Compare StocksMPWR vs NVDA

Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. (MPWR) vs NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-08-03, MPWR is overvalued at $1426, with a DCF intrinsic value of $725 and a margin of safety of -97%. NVDA is overvalued at $201, with an intrinsic value of $163 and a margin of safety of -23%. Of the two, NVDA has the wider margin of safety.

MPWR
Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.
$1426.03
VS
NVDA
NVIDIA Corporation
$200.75

Rewards

MPWR
  • Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. scores 80/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with reinvestment efficiency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 52.3% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $1.06 of earning power — management is creating shareholder value.
NVDA
  • NVIDIA Corporation has maintained ROIC above 10% for 4 consecutive years, suggesting solid business economics.
  • Gross margin of 74.1% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 193.9% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

MPWR
  • Buybacks have been poorly timed — 2 out of 3 years involved repurchases at relatively expensive valuations.
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 2 out of 3 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • Trailing P/E of 87.0x is 79% above the historical average of 48.7x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
NVDA
  • FCF yield of 2.0% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • Beneish M-Score of -1.06 flags financial patterns consistent with potential earnings manipulation — warrants further investigation.
  • 28 insider sales with no purchases over the past 12 months — a persistent pattern of insider selling.

Key Valuation Metrics

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MPWR
NVDA
Valuation
N/A
Free Cash Flow
$96.68B
N/A
FCF Yield
1.99%
86.95
Trailing P/E
30.79
40.98
Forward P/E
15.57
Quality & Moat
N/A
ROIC
63.06%
21.98%
ROE
114.29%
55.20%
Gross Margin
74.14%
1.87
PEG Ratio
0.55
Balance Sheet Safety
N/A
Net Debt / Equity
Net cash
No debt
Interest Coverage
N/A
-1.42
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.24
0.56%
Dividend Yield
0.50%
MPWR: 2NVDA: 5
MPWRNVDA

Historical Fundamentals

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MPWR

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

NVDA

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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MPWR
$14.25
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$1.93B
Δ Market Cap
+$27.49B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
NVDA
$16.59
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$220.50B
Δ Market Cap
+$3.66T
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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MPWR
68.6% Overvalued
Price is 68.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $1426.03
Fair Value: $845.72
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
NVDA
46.9% Margin of Safety
Price is 46.9% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $200.75
Fair Value: $378.18
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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MPWR

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

NVDA

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $201?

