Compare StocksLLY vs XYZ

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs Block, Inc. (XYZ)

LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$917.50
VS
XYZ
Block, Inc.
$58.99

Rewards

LLY
  • Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 83.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
XYZ
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 681.1% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Management has timed buybacks well — 2 out of 3 years showed value-accretive repurchases.
  • Trailing P/E of 28.1x is 98% below the historical average of 1305.4x — potentially undervalued relative to its own history.

Risks

LLY
  • FCF yield of 0.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
  • 5 insider sales totaling $330.9M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
XYZ
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has produced only $0.35 of market value — shareholders may have been better served by dividends.
  • Despite buyback spending, shares outstanding increased in 2 out of 3 years — stock-based compensation is offsetting repurchases.
  • 7 insider sales totaling $1.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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LLY
XYZ
Valuation
$5.96B
Free Cash Flow
$-1.03B
0.73%
FCF Yield
-2.89%
40.00
Trailing P/E
28.09
21.79
Forward P/E
12.48
Quality & Moat
32.84%
ROIC
4.89%
77.78%
ROE
5.89%
83.04%
Gross Margin
43.06%
0.78
PEG Ratio
N/A
Balance Sheet Safety
1.65
Debt / Equity
0.40
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.15
Net Debt / EBITDA
0.86
0.68%
Dividend Yield
N/A
LLY: 5Ties: 1XYZ: 4
LLYXYZ

Historical Fundamentals

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LLY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

XYZ

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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LLY
$27.47
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$613.62B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
XYZ
$0.35
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Destroyer
Σ Retained
$4.21B
Δ Market Cap
+$1.48B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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LLY
12.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 12.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $917.50
Fair Value: $1048.80
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
XYZ
61.5% Margin of Safety
Price is 61.5% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $58.99
Fair Value: $153.29
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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LLY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $918?

+17.7%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +35.1%

The market implies +17.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +35.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

