
$11.07M
@ $276.64 · 2025-10-21
LEVEY STUART A
Officer
$5.93M
@ $300.00 · 2025-10-10
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$641,958
@ $288.91 · 2025-09-26
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$10.87M
@ $321.16 · 2025-09-23
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$5.12M
@ $313.60 · 2025-09-16
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
President
$6.31M
@ $297.11 · 2025-09-12
SICILIA MICHAEL D
Officer
$4.04M
@ $254.48 · 2025-08-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$770,656
@ $233.32 · 2025-07-16
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$2.33M
@ $232.99 · 2025-07-03
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$267.24M
@ $212.01 · 2025-06-27
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$794.64M
@ $212.50 · 2025-06-26
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$764.01M
@ $206.77 · 2025-06-23
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$1.74M
@ $213.49 · 2025-06-17
MAGOUYRK CLAYTON M
Officer
$3.21M
@ $214.10 · 2025-06-17
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$428,562
@ $149.53 · 2025-05-05
SELIGMAN NAOMI O
Director
$291,620
@ $145.81 · 2025-04-02
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$705.46M
@ $185.40 · 2025-01-24
SMITH MARIA
Officer
$1.04M
@ $165.00 · 2024-09-16
ELLISON LAWRENCE JOSEPH
Chief Technology Officer
$322.05M
@ $143.13 · 2024-07-16
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$60.58M
@ $141.91 · 2024-07-10
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$5.22M
@ $140.19 · 2024-06-26
SCREVEN EDWARD LLOYD
Officer
$34.04M
@ $144.30 · 2024-06-20
BOSKIN MICHAEL J
Director
$5.30M
@ $117.74 · 2024-05-07
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.32M
@ $116.00 · 2024-05-03
CONRADES GEORGE HENRY
Director
$2.90M
@ $116.13 · 2024-05-01
CATZ SAFRA A
Chief Executive Officer
$346.77M
@ $126.10 · 2024-03-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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NDAQ
FearGreed
😐Neutral(54/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
ORCL
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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NDAQ
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (54)
ORCL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View NDAQ Full AnalysisView ORCL Full Analysis
Nasdaq, Inc. (NDAQ) vs Oracle Corporation (ORCL) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io