Compare StocksLLY vs TPL

Eli Lilly and Company (LLY) vs Texas Pacific Land Corporation (TPL): Which Is the Better Buy in 2026?

As of 2026-08-03, LLY is undervalued at $1149, with a DCF intrinsic value of $1529604356065 and a margin of safety of 100%. TPL is overvalued at $403, with an intrinsic value of $53 and a margin of safety of -666%. Of the two, LLY has the wider margin of safety.

LLY
Eli Lilly and Company
$1148.84
VS
TPL
Texas Pacific Land Corporation
$402.58

Rewards

LLY
  • Eli Lilly and Company has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 82.8% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Eli Lilly and Company scores 73/100 on the Economic Moat Score (Wide Moat), with roic consistency as the strongest competitive dimension.
TPL
  • Texas Pacific Land Corporation has maintained ROIC above 15% for 4 consecutive years, indicating a durable competitive advantage.
  • Gross margin of 93.2% indicates strong pricing power — typical of businesses with significant intellectual property or brand strength.
  • Return on equity has consistently exceeded 20% over 4 years, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital.

Risks

LLY
  • Insiders have sold $18.6M worth of stock in the past 3 months — significant insider liquidation.
TPL
  • Trailing P/E of 55.2x is 32% above the historical average of 41.9x — the stock trades at a premium to its own history.
  • PEG ratio of 7.33 indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth — the market may be pricing in more growth than analysts project.
  • Free cash flow has declined at a 57.8% CAGR over the past 4 years — a concerning trend.

Key Valuation Metrics

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LLY
TPL
Valuation
$9.16B
Free Cash Flow
$-56.06M
N/A
FCF Yield
-0.20%
40.81
Trailing P/E
55.22
25.48
Forward P/E
5.51
Quality & Moat
37.80%
ROIC
32.52%
107.46%
ROE
36.47%
82.83%
Gross Margin
93.24%
1.61
PEG Ratio
7.33
Balance Sheet Safety
1.22
Net Debt / Equity
Net cash
N/A
Interest Coverage
N/A
1.05
Net Debt / EBITDA
-0.33
0.60%
Dividend Yield
0.60%
LLY: 5Ties: 2TPL: 4
LLYTPL

Historical Fundamentals

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LLY

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

TPL

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

Price ÷ Earnings Per Share — how many years of current earnings you're paying for at today's price. Lower P/E may indicate undervaluation. The dashed forward point is the forward P/E — today's price ÷ analyst consensus EPS.

$1 Retained Earnings Test

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LLY
$0.00
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Value Destroyer
Σ Retained
$22.34B
Δ Market Cap
+$708.84
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer
TPL
$2.36
created per $1 retained over 3 years
Exceptional Value Creator
Σ Retained
$745.9M
Δ Market Cap
+$1.76B
Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Buffett's "$1 Test": For every $1 of earnings retained, has management created at least $1 of market value?
> $1 created per $1 retained = Value Creator · < $1 created = Value Destroyer

Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) Analysis

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LLY
100.0% Margin of Safety
Price is 100.0% below estimated fair value
Current Price: $1148.84
Fair Value: $1529604356065.14
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued
TPL
665.8% Overvalued
Price is 665.8% above estimated fair value
Current Price: $402.58
Fair Value: $52.57
Strongly undervalued
Undervalued
Fairly valued
Overvalued
Strongly overvalued

Reverse DCF — Market-Implied Growth

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LLY

What growth rate is the market pricing in at $1149?

-30.0%
Market-Implied Owner Earnings Growth
Standard FCF implies -15.1%

The market implies -30.0% Owner Earnings growth, below historical trends — potential opportunity.

Standard FCF implies a more demanding -15.1%, reflecting heavy growth investment expected to generate future returns.

TPL

Requires positive FCF to compute implied growth rate.

Economic Moat Score

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LLY
73/100
Wide Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Wide moat driven primarily by roic consistency. Reinvestment Efficiency is the area most vulnerable to competitive pressure.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 5 years of fundamental data.
TPL
67/100
Narrow Moat
70+ Wide · 40-69 Narrow · <40 None

Narrow moat with roic consistency as the key competitive advantage. Improving reinvestment efficiency would strengthen the moat.

Composite score measuring competitive advantage durability across four dimensions: returns above cost of capital, pricing power stability, revenue predictability, and capital efficiency. Based on 4 years of fundamental data.

Forensic Accounting

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LLY
-1.83
Possible Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.
TPL
-10.93
Unlikely Manipulator
Above -1.78 = likely manipulator · -2.22 to -1.78 = grey zone

M-Score Trend

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Beneish's 8-variable model estimates the probability of earnings manipulation. An M-Score above -1.78 signals elevated risk — companies in this range have historically been 3-5× more likely to be manipulating earnings. Scores between -2.22 and -1.78 fall in a grey zone warranting further investigation.

