Compare StocksMCD vs TJX

McDonald's Corporation (MCD) vs The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX)

MCD
McDonald's Corporation
$309.58
VS
TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.
$154.68

Rewards

MCD
  • McDonald's Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • McDonald's Corporation scores 84/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with margin stability as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Dividend yield of 2.40% with a consistent or growing payout over the past 4 years.
TJX
  • The TJX Companies, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • The TJX Companies, Inc. scores 94/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 27.8% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.

Risks

MCD
  • FCF yield of 2.8% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • PEG ratio of 3.16 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $23.7M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
TJX
  • FCF yield of 2.3% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.

Key Valuation Metrics

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MCD
TJX
Valuation
$6.30B
Free Cash Flow
$3.94B
2.85%
FCF Yield
2.29%
25.91
Trailing P/E
31.76
21.62
Forward P/E
27.30
Quality & Moat
17.46%
ROIC
26.72%
N/A
ROE
53.92%
57.41%
Gross Margin
30.96%
3.16
PEG Ratio
1.12
Balance Sheet Safety
N/A
Debt / Equity
1.32
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
3.70
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.86
2.40%
Dividend Yield
1.10%
MCD: 6Ties: 1TJX: 3
MCDTJX

Historical Fundamentals

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MCD

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

TJX

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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MCD
$0.82
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Mediocre Allocator
Σ Retained
$9.30B
Δ Market Cap
+$7.67B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TJX
$9.31
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$8.37B
Δ Market Cap
+$77.92B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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MCD
152.0% Overvalued
Price is 152.0% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $309.58
Fair Value: $122.86
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TJX
82.0% Overvalued
Price is 82.0% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $154.68
Fair Value: $85.01
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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MCD

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $310?

+18.3%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market pricing in significantly higher growth than history — aggressive.

TJX

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $155?

+18.9%
Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

Market roughly matching historical growth — reasonable.