XYZ

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
XYZ
40/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with reinvestment efficiency as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
XYZ
-2.62
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 84.7%Retail & Other 15.1%
No. of Institutional Holders5,561
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
XYZ
Insiders 1.3%Institutions 83.5%Retail & Other 15.2%
No. of Institutional Holders1,435
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
XYZ
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
BOTHA ROELOF FREDERICK
Director
$25.00M
@ $57.55 · 2024-08-06
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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LLY
5
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$818,240
@ $818.24 · 2025-03-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$204.33M
@ $928.76 · 2025-03-03
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
XYZ
7
Sells (3M)
57
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $20.18M
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$225,423
@ $63.41 · 2026-03-03
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$517,450
@ $50.00 · 2026-02-24
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$202,286
@ $66.96 · 2026-01-06
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$70,442
@ $63.98 · 2026-01-02
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$76,354
@ $65.09 · 2026-01-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$52,592
@ $63.98 · 2026-01-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$21,177
@ $63.98 · 2026-01-02
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$897,596
@ $61.71 · 2025-11-24
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$167,254
@ $61.40 · 2025-11-21
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$611,483
@ $61.40 · 2025-11-21
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$639,604
@ $61.40 · 2025-11-21
WEBER ARNAUD
Officer
$435,633
@ $61.40 · 2025-11-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$221,531
@ $61.40 · 2025-11-21
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$60,000
@ $80.00 · 2025-10-08
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$2.81M
@ $80.00 · 2025-10-08
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$198,871
@ $75.70 · 2025-10-03
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$229,104
@ $75.84 · 2025-10-03
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$93,045
@ $73.26 · 2025-10-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$78,508
@ $74.77 · 2025-10-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$30,357
@ $74.77 · 2025-10-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$493,575
@ $75.00 · 2025-09-16
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$744,102
@ $76.24 · 2025-09-02
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$291,556
@ $74.60 · 2025-08-25
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$1.20M
@ $73.90 · 2025-08-22
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$1.39M
@ $73.50 · 2025-08-22
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$417,181
@ $73.72 · 2025-08-21
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$473,238
@ $73.20 · 2025-08-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$264,179
@ $73.20 · 2025-08-21
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$274,284
@ $76.19 · 2025-08-15
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$32,796
@ $81.99 · 2025-08-08
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Chief Technology Officer
$269,748
@ $74.93 · 2025-08-01
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$40,000
@ $80.00 · 2025-07-23
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$64,000
@ $80.00 · 2025-07-23
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$1.29M
@ $78.60 · 2025-07-21
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$313,850
@ $78.60 · 2025-07-21
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$246,568
@ $68.49 · 2025-07-17
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$25,349
@ $69.26 · 2025-07-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$93,570
@ $69.26 · 2025-07-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$72,723
@ $69.26 · 2025-07-02
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$92,947
@ $69.26 · 2025-07-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$28,120
@ $69.26 · 2025-07-02
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$407,048
@ $67.84 · 2025-07-02
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$177,828
@ $63.51 · 2025-06-16
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$142,025
@ $65.00 · 2025-06-06
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$169,568
@ $60.56 · 2025-06-02
PRASANNA DHANANJAY
Officer
$695,039
@ $61.41 · 2025-05-27
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$852,216
@ $56.30 · 2025-05-22
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$108,720
@ $56.39 · 2025-05-21
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$564,013
@ $56.39 · 2025-05-21
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$366,197
@ $56.39 · 2025-05-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$169,678
@ $56.39 · 2025-05-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$412,500
@ $55.00 · 2025-05-12
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$53,874
@ $55.31 · 2025-04-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$111,031
@ $56.19 · 2025-04-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$70,968
@ $56.19 · 2025-04-02
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$105,918
@ $56.19 · 2025-04-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$20,509
@ $56.19 · 2025-04-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$851,111
@ $69.30 · 2025-02-24
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$539,083
@ $69.35 · 2025-02-24
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$103,159
@ $70.32 · 2025-02-21
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$446,180
@ $70.32 · 2025-02-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$114,411
@ $70.32 · 2025-02-21
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$378,855
@ $89.44 · 2025-01-03
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$177,252
@ $86.72 · 2025-01-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$129,953
@ $86.52 · 2025-01-02
JENNINGS OWEN BRITTON
Officer
$253,486
@ $89.38 · 2025-01-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$36,165
@ $86.52 · 2025-01-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$272,175
@ $95.00 · 2024-12-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$910,434
@ $91.71 · 2024-11-22
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$1.06M
@ $91.49 · 2024-11-22
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$162,837
@ $91.43 · 2024-11-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$179,294
@ $91.43 · 2024-11-21
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$28,531
@ $83.67 · 2024-11-18
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$61,830
@ $90.00 · 2024-11-18
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$165,000
@ $82.50 · 2024-11-12
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$480,135
@ $82.45 · 2024-11-12
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$225,600
@ $75.20 · 2024-11-06
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$509,202
@ $65.26 · 2024-10-03
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$274,613
@ $64.84 · 2024-10-03
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$77,259
@ $66.09 · 2024-10-02
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$33,752
@ $65.41 · 2024-10-02
AHUJA AMRITA
Chief Operating Officer
$643,257
@ $64.80 · 2024-08-22
GRASSADONIA BRIAN
Officer
$753,132
@ $64.84 · 2024-08-22
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$90,968
@ $64.70 · 2024-08-21
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$126,877
@ $64.70 · 2024-08-21
DALE AJMERE SINGH
Officer
$30,940
@ $61.88 · 2024-08-13
ESPERANZA CHRISTINEGRACE GANAL
Officer
$175,000
@ $70.00 · 2024-07-15
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
LLY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(43/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
XYZ
FearGreed
😨Fear(37/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →
LLY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (43)
XYZ
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (37)
View LLY Full AnalysisView XYZ Full Analysis