Compare StocksLLY vs TTWO

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. (TTWO)

LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$917.50
VS
TTWO
Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc.
$201.75

Rewards

LLY
  • Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 83.0% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
TTWO

    Risks

    LLY
    • FCF yield of 0.7% is below 3%, meaning the market is pricing in substantial future growth to justify the current price.
    • 5 insider sales totaling $330.9M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.
    TTWO
    • ROIC has declined by 18.6 percentage points over the observed period, which may signal competitive erosion.
    • Take-Two Interactive Software, Inc. scores only 26/100 on the Economic Moat Score, suggesting limited durable competitive advantages.
    • 6 insider sales totaling $2.2M with no purchases in the past 3 months — insiders are reducing their exposure.

    Key Valuation Metrics

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    LLY
    TTWO
    Valuation
    $5.96B
    Free Cash Flow
    $1.48B
    0.73%
    FCF Yield
    3.97%
    40.00
    Trailing P/E
    N/A
    21.79
    Forward P/E
    25.88
    Quality & Moat
    32.84%
    ROIC
    -1.51%
    77.78%
    ROE
    -128.13%
    83.04%
    Gross Margin
    59.29%
    0.78
    PEG Ratio
    N/A
    Balance Sheet Safety
    1.65
    Debt / Equity
    1.00
    N/A
    Interest Coverage
    N/A
    1.15
    Net Debt / EBITDA
    1.40
    0.68%
    Dividend Yield
    N/A
    LLY: 6Ties: 1TTWO: 2
    LLYTTWO

    Historical Fundamentals

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    LLY

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    TTWO

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation.

    $1 Retained Earnings Test

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    LLY
    $27.47
    created per $1 retained over 3 years
    Exceptional Value Creator
    Σ Retained
    $22.34B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$613.62B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
    TTWO
    N/A
    Net losses over 3 years — test not applicable
    Company had negative cumulative retained earnings
    Σ Retained
    $-9.35B
    Δ Market Cap
    +$33.34B
    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
    > $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

    Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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    LLY
    12.5% Margin of Safety
    Price is 12.5% below estimated fair value
    Current Price: $917.50
    Fair Value: $1048.80
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued
    TTWO
    65.0% Margin of Safety
    Price is 65.0% below estimated fair value
    Current Price: $201.75
    Fair Value: $576.81
    Strongly undervalued
    Undervalued
    Fairly valued
    Overvalued
    Strongly overvalued

    Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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    LLY

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $918?

    +17.7%
    Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
    Standard FCF implies +35.1%

    The market implies +17.7% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

    Standard FCF implies a more demanding +35.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

    TTWO

    What growth rate is the market pricing in at $202?

    +11.2%
    Market-Implied FCF Growth Rate

    Market below historical growth — potential opportunity.

    Economic Moat Score

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    LLY
    73/100
    Wide Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
    TTWO
    26/100
    No Moat
    70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

    No durable moat detected, though reinvestment efficiency shows some competitive positioning. The business lacks consistent evidence of sustainable advantages.

    Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.

    Forensic Accounting

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    LLY
    -1.83
    Possible Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
    TTWO
    -5.00
    Unlikely Manipulator
    Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

    M-Score Trend

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

    Ownership Breakdown

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    LLY
    Insiders 0.2%Institutions 84.7%Retail & Other 15.1%
    No. of Institutional Holders5,561
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
    TTWO
    Insiders 1.4%Institutions 95.8%Retail & Other 2.9%
    No. of Institutional Holders1,519
    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

    Insider Buying Activity

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    LLY
    0
    Buys (3M)
    8
    Buys (12M)
    Total value (12M): $4.54M
    MONTARCE LUCAS E
    Chief Financial Officer
    $494,627
    @ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
    ALVAREZ RALPH
    Director
    $500,473
    @ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
    VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
    Officer
    $647,360
    @ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
    FYRWALD J. ERIK
    Director
    $1.01M
    @ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
    RICKS DAVID A
    Chief Executive Officer
    $1.05M
    @ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
    SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
    Officer
    $634,405
    @ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
    SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
    Director
    $75,018
    @ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
    JACKSON JAMERE
    Director
    $127,913
    @ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
    TTWO
    0
    Buys (3M)
    0
    Buys (12M)
    No open market insider purchases found.
    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

    Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

    Insider Selling Activity

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    LLY
    5
    Sells (3M)
    41
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $3.84B
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $322.38M
    @ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $1.51M
    @ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $3.90M
    @ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $2.85M
    @ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $260,409
    @ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $161.08M
    @ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $17.34M
    @ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $152.06M
    @ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $111.50M
    @ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $39.07M
    @ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $176.10M
    @ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $62.31M
    @ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $10.19M
    @ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $183.33M
    @ $1028.25 · 2025-11-14
    ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
    Officer
    $1.01M
    @ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $48.02M
    @ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $308.41M
    @ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $279.35M
    @ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $16.41M
    @ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $167.09M
    @ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $38.47M
    @ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $479,038
    @ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $266.65M
    @ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $260.17M
    @ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $3.16M
    @ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $9.04M
    @ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $86.23M
    @ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $22.72M
    @ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $137.04M
    @ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $161.22M
    @ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $92.50M
    @ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $107.36M
    @ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $177.29M
    @ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $86.79M
    @ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $18.06M
    @ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $81.53M
    @ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
    ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
    Officer
    $734,930
    @ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
    YUFFA ILYA
    Officer
    $783,762
    @ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $225.42M
    @ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
    ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
    Officer
    $716,410
    @ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
    YUFFA ILYA
    Officer
    $936,550
    @ $749.24 · 2025-05-14
    ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
    Officer
    $818,240
    @ $818.24 · 2025-03-13
    LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
    Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
    $204.33M
    @ $928.76 · 2025-03-03
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
    TTWO
    6
    Sells (3M)
    23
    Sells (12M)
    Total value (12M): $45.96M
    GORDON WILLIAM BINGHAM
    Director
    $521,725
    @ $208.69 · 2026-03-09
    DORNEMANN MICHAEL
    Director
    $296,195
    @ $213.09 · 2026-03-05
    GORDON WILLIAM BINGHAM
    Director
    $522,525
    @ $209.01 · 2026-03-02
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $535,637
    @ $213.57 · 2026-03-02
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $248,906
    @ $213.47 · 2026-03-02
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $30,183
    @ $194.73 · 2026-02-18
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $274,658
    @ $248.11 · 2025-12-02
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $399,953
    @ $248.11 · 2025-12-02
    SRINIVASAN LAVERNE EVANS
    Director
    $321,664
    @ $238.27 · 2025-11-18
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $42,790
    @ $235.11 · 2025-11-17
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $2.50M
    @ $250.00 · 2025-09-08
    MOSES JON J
    Director
    $239,570
    @ $239.57 · 2025-09-04
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $474,110
    @ $238.73 · 2025-09-03
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $2.77M
    @ $239.57 · 2025-09-02
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $4.61M
    @ $230.64 · 2025-08-28
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $5.11M
    @ $227.47 · 2025-08-21
    SLATOFF KARL
    President
    $11.16M
    @ $227.68 · 2025-08-21
    SRINIVASAN LAVERNE EVANS
    Director
    $528,868
    @ $227.47 · 2025-08-21
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $46,227
    @ $233.47 · 2025-08-18
    MOSES JON J
    Director
    $231,330
    @ $231.33 · 2025-08-15
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $45,106
    @ $225.53 · 2025-06-02
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $6.09M
    @ $225.22 · 2025-06-02
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $8.95M
    @ $225.22 · 2025-06-02
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $37,057
    @ $214.20 · 2025-03-06
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $121,885
    @ $211.24 · 2025-03-03
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $175,118
    @ $211.24 · 2025-03-03
    SLATOFF KARL
    President
    $7.02M
    @ $208.13 · 2025-02-25
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $262,197
    @ $187.95 · 2024-12-03
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $212,221
    @ $187.64 · 2024-12-02
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $818,545
    @ $176.79 · 2024-11-08
    SRINIVASAN LAVERNE EVANS
    Director
    $358,340
    @ $179.17 · 2024-11-08
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $8.76M
    @ $175.05 · 2024-11-08
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $124,931
    @ $158.14 · 2024-09-03
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $182,177
    @ $158.14 · 2024-09-03
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $28,618
    @ $149.83 · 2024-08-19
    SHERESKY MICHAEL J
    Director
    $36,432
    @ $167.12 · 2024-06-06
    EMERSON DANIEL P
    Officer
    $2.07M
    @ $162.39 · 2024-06-04
    GOLDSTEIN LAINIE
    Chief Financial Officer
    $2.32M
    @ $162.05 · 2024-06-03
    MOSES JON J
    Director
    $378,138
    @ $151.26 · 2024-05-21
    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

    Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

    🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

    Learn more →
    LLY
    FearGreed
    😐Neutral(43/100)

    "Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
    TTWO
    FearGreed
    😨Fear(37/100)

    "Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

    Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

    ⚖️ Buffett Signal

    Learn more →
    LLY
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (43)
    TTWO
    Awaiting DCF Data

    The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

    DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (37)
    View LLY Full AnalysisView TTWO Full Analysis