Compare Stocks › MS vs TDG
Morgan Stanley (MS) vs TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG)
MS
Morgan Stanley
$190.17
VS
TDG
TransDigm Group Incorporated
$1154.45
Rewards
MS
- ★Gross margin of 87.4% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Morgan Stanley scores 80/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with revenue predictability as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★Each dollar of retained earnings has created $3.11 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.
TDG
- ★TransDigm Group Incorporated has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
- ★TransDigm Group Incorporated scores 94/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★Free cash flow has grown at a 29.9% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
Risks
MS
- ⚠High leverage (4.56x debt/equity) combined with thin interest coverage (-1.0x) poses financial risk.
- ⚠Altman Z-Score of 0.29 places the company in the distress zone — financial patterns resemble those of companies that experienced bankruptcy.
- ⚠Insiders have sold $17.7M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
TDG
- ⚠FCF yield of 2.8% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠PEG ratio of 2.85 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
- ⚠Net debt/EBITDA of 5.9x indicates heavy leverage — it would take over 4 years of EBITDA to pay off net debt.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →MS
TDG
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$1.82B
N/A
FCF Yield
2.79%
17.21
Trailing P/E
37.18
15.02
Forward P/E
25.22
Quality & Moat
3.75%
ROIC
10.92%
14.42%
ROE
N/A
87.39%
Gross Margin
59.69%
0.54
PEG Ratio
2.85
Balance Sheet Safety
4.56
Debt / Equity
N/A
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
N/A
Net Debt / EBITDA
5.93
2.10%
Dividend Yield
N/A
MS: 4Ties: 1TDG: 1
MSTDG
Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →MS
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
TDG
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →MS
$6.65
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$20.84B
Δ Market Cap
+$138.59B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TDG
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-6.62B
Δ Market Cap
+$40.74B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →MS
31.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 31.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $190.17
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $275.48
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TDG
32.8% Overvalued
Price is 32.8% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $1154.45
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Fair Value: $869.31
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →MS
Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.
TDG
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $1154?
+18.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +20.5%
The market implies +18.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.
Standard FCF implies a more demanding +20.5%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →MS
80/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat driven primarily by revenue predictability. Margin Stability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
TDG
94/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None
Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Margin Stability is the standout factor.
Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →MS
-2.09
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TDG
-2.38
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →MS
Insiders 24.3%Institutions 63.0%Retail & Other 12.8%
No. of Institutional Holders3,167
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TDG
Insiders 0.4%Institutions 97.1%Retail & Other 2.5%
No. of Institutional Holders1,470
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →MS
0
Buys (3M)
1
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $5,630
PETERSON DOUGLAS L
Director
$5,630
@ $156.39 · 2025-10-17
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TDG
2
Buys (3M)
3
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84M
SMALL ROBERT J
Director
$1,285
@ $1285.00 · 2026-02-25
LISMAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$1.22M
@ $1284.26 · 2026-02-06
LISMAN MICHAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$2.62M
@ $1339.14 · 2025-11-14
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →MS
4
Sells (3M)
17
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $74.11M
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$2.12M
@ $190.75 · 2026-04-20
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$2.78M
@ $189.24 · 2026-04-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$3.04M
@ $188.22 · 2026-04-16
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$9.74M
@ $188.59 · 2026-04-16
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$6.02M
@ $182.61 · 2026-01-30
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.44M
@ $183.45 · 2026-01-20
YESHAYA SHARON
Chief Financial Officer
$2.94M
@ $185.77 · 2026-01-20
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$1.55M
@ $182.08 · 2026-01-20
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$3.69M
@ $184.55 · 2026-01-20
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$5.57M
@ $183.62 · 2026-01-20
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$3.97M
@ $184.00 · 2026-01-20
PICK EDWARD N.
