Compare StocksMS vs TT

Morgan Stanley (MS) vs Trane Technologies plc (TT)

MS
Morgan Stanley
$158.55
VS
TT
Trane Technologies plc
$423.03

Rewards

MS
  • Gross margin of 87.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $6.65 of market value — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
  • PEG ratio of 0.75 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
TT
  • Trane Technologies plc has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Trane Technologies plc scores 95/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 32.4% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

MS
  • High leverage (4.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
  • Altman Z-Score of 0.29 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $25.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
TT
  • FCF yield of 3.0% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • 11 insider sales totaling $25.5M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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MS
TT
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$2.81B
N/A
FCF Yield
3.00%
15.53
Trailing P/E
32.15
12.89
Forward P/E
25.14
Quality & Moat
3.43%
ROIC
18.60%
14.42%
ROE
33.93%
87.06%
Gross Margin
36.16%
0.75
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
4.56
Debt / Equity
0.63
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.87
2.52%
Dividend Yield
0.99%
MS: 4Ties: 1TT: 3
MSTT

Historical Fundamentals

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MS

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

TT

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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MS
$6.65
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$20.84B
Δ Market Cap
+$138.59B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TT
$9.12
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$5.23B
Δ Market Cap
+$47.73B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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MS
45.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 45.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $158.55
Fair Value: $290.92
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TT
11.2% Overvalued
Price is 11.2% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $423.03
Fair Value: $380.54
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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MS

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

TT

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $423?

