Compare StocksMSFT vs TTWO

Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) vs Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO)

MSFT
Microsoft Corporation
$414.19
VS
TTWO
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
$216.03

Rewards

MSFT
  • Microsoft Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 68.3% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Microsoft Corporation scores 88/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
TTWO

    Risks

    MSFT
    • FCF yield of 2.3% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
    TTWO
    • ROIC has declined by 18.6 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
    • Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. scores only 26/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
    • Share count has increased by 54% over the past 4 years, diluting existing shareholders.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    MSFT
    TTWO
    Valuation
    $71.61B
    Free Cash Flow
    $1.48B
    2.33%
    FCF Yield
    3.71%
    24.68
    Trailing P/E
    N/A
    21.46
    Forward P/E
    27.42
    Quality & Moat
    21.58%
    ROIC
    -1.51%
    24.58%
    ROE
    -128.13%
    68.31%
    Gross Margin
    59.29%
    1.05
    PEG Ratio
    2.39
    Balance Sheet Safety
    0.30
    Debt / Equity
    1.00
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    0.26
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.40
    0.88%
    Dividend Yield
    N/A
    MSFT: 8Ties: 1TTWO: 1
    MSFTTTWO

    Historical Fundamentals

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    MSFT

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    TTWO

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    MSFT
    $9.18
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Exceptional Value Creator
    Σ Retained
    $196.68B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$1.81T
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    TTWO
    N/A
    Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
    Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
    Σ Retained
    $-9.35B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$33.34B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    MSFT
    3.0% Overvalued
    Price is 3.0% above estimated fair value
    Current Price: $414.19
    Fair Value: $402.01
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    TTWO
    62.5% Margin of Safety
    Price is 62.5% below estimated fair value
    Current Price: $216.03
    Fair Value: $576.81
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    MSFT

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $414?

    +13.5%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies +18.3%

    The market implies +13.5% Owner Earnings growth, roughly in line with history — reasonably priced.

    Standard FCF implies +18.3%, reflecting ongoing growth investment.

    TTWO

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $216?

    +12.1%
    Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

    Market below historical growth — potential opportunity.