Chief Executive Officer
$16.43M
@ $164.34 · 2025-10-31
SMITH CHARLES AUBREY III
Officer
$2.81M
@ $140.30 · 2025-07-17
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.53M
@ $140.62 · 2025-07-17
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.69M
@ $141.12 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.09M
@ $141.13 · 2025-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$3.70M
@ $127.37 · 2025-05-12
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.80M
@ $120.00 · 2025-05-02
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$95,459
@ $119.32 · 2025-05-02
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.12M
@ $111.65 · 2025-04-15
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$1.15M
@ $138.06 · 2025-01-22
PIZZI MICHAEL A
Officer
$2.52M
@ $136.92 · 2025-01-21
SAPERSTEIN ANDREW MICHAEL
President
$4.20M
@ $136.43 · 2025-01-21
GROSSMAN ERIC F
Officer
$1.78M
@ $136.20 · 2025-01-21
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$5.00M
@ $136.61 · 2025-01-21
AKRAM RAJA
Chief Financial Officer
$2.38M
@ $136.01 · 2025-01-21
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$368,375
@ $105.25 · 2024-07-26
AKRAM RAJA
Officer
$797,764
@ $106.37 · 2024-07-18
HERZ ROBERT H
Director
$106,621
@ $106.62 · 2024-07-17
SIMKOWITZ DANIEL A
President
$4.26M
@ $106.54 · 2024-07-17
CRAWLEY MANDELL L.
Officer
$692,663
@ $99.61 · 2024-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TDG
3
Sells (3M)
23
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $81.58M
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.99M
@ $1280.46 · 2026-04-15
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.85M
@ $1243.70 · 2026-03-16
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$5.05M
@ $1293.88 · 2026-02-17
MURPHY PATRICK JOSEPH
Chief Operating Officer
$414,729
@ $1430.10 · 2026-02-02
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$5.58M
@ $1429.92 · 2026-01-15
MURPHY PATRICK JOSEPH
Chief Operating Officer
$385,419
@ $1329.03 · 2026-01-02
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$5.03M
@ $1290.52 · 2025-12-15
SMALL ROBERT J
Director
$6.06M
@ $1290.19 · 2025-12-10
MURPHY PATRICK JOSEPH
Chief Operating Officer
$391,807
@ $1351.06 · 2025-12-01
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$5.23M
@ $1340.00 · 2025-11-17
MURPHY PATRICK JOSEPH
Chief Operating Officer
$379,900
@ $1310.00 · 2025-11-03
MURPHY PATRICK JOSEPH
Chief Operating Officer
$785,761
@ $1354.76 · 2025-10-27
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$3.84M
@ $1279.59 · 2025-10-20
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$3.83M
@ $1276.07 · 2025-09-22
GRAFF MICHAEL S
Director
$2.47M
@ $1402.09 · 2025-08-26
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.22M
@ $1406.07 · 2025-08-20
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.79M
@ $1597.86 · 2025-07-21
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.27M
@ $1424.27 · 2025-06-20
WYNNE SARAH
Chief Financial Officer
$2.61M
@ $1450.00 · 2025-06-13
WYNNE SARAH
Chief Financial Officer
$4.65M
@ $1452.15 · 2025-06-12
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.30M
@ $1434.35 · 2025-05-20
HENNESSY SEAN P
Director
$6.75M
@ $1436.52 · 2025-05-20
WARREN JESSICA L
General Counsel
$698,250
@ $1425.00 · 2025-05-13
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.36M
@ $1321.80 · 2025-04-21
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.08M
@ $1360.04 · 2025-03-20
WARREN JESSICA L
General Counsel
$378,487
@ $1376.32 · 2025-03-04
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$3.97M
@ $1323.02 · 2025-02-20
SMALL ROBERT J
Director
$4.83M
@ $1322.19 · 2025-02-14
REISS JOEL
Chief Operating Officer
$4.08M
@ $1359.06 · 2025-01-21
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →MS
😏Greed(71/100)
"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TDG
😨Fear(36/100)
"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"
Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →MS
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (71)
TDG
⚪Awaiting DCF Data
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (36)