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Microchip Technology Incorporated (MCHP) vs Visa Inc. (V): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-06-19, MCHP is undervalued at $100, with a DCF intrinsic value of $220 and a margin of safety of 55%. V is fairly valued at $327, with an intrinsic value of $304 and a margin of safety of -8%. Of the two, MCHP has the wider margin of safety.

MCHP
Microchip Technology Incorporated
$99.77
VS
V
Visa Inc.
$327.24

Rewards

MCHP
  • ★Management has timed buybacks well — 2 out of 3 years showed value-accretive repurchases.
  • ★PEG ratio of 0.35 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate — paying less than 1x for each unit of earnings growth.
  • ★Altman Z-Score of 5.12 indicates very low bankruptcy risk — the company is firmly in the safe zone.
V
  • ★Visa Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • ★Gross margin of 97.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • ★Visa Inc. scores 99/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.

Risks

MCHP
  • ⚠ROIC has declined by 14.7 percentage points over the past 4 years, which may signal competitive erosion.
  • ⚠Microchip Technology Incorporated scores only 28/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
  • ⚠FCF yield of 2.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
V
  • ⚠Insiders have sold $14.2M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.

Key Valuation Metrics

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MCHP
V
Valuation
$1.14B
Free Cash Flow
$20.84B
2.11%
FCF Yield
3.35%
453.50
Trailing P/E
28.55
24.33
Forward P/E
22.02
Quality & Moat
5.26%
ROIC
38.39%
3.40%
ROE
60.35%
57.73%
Gross Margin
97.78%
0.35
PEG Ratio
1.46
Balance Sheet Safety
0.84
Net Debt / Equity
0.28
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
4.43
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.33
1.90%
Dividend Yield
0.80%
MCHP: 2Ties: 1V: 9
MCHPV

Historical Fundamentals

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MCHP

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

V

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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MCHP
N/A
Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
Σ Retained
$-843.3M
Δ Market Cap
+$4.89B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
V
$5.50
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$44.47B
Δ Market Cap
+$244.54B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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MCHP
4.4% Margin of Safety
Price is 4.4% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $99.77
Fair Value: $104.40
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
V
7.6% Overvalued
Price is 7.6% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $327.24
Fair Value: $304.21
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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MCHP

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $100?

+25.2%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +20.8%

The market implies +25.2% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +20.8%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

V

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $327?

+13.9%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +13.4%

The market implies +13.9% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.

Standard FCF implies a demanding +13.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.