Ownership Breakdown

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LLY
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 85.1%Retail & Other 14.8%
No. of Institutional Holders5,685
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.
TPL
Insiders 0.2%Institutions 75.1%Retail & Other 24.8%
No. of Institutional Holders1,145
High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders — a key signal in Buffett-style analysis. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

High insider ownership aligns management incentives with shareholders. Institutional concentration can indicate smart-money conviction but also crowding risk.

Insider Buying Activity

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LLY
0
Buys (3M)
8
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $4.54M
MONTARCE LUCAS E
Chief Financial Officer
$494,627
@ $691.79 · 2025-08-15
ALVAREZ RALPH
Director
$500,473
@ $660.25 · 2025-08-13
VAN NAARDEN JACOB S.
Officer
$647,360
@ $647.36 · 2025-08-13
SULZBERGER GABRIELLE
Director
$75,018
@ $641.18 · 2025-08-12
FYRWALD J. ERIK
Director
$1.01M
@ $642.33 · 2025-08-12
RICKS DAVID A
Chief Executive Officer
$1.05M
@ $644.77 · 2025-08-12
SKOVRONSKY DANIEL
Officer
$634,405
@ $634.40 · 2025-08-12
JACKSON JAMERE
Director
$127,913
@ $639.57 · 2025-08-08
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises
TPL
49
Buys (3M)
126
Buys (12M)
Total value (12M): $511,626
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$393.00
@ $393.00 · 2026-07-28
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
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$409.00
@ $409.00 · 2026-07-27
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
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$424.00
@ $424.00 · 2026-07-24
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
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$427.00
@ $427.00 · 2026-07-22
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
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$413.00
@ $413.00 · 2026-07-21
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$416.00
@ $416.00 · 2026-07-20
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$420.00
@ $420.00 · 2026-07-17
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$416.00
@ $416.00 · 2026-07-16
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$414.00
@ $414.00 · 2026-07-15
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$408.00
@ $408.00 · 2026-07-14
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$411.00
@ $411.00 · 2026-07-13
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$386.00
@ $386.00 · 2026-07-10
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$400.00
@ $400.00 · 2026-07-09
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$397.00
@ $397.00 · 2026-07-08
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$401.00
@ $401.00 · 2026-07-07
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$403.00
@ $403.00 · 2026-07-02
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$426.00
@ $426.00 · 2026-07-01
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$436.00
@ $436.00 · 2026-06-30
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$411.00
@ $411.00 · 2026-06-29
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$397.00
@ $397.00 · 2026-06-26
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$389.00
@ $389.00 · 2026-06-25
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$371.00
@ $371.00 · 2026-06-23
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$351.00
@ $351.00 · 2026-06-22
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$355.00
@ $355.00 · 2026-06-18
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$357.00
@ $357.00 · 2026-06-17
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$356.00
@ $356.00 · 2026-06-16
DOYLE PETER BRENDAN
Director
$1,528
@ $382.00 · 2026-06-15
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$385.00
@ $385.00 · 2026-06-12
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$370.00
@ $370.00 · 2026-06-11
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$380.00
@ $380.00 · 2026-06-10
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$387.00
@ $387.00 · 2026-06-09
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$403.00
@ $403.00 · 2026-06-08
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$395.00
@ $395.00 · 2026-06-05
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$407.00
@ $407.00 · 2026-06-03
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$368.00
@ $368.00 · 2026-06-02
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$387.00
@ $387.00 · 2026-06-01
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$395.00
@ $395.00 · 2026-05-29
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$406.00
@ $406.00 · 2026-05-28
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$808.00
@ $404.00 · 2026-05-27
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$401.00
@ $401.00 · 2026-05-22
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$396.00
@ $396.00 · 2026-05-21
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$792.00
@ $396.00 · 2026-05-20
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$780.00
@ $390.00 · 2026-05-19
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$385.00
@ $385.00 · 2026-05-18
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$388.00
@ $388.00 · 2026-05-15
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$385.00
@ $385.00 · 2026-05-14
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$394.00
@ $394.00 · 2026-05-12
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$401.00
@ $401.00 · 2026-05-07
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$419.00
@ $419.00 · 2026-05-06
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$433.00
@ $433.00 · 2026-05-05
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$439.00
@ $439.00 · 2026-05-04
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$433.00
@ $433.00 · 2026-05-01
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$437.00
@ $437.00 · 2026-04-23
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$438.00
