Compare StocksLLY vs WAB

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation (WAB)

LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$961.71
VS
WAB
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation
$263.90

Rewards

LLY
  • Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 82.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
WAB
  • Free cash flow has grown at a 19.0% CAGR over the past 4 years, demonstrating strong earnings power growth.
  • Each dollar of retained earnings has created $2.29 of earning power — management is an exceptional capital allocator.

Risks

LLY
  • FCF yield of 1.1% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
WAB
  • Trailing P/E of 37.3x is 25% above the historical average of 29.8x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • PEG ratio of 2.92 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • 9 insider sales totaling $25.3M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

Key Valuation Metrics

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LLY
WAB
Valuation
$9.16B
Free Cash Flow
$1.50B
1.06%
FCF Yield
3.35%
34.19
Trailing P/E
37.33
22.02
Forward P/E
21.76
Quality & Moat
37.80%
ROIC
9.55%
66.16%
ROE
10.49%
82.83%
Gross Margin
35.24%
0.20
PEG Ratio
2.92
Balance Sheet Safety
1.39
Debt / Equity
0.62
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.05
Net Debt / EBITDA
2.54
0.65%
Dividend Yield
0.40%
LLY: 8Ties: 2WAB: 2
LLYWAB

Historical Fundamentals

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LLY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

WAB

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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LLY
$27.49
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$614.01B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
WAB
$7.04
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$2.60B
Δ Market Cap
+$18.33B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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LLY
16.1% Margin of Safety
Price is 16.1% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $961.71
Fair Value: $1145.81
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
WAB
45.8% Overvalued
Price is 45.8% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $263.90
Fair Value: $181.02
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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LLY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $962?

+18.3%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +29.6%

The market implies +18.3% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +29.6%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

WAB

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $264?

+18.4%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies +15.0%

The market implies +18.4% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding +15.0%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

Economic Moat Score

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LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
WAB
62/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with revenue predictability as the key competitive advantage. Improving roic consistency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
WAB
-2.50
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 85.0%Retail & Other 14.8%
No. of Institutional Holders5,509
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
WAB
Insiders 0.7%Institutions 96.2%Retail & Other 3.1%
No. of Institutional Holders1,558
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
WAB
0
Buys (3M)
0
Buys (12M)
No open market insider purchases found.
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

