Marriott International, Inc. (MAR) vs Visa Inc. (V): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?
As of 2026-06-19, MAR is overvalued at $396, with a DCF intrinsic value of $221 and a margin of safety of -80%. V is fairly valued at $327, with an intrinsic value of $304 and a margin of safety of -8%. Of the two, V has the wider margin of safety.
Rewards
- ★Marriott International, Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 79.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Marriott International, Inc. scores 92/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
- ★Visa Inc. has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
- ★Gross margin of 97.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
- ★Visa Inc. scores 99/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
Risks
- ⚠Each dollar of retained earnings has produced only $0.32 of earning power — shareholders may have been better served by dividends.
- ⚠FCF yield of 2.5% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
- ⚠Trailing P/E of 41.5x is 53% above the historical average of 27.1x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
- ⚠Insiders have sold $14.2M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
Key Valuation Metrics
Learn more →Historical Fundamentals
Learn more →Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.
$1 Retained Earnings Test
Learn more →> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis
Learn more →Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth
Learn more →What growth rate is the market pricing in at $396?
The market implies +19.3% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +19.2%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
What growth rate is the market pricing in at $327?
The market implies +13.9% Owner Earnings growth, above historical trends.
Standard FCF implies a demanding +13.4%, reflecting heavy growth investment.
Economic Moat Score
Learn more →Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.
Wide moat with strength across all dimensions. ROIC Consistency is the standout factor.
Forensic Accounting
Learn more →M-Score Trend
M-Score Trend
Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
Ownership Breakdown
Learn more →High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
Insider Buying Activity
Learn more →Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.
Insider Selling Activity
Learn more →Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.
🎭 Mr. Market's Mood
Learn more →"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"
"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"
Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
⚖️ Buffett Signal
Learn more →The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.
Frequently Asked Questions: MAR vs V
Is Marriott International, Inc. or Visa Inc. more undervalued in 2026?▼
Based on our discounted cash flow model, V trades at a -7.6% margin of safety (intrinsic value $304 vs. price $327), compared to MAR's -79.7% margin of safety (intrinsic $221 vs. $396).
Which stock has a wider economic moat, Marriott International, Inc. or Visa Inc.?▼
V scores 99/100 (Wide moat), while MAR scores 92/100 (Wide moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.
Which company has better free cash flow, Marriott International, Inc. or Visa Inc.?▼
Visa Inc. (V) generates a 3.3% free cash flow yield, compared to Marriott International, Inc.'s 2.5%. A higher FCF yield means the business converts more of its market value into cash that can be returned to shareholders or reinvested.
Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Marriott International, Inc. or Visa Inc.?▼
V earns 38.4% ROIC versus MAR's 19.2%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.
Which dividend is safer, Marriott International, Inc.'s or Visa Inc.'s?▼
V's dividend earns a safety score of 94/100 (Very Safe), compared to MAR's 94/100 (Very Safe). V has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.