+17.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +20.2%

The market implies +17.2% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +20.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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MPWR
80/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by reinvestment efficiency. Revenue Predictability is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
NVDA
69/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving revenue predictability would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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MPWR
-2.51
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
NVDA
-1.06
Likely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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MPWR
Insiders 3.6%Institutions 100.8%
No. of Institutional Holders1,652
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
NVDA
Insiders 4.0%Institutions 70.7%Retail & Other 25.3%
No. of Institutional Holders7,576
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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MPWR
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
NVDA
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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MPWR
11
Sells (3M)
50
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $685.57M
SCIAMMAS MAURICE
Officer
$20.25M
@ $1349.73 · 2026-07-15
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$12.86M
@ $1700.00 · 2026-05-27
DEAN ROBERT W II
Chief Financial Officer
$36,290
@ $1649.55 · 2026-05-26
ZHOU JEFFREY
Director
$816,480
@ $1680.00 · 2026-05-26
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$7.93M
@ $1586.43 · 2026-05-22
DEAN ROBERT W II
Chief Financial Officer
$6,253
@ $1563.25 · 2026-05-18
SCIAMMAS MAURICE
Officer
$18.74M
@ $1561.40 · 2026-05-15
XIAO DEMING
Officer
$49.64M
@ $1654.55 · 2026-05-06
WYNNE EILEEN
Director
$530,198
@ $1582.68 · 2026-05-06
ZHOU JEFFREY
Director
$2.43M
@ $1607.85 · 2026-05-06
ELMIGER EUGEN J
Director
$19.02M
@ $1584.96 · 2026-05-06
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$11.70M
@ $1305.22 · 2026-04-08
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$8.92M
@ $1167.95 · 2026-04-06
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$1.59M
@ $1133.52 · 2026-04-01
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$25.94M
@ $1010.50 · 2026-03-30
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$38.67M
@ $1171.83 · 2026-02-12
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$39.23M
@ $1188.92 · 2026-02-11
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$38.84M
@ $1142.28 · 2026-02-10
LEE VICTOR K
Director
$484,864
@ $1212.16 · 2026-02-09
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$64.32M
@ $1171.16 · 2026-02-06
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$26.79M
@ $1171.16 · 2026-02-06
XIAO DEMING
Officer
$26.79M
@ $1171.16 · 2026-02-06
SCIAMMAS MAURICE
Officer
$26.79M
@ $1171.16 · 2026-02-06
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$25.44M
@ $1171.16 · 2026-02-06
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$3.39M
@ $1129.76 · 2026-02-02
LEE VICTOR K
Director
$558,516
@ $930.86 · 2026-01-02
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$2.82M
@ $940.47 · 2026-01-02
LEE VICTOR K
Director
$951,719
@ $951.72 · 2025-12-24
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$2.72M
@ $908.21 · 2025-12-01
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$18.53M
@ $926.47 · 2025-11-26
CHANG KUO WEI HERBERT
Director
$89,697
@ $896.97 · 2025-11-25
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$18.08M
@ $904.18 · 2025-11-25
SCIAMMAS MAURICE
Officer
$3.56M
@ $895.23 · 2025-11-24
CHANG KUO WEI HERBERT
Director
$87,397
@ $873.97 · 2025-11-21
SCIAMMAS MAURICE
Officer
$6.12M
@ $870.21 · 2025-11-19
SCIAMMAS MAURICE
Officer
$24.66M
@ $881.66 · 2025-11-19
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$35.72M
@ $965.52 · 2025-11-12
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$38.34M
@ $958.39 · 2025-11-11
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$3.07M
@ $1024.43 · 2025-11-03
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$1.41M
@ $1087.62 · 2025-10-24
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$17.14M
@ $1017.77 · 2025-10-16
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$2.74M
@ $913.22 · 2025-10-01
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$13.27M
@ $914.45 · 2025-09-18
MARTINEZ CARINTIA
Director
$1.26M
@ $900.00 · 2025-09-18
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$2.44M
@ $814.34 · 2025-09-02
ELMIGER EUGEN J
Director
$3.39M
@ $846.71 · 2025-08-29
ZHOU JEFFREY
Director
$167,910
@ $870.00 · 2025-08-27
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$16.77M
@ $829.10 · 2025-08-15
ZHOU JEFFREY
Director
$340,000
@ $850.00 · 2025-08-13
ZHOU JEFFREY
Director
$166,000
@ $830.00 · 2025-08-12
XIAO DEMING
Officer
$31.20M
@ $780.00 · 2025-08-01
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$2.25M
@ $750.00 · 2025-08-01
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$4.50M
@ $750.00 · 2025-07-01
CHANG KUO WEI HERBERT
Director
$36,900
@ $738.00 · 2025-05-13
CHANG KUO WEI HERBERT
Director
$69,800
@ $698.00 · 2025-05-12
CHANG KUO WEI HERBERT
Director
$65,000
@ $650.00 · 2025-05-08
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$3.64M
@ $700.00 · 2025-02-18
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$1.86M
@ $717.10 · 2025-02-10
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$475,438
@ $717.10 · 2025-02-10
XIAO DEMING
Officer
$474,721
@ $717.10 · 2025-02-10
SCIAMMAS MAURICE
Officer
$474,721
@ $717.10 · 2025-02-10
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$381,498
@ $717.10 · 2025-02-10
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$8.37M
@ $700.00 · 2025-02-07
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$2.55M
@ $700.00 · 2025-01-24
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$1.50M
@ $600.00 · 2024-12-09
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$2.15M
@ $765.15 · 2024-11-08
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$662,611
@ $765.14 · 2024-11-08
XIAO DEMING
Officer
$662,611
@ $765.14 · 2024-11-08
SCIAMMAS MAURICE
Officer
