Compare StocksMSFT vs WM

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) vs Waste Management, Inc. (WM)

MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
$389.02
VS
WM
Waste Management, Inc.
$233.83

Rewards

MSFT
  • Microsoft Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 68.6% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Microsoft Corporation scores 88/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
WM
  • Waste Management, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Waste Management, Inc. scores 81/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 13.1% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

MSFT
  • FCF yield of 2.5% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
WM
  • FCF yield of 3.0% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • High leverage (2.39x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • 28 insider sales totaling $23.0M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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MSFT
WM
Valuation
$71.61B
Free Cash Flow
$2.82B
2.48%
FCF Yield
2.99%
24.33
Trailing P/E
34.85
20.64
Forward P/E
25.00
Quality & Moat
22.10%
ROIC
11.77%
26.05%
ROE
27.10%
68.59%
Gross Margin
40.44%
0.41
PEG Ratio
1.48
Balance Sheet Safety
0.32
Debt / Equity
2.39
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
0.19
Net Debt / EBITDA
3.14
0.94%
Dividend Yield
1.46%
MSFT: 8Ties: 2WM: 2
MSFTWM

Historical Fundamentals

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MSFT

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

WM

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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MSFT
$9.18
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$196.68B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.81T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
WM
$6.02
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$4.08B
Δ Market Cap
+$24.54B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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MSFT
0.5% Overvalued
Price is 0.5% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $389.02
Fair Value: $387.10
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
WM
57.1% Overvalued
Price is 57.1% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $233.83
Fair Value: $148.83
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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MSFT

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $389?

+12.6%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +17.4%

The market implies +12.6% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

Standard FCF implies +17.4%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

WM

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $234?