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LLY
0
Sells (3M)
41
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.84B
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.33M
@ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$936,550
@ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
WAB
9
Sells (3M)
38
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $44.37M
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$16.36M
@ $268.89 · 2026-04-14
TROMBLEY GINA
Officer
$970,624
@ $241.87 · 2026-03-12
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$572,118
@ $245.97 · 2026-03-10
GAUR SAMEER
Officer
$302,016
@ $262.62 · 2026-02-26
JAIN NALIN
Officer
$2.10M
@ $264.09 · 2026-02-25
OLIN JOHN A
Chief Financial Officer
$2.90M
@ $263.30 · 2026-02-24
MENDONCA ROGERIO
Officer
$924,719
@ $264.21 · 2026-02-20
SBROCCO GREGORY
Officer
$246,025
@ $258.43 · 2026-02-19
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$897,080
@ $249.47 · 2026-02-11
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$787,180
@ $218.90 · 2026-01-06
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$765,446
@ $212.86 · 2025-12-18
FETSKO MICHAEL E.
Officer
$1.09M
@ $215.72 · 2025-12-12
MENDONCA ROGERIO
Officer
$433,089
@ $214.51 · 2025-12-04
DENINNO DAVID L
General Counsel
$1.07M
@ $214.62 · 2025-12-04
DENINNO DAVID L
General Counsel
$1.05M
@ $209.94 · 2025-11-12
MASTALERZ JOHN A JR
Officer
$580,860
@ $210.00 · 2025-11-12
SCHWEITZER PASCAL
Officer
$624,214
@ $208.07 · 2025-11-11
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$732,296
@ $203.64 · 2025-11-04
SBROCCO GREGORY
Officer
$493,928
@ $203.77 · 2025-10-31
DENINNO DAVID L
General Counsel
$419,731
@ $199.87 · 2025-10-28
SBROCCO GREGORY
Officer
$577,108
@ $195.43 · 2025-10-23
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$705,331
@ $196.14 · 2025-10-15
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$682,702
@ $189.80 · 2025-09-15
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$340,876
@ $192.37 · 2025-08-21
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$378,170
@ $213.41 · 2025-07-08
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$356,952
@ $201.44 · 2025-06-18
TROMBLEY GINA
Officer
$868,419
@ $202.00 · 2025-06-13
THEOPHILUS NICOLE BETH
Officer
$408,285
@ $204.14 · 2025-06-11
SCHWEITZER PASCAL
Officer
$823,792
@ $205.95 · 2025-06-09
YATES KYRA
Officer
$283,043
@ $203.77 · 2025-06-05
HEHIR BRIAN P
Director
$237,276
@ $203.67 · 2025-06-03
GEBHARDT ERIC
Chief Technology Officer
$1.24M
@ $202.39 · 2025-05-27
DENINNO DAVID L
General Counsel
$603,138
@ $201.05 · 2025-05-22
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$361,009
@ $203.73 · 2025-05-14
FETSKO MICHAEL E.
Officer
$740,200
@ $202.13 · 2025-05-13
MENDONCA ROGERIO
Officer
$806,745
@ $200.04 · 2025-05-12
HEHIR BRIAN P
Director
$191,418
@ $191.42 · 2025-05-08
LEROUX LILIAN
Officer
$1.44M
@ $192.19 · 2025-05-05
DENINNO DAVID L
General Counsel
$575,464
@ $191.82 · 2025-05-02
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$13.20M
@ $191.70 · 2025-05-02
SCHWEITZER PASCAL
Officer
$738,529
@ $184.63 · 2025-04-25
JAIN NALIN
Officer
$1.95M
@ $185.59 · 2025-04-24
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$9.83M
@ $175.74 · 2025-04-03
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$163,969
@ $185.07 · 2025-04-02
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$161,554
@ $182.34 · 2025-02-27
SANTANA RAFAEL
Chief Executive Officer
$164,348
@ $183.83 · 2025-02-26
SBROCCO GREGORY
Officer
$113,772
@ $201.37 · 2024-11-26
NEUPAVER ALBERT J
Director
$2.02M
@ $202.00 · 2024-11-11
MASTALERZ JOHN A JR
Officer
$558,396
@ $199.71 · 2024-11-06
DENINNO DAVID L
General Counsel
$165,116
@ $188.70 · 2024-10-30
NEUPAVER ALBERT J
Director
$6.74M
@ $188.70 · 2024-10-30
DENINNO DAVID L
General Counsel
$1.89M
@ $188.60 · 2024-10-24
SCHWEITZER PASCAL
Officer
$369,832
@ $163.57 · 2024-09-11
HAMMERSMITH ALICIA
Officer
$690,140
@ $165.54 · 2024-08-26
MENDONCA ROGERIO
Officer
$331,577
@ $165.79 · 2024-08-23
HEHIR BRIAN P
Director
$141,534
@ $165.15 · 2024-08-23
GEBHARDT ERIC
Chief Technology Officer
$1.16M
@ $156.32 · 2024-08-14
THEOPHILUS NICOLE BETH
Officer
$742,419
@ $154.64 · 2024-08-07
HEHIR BRIAN P
Director
$161,615
@ $161.62 · 2024-07-31
SBROCCO GREGORY
Officer
$275,376
@ $167.30 · 2024-05-10
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

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LLY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(56/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
WAB
FearGreed
😏Greed(61/100)

"Market is optimistic — be cautious and ensure you have a margin of safety"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

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LLY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (56)
WAB
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Greed (61)
View LLY Full AnalysisView WAB Full Analysis
LLY vs WAB: Which Is the Better Buy? | SafetyMargin.io