    Economic Moat Score

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    MSFT
    88/100
    Wide Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
    TTWO
    26/100
    No Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    MSFT
    -2.51
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    TTWO
    -5.00
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    MSFT
    Insiders 0.1%Institutions 75.9%Retail & Other 24.0%
    No. of Institutional Holders8,016
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    TTWO
    Insiders 1.4%Institutions 95.6%Retail & Other 3.0%
    No. of Institutional Holders1,476
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    MSFT
    1
    Buys (3M)
    1
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $1.99M
    STANTON JOHN W.
    Director
    $1.99M
    @ $397.35 · 2026-02-18
    SMITH BRADFORD LEE
    President
    $1.45M
    @ $377.47 · 2025-04-23
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    TTWO
    0
    Buys (3M)
    0
    Buys (12M)
    No open market insider purchases found.
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    MSFT
    1
    Sells (3M)
    13
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $172.43M
    HOGAN KATHLEEN T
    Officer
    $5.05M
    @ $409.55 · 2026-03-06
    NUMOTO TAKESHI
    Officer
    $1.36M
    @ $478.72 · 2025-12-04
    ALTHOFF JUDSON
    Officer
    $6.27M
    @ $491.52 · 2025-12-02
    SMITH BRADFORD LEE
    President
    $19.97M
    @ $518.64 · 2025-11-03
    NADELLA SATYA
    Chief Executive Officer
    $75.32M
    @ $504.78 · 2025-09-03
    NUMOTO TAKESHI
    Officer
    $2.56M
    @ $527.32 · 2025-08-12
    NUMOTO TAKESHI
    Officer
    $1.39M
    @ $463.00 · 2025-06-03
    NUMOTO TAKESHI
    Officer
    $460,008
    @ $460.01 · 2025-05-30
    HOGAN KATHLEEN T
    Officer
    $9.76M
    @ $453.77 · 2025-05-21
    ALTHOFF JUDSON
    Officer
    $7.33M
    @ $458.18 · 2025-05-19
    COLEMAN AMY
    Officer
    $5.99M
    @ $452.04 · 2025-05-15
    SMITH BRADFORD LEE
    President
    $1.68M
    @ $438.44 · 2025-05-05
    SMITH BRADFORD LEE
    President
    $35.30M
    @ $435.84 · 2025-05-05
    NUMOTO TAKESHI
    Officer
    $1.12M
    @ $447.41 · 2024-12-09
    NUMOTO TAKESHI
    Officer
    $874,634
    @ $437.32 · 2024-12-04
    NUMOTO TAKESHI
    Officer
    $1.50M
    @ $428.76 · 2024-12-02
    ALTHOFF JUDSON
    Officer
    $10.43M
    @ $417.00 · 2024-11-22
    NUMOTO TAKESHI
    Officer
    $414,720
    @ $414.72 · 2024-11-22
    YOUNG CHRISTOPHER DAVID
    Officer
    $3.05M
    @ $423.66 · 2024-11-12
    HOGAN KATHLEEN T
    Officer
    $7.16M
    @ $411.86 · 2024-09-10
    NUMOTO TAKESHI
    Officer
    $1.03M
    @ $411.04 · 2024-09-10
    SMITH BRADFORD LEE
    President
    $16.10M
    @ $402.59 · 2024-09-09
    HOOD AMY E
    Chief Financial Officer
    $15.60M
    @ $410.55 · 2024-09-05
    NADELLA SATYA
    Chief Executive Officer
    $32.02M
    @ $408.63 · 2024-09-04
    NUMOTO TAKESHI
    Officer
    $235,535
    @ $416.14 · 2024-06-03
    ALTHOFF JUDSON
    Officer
    $10.64M
    @ $425.68 · 2024-05-23
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    TTWO
    6
    Sells (3M)
    23
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $45.96M
    GORDON WILLIAM BINGHAM
    Director
    $521,725
    @ $208.69 · 2026-03-09
    DORNEMANN MICHAEL
    Director
    $296,195
    @ $213.09 · 2026-03-05
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $535,637
    @ $213.57 · 2026-03-02
    GORDON WILLIAM BINGHAM
    Director
    $522,525
    @ $209.01 · 2026-03-02
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $248,906
    @ $213.47 · 2026-03-02
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $30,183
    @ $194.73 · 2026-02-18
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $274,658
    @ $248.11 · 2025-12-02
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $399,953
    @ $248.11 · 2025-12-02
    SRINIVASAN LAVERNE EVANS
    Director
    $321,664
    @ $238.27 · 2025-11-18
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $42,790
    @ $235.11 · 2025-11-17
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $2.50M
    @ $250.00 · 2025-09-08
    MOSES JON J
    Director
    $239,570
    @ $239.57 · 2025-09-04
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $474,110
    @ $238.73 · 2025-09-03
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $2.77M
    @ $239.57 · 2025-09-02
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $4.61M
    @ $230.64 · 2025-08-28
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $5.11M
    @ $227.47 · 2025-08-21
    SRINIVASAN LAVERNE EVANS
    Director
    $528,868
    @ $227.47 · 2025-08-21
    SLATOFF KARL
    President
    $11.16M
    @ $227.68 · 2025-08-21
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $46,227
    @ $233.47 · 2025-08-18
    MOSES JON J
    Director
    $231,330
    @ $231.33 · 2025-08-15
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $6.09M
    @ $225.22 · 2025-06-02
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $45,106
    @ $225.53 · 2025-06-02
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $8.95M
    @ $225.22 · 2025-06-02
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $37,057
    @ $214.20 · 2025-03-06
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $121,885
    @ $211.24 · 2025-03-03
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $175,118
    @ $211.24 · 2025-03-03
    SLATOFF KARL
    President
    $7.02M
    @ $208.13 · 2025-02-25
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $262,197
    @ $187.95 · 2024-12-03
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $212,221
    @ $187.64 · 2024-12-02
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $818,545
    @ $176.79 · 2024-11-08
    SRINIVASAN LAVERNE EVANS
    Director
    $358,340
    @ $179.17 · 2024-11-08
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $8.76M
    @ $175.05 · 2024-11-08
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $124,931
    @ $158.14 · 2024-09-03
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $182,177
    @ $158.14 · 2024-09-03
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $28,618
    @ $149.83 · 2024-08-19
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $36,432
    @ $167.12 · 2024-06-06
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $2.07M
    @ $162.39 · 2024-06-04
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $2.32M
    @ $162.05 · 2024-06-03
    MOSES JON J
    Director
    $378,138
    @ $151.26 · 2024-05-21
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

    Learn more →
    MSFT
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(48/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    TTWO
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(54/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

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    MSFT
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
    TTWO
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (54)
    View MSFT Full AnalysisView TTWO Full Analysis
    MSFT vs TTWO: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io