Economic Moat Score

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MCD
84/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. Margin Stability is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
TJX
94/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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MCD
-2.52
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TJX
-2.44
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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MCD
Insiders 0.3%Institutions 75.6%Retail & Other 24.1%
No. of Institutional Holders4,410
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TJX
Insiders 0.1%Institutions 93.1%Retail & Other 6.8%
No. of Institutional Holders3,419
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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MCD
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TJX
1
Buys (3M)
2
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4,199
ALVAREZ JOSE B
Director
$734.00
@ $183.50 · 2026-03-05
ALVAREZ JOSE B
Director
$3,465
@ $133.27 · 2025-12-04
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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MCD
7
Sells (3M)
25
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $43.80M
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$862,221
@ $328.34 · 2026-03-10
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$110,033
@ $330.43 · 2026-02-23
BANNER JONATHAN
Officer
$2.07M
@ $333.32 · 2026-02-23
KEMPCZINSKI CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$17.47M
@ $332.44 · 2026-02-13
FLATLEY EDITH MORGAN
Officer
$1.55M
@ $331.00 · 2026-02-12
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$854,106
@ $325.25 · 2026-02-10
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$805,079
@ $306.58 · 2026-01-12
RALLS-MORRISON DESIREE ANN
Officer
$795,520
@ $320.00 · 2025-12-16
FLATLEY EDITH MORGAN
Officer
$207,270
@ $315.00 · 2025-12-12
STEIJAERT MANUEL JM
Officer
$2.01M
@ $305.50 · 2025-12-01
BORDEN IAN FREDERICK
Chief Financial Officer
$5.31M
@ $310.00 · 2025-11-21
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$977,095
@ $305.82 · 2025-11-14
STEIJAERT MANUEL JM
Officer
$3.95M
@ $300.42 · 2025-11-05
FLATLEY EDITH MORGAN
Officer
$315,000
@ $315.00 · 2025-09-02
FLATLEY EDITH MORGAN
Officer
$1.49M
@ $315.00 · 2025-08-20
BANNER JONATHAN
Officer
$310,000
@ $310.00 · 2025-08-19
RALLS-MORRISON DESIREE ANN
Officer
$770,970
@ $310.00 · 2025-08-06
FLATLEY EDITH MORGAN
Officer
$296,216
@ $303.50 · 2025-08-01
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$281,221
@ $299.49 · 2025-07-23
FLATLEY EDITH MORGAN
Officer
$300,000
@ $300.00 · 2025-07-10
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$270,920
@ $288.52 · 2025-06-23
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
President
$295,851
@ $315.07 · 2025-05-23
STEIJAERT MANUEL JM
Officer
$1.92M
@ $319.66 · 2025-05-20
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$299,072
@ $318.50 · 2025-04-23
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$287,616
@ $306.30 · 2025-03-24
BOYD TIFFANIE L
Officer
$309,270
@ $309.27 · 2025-02-27
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$286,395
@ $305.00 · 2025-02-24
STEIJAERT MANUEL JM
Officer
$3.23M
@ $308.71 · 2025-02-24
GROSS MARION K
Officer
$334,871
@ $304.71 · 2025-02-21
BANNER JONATHAN
Officer
$456,495
@ $304.33 · 2025-02-21
FLATLEY EDITH MORGAN
Officer
$962,432
@ $300.76 · 2025-02-19
BANNER JONATHAN
Officer
$2.83M
@ $307.41 · 2025-02-13
KEMPCZINSKI CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$3.26M
@ $310.05 · 2025-02-11
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$84,225
@ $280.75 · 2025-01-23
GROSS MARION K
Officer
$436,134
@ $290.95 · 2025-01-02
RALLS-MORRISON DESIREE ANN
Officer
$1.98M
@ $289.89 · 2024-12-31
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$319,919
@ $291.10 · 2024-12-23
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$321,458
@ $292.50 · 2024-11-25
GROSS MARION K
Officer
$441,470
@ $294.51 · 2024-11-01
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$321,326
@ $292.38 · 2024-10-23
FLATLEY EDITH MORGAN
Officer
$727,260
@ $310.00 · 2024-10-14
KEMPCZINSKI CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$2.83M
@ $305.00 · 2024-09-27
KEMPCZINSKI CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$5.51M
@ $300.02 · 2024-09-24
BORDEN IAN FREDERICK
Chief Financial Officer
$1.78M
@ $300.04 · 2024-09-23
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$328,128
@ $298.57 · 2024-09-23
KEMPCZINSKI CHRISTOPHER J
Chief Executive Officer
$1.18M
@ $300.00 · 2024-09-16
BORDEN IAN FREDERICK
Chief Financial Officer
$397,500
@ $300.00 · 2024-09-16
GROSS MARION K
Officer
$428,967
@ $286.36 · 2024-09-03
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$316,993
@ $288.70 · 2024-08-23
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$285,740
@ $260.00 · 2024-07-23
GROSS MARION K
Officer
$371,893
@ $248.26 · 2024-07-03
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$285,480
@ $260.00 · 2024-06-21
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$291,378
@ $265.13 · 2024-05-23
BANNER JONATHAN
Officer
$220,016
@ $275.02 · 2024-05-10
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$303,751
@ $276.64 · 2024-04-23
ERLINGER JOSEPH M
Officer
$312,534
@ $284.38 · 2024-03-22
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TJX
1
Sells (3M)
7
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $14.09M
HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
$4.83M
@ $160.95 · 2026-03-02
HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
$8.15M
@ $149.93 · 2025-11-21
LANE AMY BETH
Director
$75,700
@ $151.40 · 2025-11-21
BENJAMIN PETER
Officer
$208,845
@ $139.23 · 2025-09-08
NEMEROV JACKWYN L
Director
$164,496
@ $138.00 · 2025-09-02
LANE AMY BETH
Director
$121,689
@ $128.09 · 2025-06-03
BENJAMIN PETER
Officer
$535,042
@ $129.77 · 2025-05-22
HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
$2.10M
@ $116.54 · 2025-03-20
HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
$2.88M
@ $123.04 · 2025-03-05
BENNETT ALAN M
Director
$988,254
@ $123.53 · 2025-02-27
HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
$950,551
@ $126.18 · 2024-12-05
LANE AMY BETH
Director
$126,925
@ $126.92 · 2024-11-27
HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
$2.32M
@ $121.27 · 2024-11-22
NEMEROV JACKWYN L
Director
$139,252
@ $117.71 · 2024-09-12
HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
$1.76M
@ $117.54 · 2024-09-10
HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
$2.41M
@ $120.47 · 2024-08-22
GREENLEES LOUISE E.
Officer
$555,635
@ $119.23 · 2024-08-22
CHING DAVID T
Director
$1.55M
@ $119.39 · 2024-08-22
KLINGER JOHN
Chief Financial Officer
$713,116
@ $105.10 · 2024-06-03
CANESTRARI KENNETH D
Officer
$1.12M
@ $104.01 · 2024-05-30
GREENLEES LOUISE E.
Officer
$831,277
@ $101.74 · 2024-05-29
LANE AMY BETH
Director
$153,102
@ $102.07 · 2024-05-28
HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
$2.04M
@ $102.17 · 2024-05-24
CANESTRARI KENNETH D
Officer
$2.03M
@ $100.00 · 2024-05-23
HERRMAN ERNIE L
Chief Executive Officer
$1.98M
@ $98.98 · 2024-03-21
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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MCD
FearGreed
😐Neutral(48/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TJX
FearGreed
😏Greed(61/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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MCD
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (48)
TJX
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (61)
View MCD Full AnalysisView TJX Full Analysis
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) vs The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) Stock Comparison | SafetyMargin.io