+14.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +15.2%

The market implies +14.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +15.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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MS
32/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though revenue predictability shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
TT
95/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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MS
-2.09
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TT
-2.46
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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MS
Insiders 24.0%Institutions 62.7%Retail & Other 13.3%
No. of Institutional Holders3,181
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TT
Insiders 0.3%Institutions 90.1%Retail & Other 9.6%
No. of Institutional Holders2,347
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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MS
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $5,630
PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Director
$5,630
@ $156.39 · 2025-10-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TT
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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MS
7
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $62.45M
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$6.02M
@ $182.61 · 2026-01-30
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$3.97M
@ $184.00 · 2026-01-20
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $183.45 · 2026-01-20
YESHAYA SHARON
Chief Financial Officer
$2.94M
@ $185.77 · 2026-01-20
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.55M
@ $182.08 · 2026-01-20
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$3.69M
@ $184.55 · 2026-01-20
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$5.57M
@ $183.62 · 2026-01-20
PICK EDWARD N.
Chief Executive Officer
$16.43M
@ $164.34 · 2025-10-31
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.69M
@ $141.12 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.09M
@ $141.13 · 2025-07-17
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$2.81M
@ $140.30 · 2025-07-17
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.53M
@ $140.62 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$3.70M
@ $127.37 · 2025-05-12
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$95,459
@ $119.32 · 2025-05-02
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.80M
@ $120.00 · 2025-05-02
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.12M
@ $111.65 · 2025-04-15
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $138.06 · 2025-01-22
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.78M
@ $136.20 · 2025-01-21
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$5.00M
@ $136.61 · 2025-01-21
AKRAM RAJA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.38M
@ $136.01 · 2025-01-21
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.52M
@ $136.92 · 2025-01-21
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.20M
@ $136.43 · 2025-01-21
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$368,375
@ $105.25 · 2024-07-26
AKRAM RAJA
Officer
$797,764
@ $106.37 · 2024-07-18
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.26M
@ $106.54 · 2024-07-17
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$106,621
@ $106.62 · 2024-07-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$692,663
@ $99.61 · 2024-05-14
GORMAN JAMES P
Officer and Director
$9.02M
@ $90.21 · 2024-04-18
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.01M
@ $90.09 · 2024-04-17
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TT
11
Sells (3M)
16
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $39.92M
SIMMONS DONALD E
Officer
$1.59M
@ $422.70 · 2026-03-06
ELWELL ELIZABETH A
Officer
$268,418
@ $422.71 · 2026-03-06
REGNERY DAVID S
Chief Executive Officer
$15.24M
@ $422.69 · 2026-03-06
SIMMONS DONALD E
Officer
$3.64M
@ $475.00 · 2026-02-12
SIMMONS DONALD E
Officer
$380,230
@ $462.57 · 2026-02-10
ELWELL ELIZABETH A
Officer
$63,359
@ $462.47 · 2026-02-10
REGNERY DAVID S
Chief Executive Officer
$2.59M
@ $462.60 · 2026-02-10
KUEHN CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Financial Officer
$1.11M
@ $462.70 · 2026-02-10
SIMMONS DONALD E
Officer
$198,119
@ $451.30 · 2026-02-06
ELWELL ELIZABETH A
Officer
$20,752
@ $451.13 · 2026-02-06
REGNERY DAVID S
Chief Executive Officer
$445,213
@ $451.08 · 2026-02-06
ELWELL ELIZABETH A
Officer
$264,000
@ $440.00 · 2025-10-30
ELWELL ELIZABETH A
Officer
$170,425
@ $425.00 · 2025-10-01
REGNERY DAVID S
Chief Executive Officer
$9.22M
@ $410.00 · 2025-09-02
SIMMONS DONALD E
Officer
$3.37M
@ $400.00 · 2025-05-02
SIMMONS DONALD E
Officer
$1.36M
@ $380.00 · 2025-04-30
SIMMONS DONALD E
Officer
$1.18M
@ $350.00 · 2025-03-05
TURTZ EVAN M.
Officer
$1.31M
@ $346.99 · 2025-03-05
MAGNER MAIREAD
Officer
$1.25M
@ $346.95 · 2025-03-05
REGNERY DAVID S
Chief Executive Officer
$9.36M
@ $346.95 · 2025-03-05
KUEHN CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Financial Officer
$2.93M
@ $346.96 · 2025-03-05
SIMMONS DONALD E
Officer
$429,829
@ $359.99 · 2025-02-11
TURTZ EVAN M.
Officer
$171,608
@ $359.77 · 2025-02-11
MAGNER MAIREAD
Officer
$88,949
@ $360.12 · 2025-02-11
REGNERY DAVID S
Chief Executive Officer
$1.12M
@ $360.14 · 2025-02-11
KUEHN CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Financial Officer
$308,108
@ $359.94 · 2025-02-11
TURTZ EVAN M.
Officer
$113,882
@ $358.12 · 2025-02-10
MAGNER MAIREAD
Officer
$57,698
@ $358.37 · 2025-02-10
REGNERY DAVID S
Chief Executive Officer
$830,239
@ $358.17 · 2025-02-10
KUEHN CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Financial Officer
$275,963
@ $358.39 · 2025-02-10
TURTZ EVAN M.
Officer
$183,723
@ $357.44 · 2025-02-04
MAGNER MAIREAD
Officer
$70,807
@ $357.61 · 2025-02-04
REGNERY DAVID S
Chief Executive Officer
$984,106
@ $357.34 · 2025-02-04
KUEHN CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Financial Officer
$313,100
@ $357.42 · 2025-02-04
MAGNER MAIREAD
Officer
$1.80M
@ $416.00 · 2024-12-04
KUEHN CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Financial Officer
$5.12M
@ $376.62 · 2024-11-04
PITTARD RAYMOND D
Officer
$593,221
@ $328.65 · 2024-08-07
REGNERY DAVID S
Chief Executive Officer
$9.46M
@ $321.25 · 2024-08-06
TURTZ EVAN M.
Officer
$2.89M
@ $321.30 · 2024-06-05
CAMUTI PAUL A
Officer
$6.25M
@ $321.33 · 2024-06-05
KUEHN CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Financial Officer
$2.57M
@ $320.05 · 2024-06-05
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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MS
FearGreed
😐Neutral(48/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TT
FearGreed
😐Neutral(50/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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MS
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
TT
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (50)
View MS Full AnalysisView TT Full Analysis
Morgan Stanley (MS) vs Trane Technologies plc (TT) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io