$662,611
@ $765.14 · 2024-11-08
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$561,620
@ $765.15 · 2024-11-08
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$1.93M
@ $772.96 · 2024-11-01
SCIAMMAS MAURICE
Officer
$10.23M
@ $929.59 · 2024-10-07
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$2.27M
@ $908.36 · 2024-10-01
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$2.26M
@ $904.20 · 2024-09-03
CHANG KUO WEI HERBERT
Director
$178,688
@ $893.44 · 2024-08-15
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$3.53M
@ $827.18 · 2024-08-09
HSING MICHAEL R
Chief Executive Officer
$2.17M
@ $778.39 · 2024-08-08
TSENG SARIA H
General Counsel
$668,637
@ $778.39 · 2024-08-08
XIAO DEMING
Officer
$668,637
@ $778.39 · 2024-08-08
SCIAMMAS MAURICE
Officer
$668,637
@ $778.39 · 2024-08-08
BLEGEN THEODORE BERNHARD
Chief Financial Officer
$566,668
@ $778.39 · 2024-08-08
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
NVDA
1
Sells (3M)
28
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $743.42M
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$133,750
@ $214.00 · 2026-05-27
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$942,944
@ $174.75 · 2026-03-20
SHAH AARTI S
Director
$3.36M
@ $176.71 · 2026-03-19
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$555,440
@ $184.90 · 2026-03-13
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$15.19M
@ $189.85 · 2026-01-02
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$4.43M
@ $179.98 · 2025-12-19
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$112,317
@ $179.42 · 2025-11-24
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$5.20M
@ $207.91 · 2025-10-29
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$23.56M
@ $188.47 · 2025-10-28
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.73M
@ $181.04 · 2025-10-23
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$41.06M
@ $182.48 · 2025-10-20
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$41.34M
@ $183.73 · 2025-10-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.89M
@ $190.60 · 2025-10-10
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.05M
@ $186.89 · 2025-10-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$42.09M
@ $187.08 · 2025-10-02
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.23M
@ $178.82 · 2025-09-29
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.21M
@ $178.69 · 2025-09-24
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.18M
@ $174.14 · 2025-09-19
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$617,298
@ $176.37 · 2025-09-19
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.75M
@ $176.66 · 2025-09-16
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.28M
@ $174.59 · 2025-09-11
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.01M
@ $168.95 · 2025-09-08
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.61M
@ $171.60 · 2025-09-03
HUDSON BEACH DAWN E
Director
$15.38M
@ $170.90 · 2025-09-03
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$27.12M
@ $180.79 · 2025-08-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.96M
@ $182.04 · 2025-08-13
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.66M
@ $180.70 · 2025-08-08
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.78M
@ $176.80 · 2025-08-05
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$40.18M
@ $178.58 · 2025-07-31
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$39.16M
@ $174.02 · 2025-07-28
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.22M
@ $169.87 · 2025-07-23
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$38.71M
@ $172.05 · 2025-07-18
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$37.59M
@ $167.08 · 2025-07-15
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$36.43M
@ $161.91 · 2025-07-10
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$35.55M
@ $158.02 · 2025-07-07
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$35.16M
@ $156.27 · 2025-07-01
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$30.47M
@ $152.33 · 2025-06-26
HUANG JEN-HSUN
Chief Executive Officer
$14.40M
@ $144.04 · 2025-06-23
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$646,469
@ $143.66 · 2025-06-20
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$91,608
@ $138.80 · 2025-05-30
BURGESS ROBERT KENNETH
Director
$6.74M
@ $134.82 · 2025-05-30
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$7.79M
@ $116.83 · 2025-03-21
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$525,585
@ $116.80 · 2025-03-21
SHAH AARTI S
Director
$2.37M
@ $118.42 · 2025-03-20
BURGESS ROBERT KENNETH
Director
$6.16M
@ $115.49 · 2025-03-13
DABIRI JOHN O
Director
$292,930
@ $110.00 · 2025-03-10
KRESS COLETTE M.
Chief Financial Officer
$9.03M
@ $135.40 · 2024-12-13
ROBERTSON DONALD F JR
Officer
$608,775
@ $135.28 · 2024-12-13
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
MPWR
FearGreed
😐Neutral(51/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
NVDA
FearGreed
😐Neutral(51/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →
MPWR
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (51)
NVDA
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (51)
View MPWR Full AnalysisView NVDA Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: MPWR vs NVDA

Is Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. or NVIDIA Corporation more undervalued in 2026?

Based on our discounted cash flow model, NVDA trades at a -22.9% margin of safety (intrinsic value $163 vs. price $201), compared to MPWR's -96.7% margin of safety (intrinsic $725 vs. $1426).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. or NVIDIA Corporation?

MPWR scores 80/100 (Wide moat), while NVDA scores 69/100 (Narrow moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Which dividend is safer, Monolithic Power Systems, Inc.'s or NVIDIA Corporation's?

MPWR's dividend earns a safety score of 94/100 (Very Safe), compared to NVDA's 91/100 (Very Safe). MPWR has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.

Does NVIDIA Corporation have accounting red flags?

NVDA's Beneish M-Score of -1.1 flags it as a likely earnings manipulator (above the -1.78 threshold). By contrast, MPWR scores -2.5, within the normal range. The Beneish model detects aggressive accounting through eight financial ratios.