@ $438.00 · 2026-04-22
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$442.00
@ $442.00 · 2026-04-21
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$428.00
@ $428.00 · 2026-04-20
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$424.00
@ $424.00 · 2026-04-16
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$419.00
@ $419.00 · 2026-04-15
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$414.00
@ $414.00 · 2026-04-14
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$415.00
@ $415.00 · 2026-04-13
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$407.00
@ $407.00 · 2026-04-10
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$402.00
@ $402.00 · 2026-04-09
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1,347
@ $449.00 · 2026-04-08
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$443.00
@ $443.00 · 2026-04-06
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$443.00
@ $443.00 · 2026-04-02
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$470.00
@ $470.00 · 2026-03-31
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$494.00
@ $494.00 · 2026-03-30
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1,044
@ $522.00 · 2026-03-27
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$538.00
@ $538.00 · 2026-03-25
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$535.00
@ $535.00 · 2026-03-24
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$529.00
@ $529.00 · 2026-03-23
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$534.00
@ $534.00 · 2026-03-20
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$527.00
@ $527.00 · 2026-03-19
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$532.00
@ $532.00 · 2026-03-18
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$525.00
@ $525.00 · 2026-03-17
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$525.00
@ $525.00 · 2026-03-16
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$529.00
@ $529.00 · 2026-03-13
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$532.00
@ $532.00 · 2026-03-12
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$523.00
@ $523.00 · 2026-03-11
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$527.00
@ $527.00 · 2026-03-10
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$527.00
@ $527.00 · 2026-03-09
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$526.00
@ $526.00 · 2026-03-06
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$529.00
@ $529.00 · 2026-03-05
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$530.00
@ $530.00 · 2026-03-04
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$524.00
@ $524.00 · 2026-03-02
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$517.00
@ $517.00 · 2026-02-27
EPPS DONNA E
Director
$456,853
@ $510.45 · 2026-02-25
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$520.00
@ $520.00 · 2026-02-24
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$520.00
@ $520.00 · 2026-02-23
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$504.00
@ $504.00 · 2026-02-20
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$469.00
@ $469.00 · 2026-02-19
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$435.00
@ $435.00 · 2026-02-18
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$426.00
@ $426.00 · 2026-02-17
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$426.00
@ $426.00 · 2026-02-13
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$408.00
@ $408.00 · 2026-02-11
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$388.00
@ $388.00 · 2026-02-10
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$372.00
@ $372.00 · 2026-02-09
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$342.00
@ $342.00 · 2026-02-05
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$345.00
@ $345.00 · 2026-02-04
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$337.00
@ $337.00 · 2026-02-03
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$346.00
@ $346.00 · 2026-01-30
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$355.00
@ $355.00 · 2026-01-29
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$351.00
@ $351.00 · 2026-01-28
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$340.00
@ $340.00 · 2026-01-27
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$342.00
@ $342.00 · 2026-01-26
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$350.00
@ $350.00 · 2026-01-23
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$346.00
@ $346.00 · 2026-01-22
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$343.00
@ $343.00 · 2026-01-21
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$334.00
@ $334.00 · 2026-01-20
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$328.00
@ $328.00 · 2026-01-16
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$330.00
@ $330.00 · 2026-01-15
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$330.00
@ $330.00 · 2026-01-14
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$323.00
@ $323.00 · 2026-01-13
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$312.00
@ $312.00 · 2026-01-12
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$309.00
@ $309.00 · 2026-01-09
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$292.00
@ $292.00 · 2026-01-08
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$286.00
@ $286.00 · 2026-01-07
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$297.00
@ $297.00 · 2026-01-06
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$297.00
@ $297.00 · 2026-01-06
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$297.00
@ $297.00 · 2026-01-06
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$295.00
@ $295.00 · 2026-01-05
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$289.00
@ $289.00 · 2026-01-02
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$288.00
@ $288.00 · 2025-12-31
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$294.00
@ $294.00 · 2025-12-30
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$294.00
@ $294.00 · 2025-12-29
HORIZON KINETICS ASSET MANAGEMENT L.L.C.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$285.00
@ $285.00 · 2025-12-26
Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises

Open market purchases · includes direct & indirect ownership · excludes option exercises.

Insider Selling Activity

Learn more →
LLY
2
Sells (3M)
40
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $3.63B
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$2.88M
@ $1150.77 · 2026-06-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$15.75M
@ $995.36 · 2026-05-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$322.38M
@ $1103.48 · 2026-01-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$1.51M
@ $1085.01 · 2026-01-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.90M
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-29
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$2.85M
@ $1085.17 · 2025-12-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260,409
@ $1085.04 · 2025-12-23
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.08M
@ $1095.35 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$17.34M
@ $1109.30 · 2025-11-25
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$152.06M
@ $1068.52 · 2025-11-24
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$111.50M
@ $1058.66 · 2025-11-21
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$39.07M
@ $1051.66 · 2025-11-20
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$176.10M
@ $1051.17 · 2025-11-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$62.31M
@ $1034.78 · 2025-11-18
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$10.19M
@ $1030.68 · 2025-11-17
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$183.80M
@ $1030.87 · 2025-11-14
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$1.01M
@ $1010.50 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$48.02M
@ $1030.26 · 2025-11-13
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$308.41M
@ $1011.18 · 2025-11-12
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$279.35M
@ $986.64 · 2025-11-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$16.41M
@ $972.52 · 2025-11-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$167.09M
@ $933.26 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$38.47M
@ $951.56 · 2025-11-05
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$479,038
@ $910.72 · 2025-11-04
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$266.65M
@ $888.83 · 2025-11-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$260.17M
@ $863.35 · 2025-10-31
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$3.16M
@ $863.24 · 2025-10-10
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$9.04M
@ $852.49 · 2025-10-09
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.23M
@ $850.27 · 2025-10-08
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$22.72M
@ $848.01 · 2025-10-07
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$137.04M
@ $850.22 · 2025-10-06
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$161.22M
@ $837.93 · 2025-10-03
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$92.50M
@ $821.55 · 2025-10-02
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$107.36M
@ $794.15 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$177.29M
@ $821.47 · 2025-10-01
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$86.79M
@ $763.39 · 2025-09-30
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$18.06M
@ $763.09 · 2025-09-19
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$81.53M
@ $764.65 · 2025-09-18
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$734,930
@ $734.93 · 2025-08-28
YUFFA ILYA
Officer
$783,762
@ $627.01 · 2025-08-11
LILLY ENDOWMENT, INC.
Beneficial Owner of more than 10% of a Class of Security
$225.42M
@ $805.07 · 2025-07-24
ZAKROWSKI DONALD A
Officer
$716,410
@ $716.41 · 2025-05-27
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives
TPL
1
Sells (3M)
3
Sells (12M)
Total value (12M): $2.87M
STEDDUM CHRIS
Chief Financial Officer
$1.60M
@ $400.27 · 2026-06-08
EPPS DONNA E
Director
$456,522
@ $510.08 · 2026-02-25
BUFFINGTON STEPHANIE
Officer
$808,824
@ $503.00 · 2026-02-24
Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives

Direct ownership only · excludes indirect, option exercises, planned (10b5-1) sales & derivatives.

🎭 Mr. Market's Mood

Learn more →
LLY
FearGreed
😐Neutral(59/100)

"Market is pricing this stock without strong emotion in either direction"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.
TPL
FearGreed
😨Fear(39/100)

"Market is pessimistic — investigate whether fears are temporary or structural"

Composite sentiment score based on 6 market signals. Inspired by Buffett's "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

Composite sentiment score based on market signals. Inspired by Buffett’s "Mr. Market" allegory — fear = potential opportunity, greed = potential risk. Must be used alongside fundamental analysis, not in isolation.

⚖️ Buffett Signal

Learn more →
LLY
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Neutral (59)
TPL
Awaiting DCF Data

The Buffett Signal cross-references market sentiment with DCF valuation. Configure the DCF Analysis above to generate a signal.

DCF Margin of Safety: N/AMr. Market's Mood: Fear (39)
View LLY Full AnalysisView TPL Full Analysis

Frequently Asked Questions: LLY vs TPL

Is Eli Lilly and Company or Texas Pacific Land Corporation more undervalued in 2026?

Based on our discounted cash flow model, LLY trades at a 100.0% margin of safety (intrinsic value $1529604356065 vs. price $1149), compared to TPL's -665.8% margin of safety (intrinsic $53 vs. $403).

Which stock has a wider economic moat, Eli Lilly and Company or Texas Pacific Land Corporation?

LLY scores 73/100 (Wide moat), while TPL scores 67/100 (Narrow moat). The moat score measures competitive advantage durability across ROIC consistency, margin stability, revenue predictability, and reinvestment efficiency.

Is Eli Lilly and Company in financial distress?

LLY's Altman Z-Score of 2.0 places it in the Grey zone, signaling elevated bankruptcy risk. TPL scores 75.5 (Safe zone). The Altman Z-Score is a five-factor model that predicts insolvency within two years; scores below 1.81 indicate significant distress.

Which stock has higher return on invested capital, Eli Lilly and Company or Texas Pacific Land Corporation?

LLY earns 37.8% ROIC versus TPL's 32.5%. A higher ROIC means the company generates more profit per dollar of capital employed, a hallmark of durable competitive advantage in Buffett-style analysis.

Which dividend is safer, Eli Lilly and Company's or Texas Pacific Land Corporation's?

LLY's dividend earns a safety score of 64/100 (Safe), compared to TPL's 55/100 (Borderline). LLY has raised its dividend for 3 consecutive years.

LLY vs TPL: Which Is the Better Buy in 2026? | SafetyMargin.io