+18.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +17.8%

The market implies +18.3% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +17.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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MSFT
88/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
WM
81/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by margin stability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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MSFT
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
WM
-2.80
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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MSFT
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 76.0%Retail & Other 23.9%
No. of Institutional Holders8,054
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
WM
Insiders 0.3%Institutions 83.8%Retail & Other 15.9%
No. of Institutional Holders3,030
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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MSFT
1
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.44M
STANTON JOHN W.
Director
$1.99M
@ $397.35 · 2026-02-18
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$1.45M
@ $377.47 · 2025-04-23
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
WM
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $392,840
MENKE SEAN EDWARD
Director
$392,840
@ $196.42 · 2025-11-03
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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MSFT
1
Sells (3M)
13
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $172.43M
HOGAN KATHLEEN T
Officer
$5.05M
@ $409.55 · 2026-03-06
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.36M
@ $478.72 · 2025-12-04
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$6.27M
@ $491.52 · 2025-12-02
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$19.97M
@ $518.64 · 2025-11-03
NADELLA SATYA
Chief Executive Officer
$75.32M
@ $504.78 · 2025-09-03
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$2.56M
@ $527.32 · 2025-08-12
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.39M
@ $463.00 · 2025-06-03
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$460,008
@ $460.01 · 2025-05-30
HOGAN KATHLEEN T
Officer
$9.76M
@ $453.77 · 2025-05-21
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$7.33M
@ $458.18 · 2025-05-19
COLEMAN AMY
Officer
$5.99M
@ $452.04 · 2025-05-15
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$1.68M
@ $438.44 · 2025-05-05
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$35.30M
@ $435.84 · 2025-05-05
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.12M
@ $447.41 · 2024-12-09
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$874,634
@ $437.32 · 2024-12-04
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.50M
@ $428.76 · 2024-12-02
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$10.43M
@ $417.00 · 2024-11-22
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$414,720
@ $414.72 · 2024-11-22
YOUNG CHRISTOPHER DAVID
Officer
$3.05M
@ $423.66 · 2024-11-12
HOGAN KATHLEEN T
Officer
$7.16M
@ $411.86 · 2024-09-10
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$1.03M
@ $411.04 · 2024-09-10
SMITH BRADFORD LEE
President
$16.10M
@ $402.59 · 2024-09-09
HOOD AMY E
Chief Financial Officer
$15.60M
@ $410.55 · 2024-09-05
NADELLA SATYA
Chief Executive Officer
$32.02M
@ $408.63 · 2024-09-04
NUMOTO TAKESHI
Officer
$235,535
@ $416.14 · 2024-06-03
ALTHOFF JUDSON
Officer
$10.64M
@ $425.68 · 2024-05-23
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
WM
28
Sells (3M)
34
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $43.28M
MORRIS JOHN J JR.
President
$1.02M
@ $243.38 · 2026-03-09
REED DAVID L.
Chief Financial Officer
$18,394
@ $245.25 · 2026-03-09
CARROLL JOHN A
Officer
$11,529
@ $245.30 · 2026-03-09
DESANTIS CHRISTOPHER P
Officer
$14,976
@ $245.51 · 2026-03-09
VARKEY JOHNSON
Chief Technology Officer
$29,677
@ $245.26 · 2026-03-09
MORRIS JOHN J JR.
President
$1.96M
@ $245.07 · 2026-03-06
VARKEY JOHNSON
Chief Technology Officer
$150,628
@ $244.13 · 2026-03-03
HEMMER TARA J
Officer
$1.17M
@ $241.83 · 2026-03-02
STITH KIMBERLY G.
Officer
$5,106
@ $243.14 · 2026-03-02
REED DAVID L.
Chief Financial Officer
$5,096
@ $242.67 · 2026-03-02
WATSON MICHAEL J.
Officer
$4.17M
@ $241.81 · 2026-03-02
REED DAVID L.
Chief Financial Officer
$8,498
@ $229.68 · 2026-02-26
CARROLL JOHN A
Officer
$8,491
@ $229.49 · 2026-02-26
SMITH DONALD J
Officer
$2.85M
@ $233.48 · 2026-02-17
CARRASCO RAFAEL
Officer
$1.72M
@ $234.50 · 2026-02-13
CARROLL JOHN A
Officer
$239,634
@ $234.71 · 2026-02-11
FISH JAMES C JR
Chief Executive Officer
$8.47M
@ $230.43 · 2026-02-10
MORRIS JOHN J JR.
President
$151,445
@ $219.49 · 2026-01-30
BOETTCHER CHARLES C
Officer
$151,111
@ $219.32 · 2026-01-30
HEMMER TARA J
Officer
$151,596
@ $219.70 · 2026-01-30
WATSON MICHAEL J.
Officer
$150,996
@ $219.79 · 2026-01-30
REED DAVID L.
Chief Financial Officer
$59,028
@ $218.62 · 2026-01-30
CARRASCO RAFAEL
Officer
$151,114
@ $219.01 · 2026-01-30
SMITH DONALD J
Officer
$151,514
@ $219.59 · 2026-01-30
CARROLL JOHN A
Officer
$48,306
@ $219.57 · 2026-01-30
DESANTIS CHRISTOPHER P
Officer
$47,053
@ $218.85 · 2026-01-30
VARKEY JOHNSON
Chief Technology Officer
$94,004
@ $219.64 · 2026-01-30
STITH KIMBERLY G.
Officer
$34,485
@ $219.65 · 2026-01-30
CARRASCO RAFAEL
Officer
$299,543
@ $217.06 · 2025-11-20
STITH KIMBERLY G.
Officer
$22,520
@ $225.20 · 2025-09-04
CARRASCO RAFAEL
Officer
$465,840
@ $240.00 · 2025-05-30
RANKIN DEVINA A
Chief Financial Officer
$13.74M
@ $237.36 · 2025-05-27
CARRASCO RAFAEL
Officer
$159,610
@ $236.81 · 2025-05-27
MORRIS JOHN J JR.
Chief Operating Officer
$5.55M
@ $233.32 · 2025-05-02
MORRIS JOHN J JR.
Chief Operating Officer
$4.30M
@ $224.71 · 2025-03-07
CARROLL JOHN A
Officer
$282,626
@ $225.92 · 2025-03-07
CARRASCO RAFAEL
Officer
$212,540
@ $229.03 · 2025-03-06
RANKIN DEVINA A
Chief Financial Officer
$941,182
@ $228.11 · 2025-03-05
HEMMER TARA J
Officer
$705,772
@ $228.11 · 2025-03-05
WATSON MICHAEL J.
Officer
$352,886
@ $228.11 · 2025-03-05
SMITH DONALD J
Officer
$10,097
@ $234.81 · 2025-03-03
CARROLL JOHN A
Officer
$11,034
@ $234.77 · 2025-03-03
DESANTIS CHRISTOPHER P
Officer
$10,567
@ $234.82 · 2025-03-03
VARKEY JOHNSON
Chief Technology Officer
$29,134
@ $234.95 · 2025-03-03
STITH KIMBERLY G.
Officer
$14,556
@ $234.77 · 2025-03-03
FISH JAMES C JR
Chief Executive Officer
$10.14M
@ $228.43 · 2025-02-24
WATSON MICHAEL J.
Officer
$1.30M
@ $227.51 · 2025-02-24
CARRASCO RAFAEL
Officer
$903,562
@ $225.89 · 2025-02-07
RANKIN DEVINA A
Chief Financial Officer
$1.29M
@ $222.12 · 2025-02-04
HEMMER TARA J
Officer
$1.02M
@ $222.12 · 2025-02-04
VARKEY JOHNSON
Officer
$70,892
@ $222.93 · 2025-02-04
MORRIS JOHN J JR.
Chief Operating Officer
$152,869
@ $220.59 · 2025-01-31
RANKIN DEVINA A
Chief Financial Officer
$152,855
@ $220.57 · 2025-01-31
BOETTCHER CHARLES C
Officer
$152,870
@ $220.59 · 2025-01-31
HEMMER TARA J
Officer
$152,744
@ $220.41 · 2025-01-31
WATSON MICHAEL J.
Officer
$152,630
@ $220.25 · 2025-01-31
CARRASCO RAFAEL
Officer
$152,758
@ $220.43 · 2025-01-31
SMITH DONALD J
Officer
$42,062
@ $220.22 · 2025-01-31
CARROLL JOHN A
Officer
$46,095
@ $220.55 · 2025-01-31
DESANTIS CHRISTOPHER P
Officer
$44,072
@ $220.36 · 2025-01-31
VARKEY JOHNSON
Chief Technology Officer
$123,260
@ $220.11 · 2025-01-31
STITH KIMBERLY G.
Officer
$41,147
@ $220.04 · 2025-01-31
SYLVESTER MARYROSE T
Director
$66,796
@ $215.47 · 2024-11-05
WATSON MICHAEL J.
Officer
$330,000
@ $220.00 · 2024-07-16
WATSON MICHAEL J.
Officer
$859,631
@ $204.28 · 2024-06-06
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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MSFT
FearGreed
😐Neutral(43/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
WM
FearGreed
😐Neutral(59/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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MSFT
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (43)
WM
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
View MSFT Full AnalysisView WM Full Analysis
Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) vs Waste Management, Inc. (WM) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io