Economic Moat Score

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MCHP
28/100
No Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.
V
99/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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MCHP
-2.85
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
V
-2.50
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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MCHP
Insiders 2.1%Institutions 100.6%
No. of Institutional Holders1,615
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
V
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 91.7%Retail & Other 8.2%
No. of Institutional Holders5,856
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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MCHP
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
V
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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MCHP
3
Sells (3M)
6
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.08M
CHAPMAN MATTHEW W
Director
$292,546
@ $97.52 · 2026-05-28
CHAPMAN MATTHEW W
Director
$954,799
@ $95.48 · 2026-05-15
BUNKER MATHEW B.
Officer
$1.02M
@ $96.88 · 2026-05-13
KRAWCZYK JOSEPH R. II
Officer
$345,743
@ $78.58 · 2026-02-12
BUNKER MATHEW B.
Officer
$783,700
@ $78.37 · 2026-02-12
CHAPMAN MATTHEW W
Director
$682,550
@ $68.25 · 2025-08-25
JOHNSON KARLTON D
Director
$29,981
@ $60.69 · 2025-05-20
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
V
2
Sells (3M)
17
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $53.88M
SUH CHRIS
Chief Financial Officer
$3.46M
@ $324.81 · 2026-05-12
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$10.70M
@ $340.14 · 2026-04-29
CARNEY LLOYD A
Director
$201,253
@ $309.62 · 2026-03-11
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.66M
@ $349.18 · 2026-01-02
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$699,315
@ $345.00 · 2025-12-11
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.57M
@ $340.07 · 2025-12-11
TANEJA RAJAT
Officer
$7.84M
@ $330.14 · 2025-12-02
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$2.50M
@ $331.45 · 2025-12-02
TANEJA RAJAT
Officer
$2.08M
@ $330.00 · 2025-11-21
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$707,917
@ $325.93 · 2025-11-21
CARNEY LLOYD A
Director
$302,832
@ $336.48 · 2025-11-04
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.58M
@ $341.00 · 2025-11-03
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.59M
@ $342.30 · 2025-10-01
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.65M
@ $348.57 · 2025-09-02
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$697,329
@ $344.02 · 2025-08-18
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.60M
@ $343.13 · 2025-08-14
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.05M
@ $353.82 · 2025-07-01
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$4.36M
@ $375.00 · 2025-06-11
TANEJA RAJAT
President
$18.44M
@ $368.87 · 2025-06-05
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$17.10M
@ $370.00 · 2025-06-05
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.13M
@ $362.77 · 2025-06-02
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$6.32M
@ $357.45 · 2025-05-12
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$5.26M
@ $355.04 · 2025-05-08
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$889,868
@ $345.58 · 2025-05-01
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.98M
@ $345.58 · 2025-05-01
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.02M
@ $350.44 · 2025-04-01
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$13.40M
@ $340.41 · 2025-03-19
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$12.88M
@ $327.20 · 2025-03-14
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$3.13M
@ $363.00 · 2025-03-03
ANDRESKI PETER M
Officer
$815,314
@ $349.62 · 2025-02-07
MAHON TULLIER KELLY
Officer
$11.80M
@ $349.77 · 2025-02-07
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$874,480
@ $340.00 · 2025-02-03
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.93M
@ $340.00 · 2025-02-03
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.74M
@ $317.78 · 2025-01-02
TANEJA RAJAT
Officer
$11.15M
@ $315.55 · 2024-12-13
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.73M
@ $316.90 · 2024-12-02
FABARA PAUL D
Officer
$668,603
@ $307.97 · 2024-11-22
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$741,996
@ $288.49 · 2024-11-01
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.49M
@ $288.49 · 2024-11-01
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.39M
@ $276.97 · 2024-10-01
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.38M
@ $276.37 · 2024-09-03
ROTTENBERG JULIE B
General Counsel
$707,300
@ $275.00 · 2024-08-29
MCINERNEY RYAN
Chief Executive Officer
$2.37M
@ $275.00 · 2024-08-29
MAHON TULLIER KELLY
Officer
$10.12M
@ $267.64 · 2024-08-16
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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MCHP
FearGreed
😐Neutral(56/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
V
FearGreed
😐Neutral(57/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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MCHP
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (56)
V
⚪Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (57)
View MCHP Full AnalysisView V Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: MCHP vs V

Is Microchip Technology Incorporated or Visa Inc. more undervalued in 2026?▼

Based on our discounted cash flow model, MCHP trades at a 54.6% margin of safety (intrinsic value $220 vs. price $100), compared to V's -7.6% margin of safety (intrinsic $304 vs. $327).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Microchip Technology Incorporated or Visa Inc.?▼

V scores 99/100 (Wide moat), while MCHP scores 28/100 (None moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Which company has better free cash flow, Microchip Technology Incorporated or Visa Inc.?▼

Visa Inc. (V) generates a 3.3% free cash flow yield, compared to Microchip Technology Incorporated's 2.1%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Microchip Technology Incorporated or Visa Inc.?▼

V earns 38.4% ROIC versus MCHP's 5.3%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, Microchip Technology Incorporated's or Visa Inc.'s?▼

V's dividend earns a safety score of 94/100 (Very Safe), compared to MCHP's 24/100 (Unsafe). V has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.

MCHP vs V: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io